Climate change and wildfires. The problem is more due to forest management.

The natural life cycle of forests in the dry part of western United States is rejuvenation and growth, interrupted by forest fires. In fact, the lodgepole pine requires a fire to release the seeds in the cones. Without the fire they will not  germinate. Forest fires every generation is the normal occurrence for the dry, western forests. Then in the 1930’s, to stop the wild fires they started forest management in earnest, dead trees removed and underbrush cleared, and wildfires were cut by over 90%. They also harvested a lot of good, mature trees, but that is a different story. The chart below tell the facts:

Forest fires were very few from the late 50’s to late 90’s. But with forest management comes a price. Nature can no longer support as many birds and animals as before, and some species were already vulnerable and close to extinction. So, partly due to the power of the Sierra Club and other organizations it was decided to return nature to its original state as much as possible. That would be fine except we no longer live in the 19’th century, when California had less than a million inhabitants. It now has 40 million inhabitants and use up all the water that rains on it and more. People have to live somewhere, so they make beautiful settlements in tinder dry forests. This is the problem out west. You can not have settlements in an unmanaged forest and get away with it, the fire will get you sooner or later. The solution is to set aside some forest lands for natural growth, but only where nobody lives and manage all other forests. Climate change has very little to do with western forest fires, there has always been years of droughts, interrupted by torrential rains. As it was in biblical times in Israel and Egypt, so it is in the American west.

CO2 concentration has increased 50% since pre-industrial times causing climate change. Thorium Nuclear Power is the answer. A Limerick.

As CO2 warms up the poles

burned oil, gas and coal play their roles.

CO2 is still good;

makes plants green, grows more food,

and clouds are the climate controls.

We live in interesting times, the CO2 concentration has increased 50% since the beginning of industrialization. In the last 30 years the level has risen 17%, from about 350 ppm to nearly 410 ppm. This is what scares people. Is is time to panic and stop carbon emissions altogether as Greta Thunberg has suggested?As if on cue the climate models have been adjusted, and they suddenly show a much higher rate of temperature increase, in this case what is supposed to happen to global temperatures for a doubling of CO2 from pre-industrial times, from 270ppm to 540ppm.

There are two ways to approach this problem. The models make certain assumptions about the behavior of the changing atmosphere and model future temperature changes. This is the approach taken by IPCC for the last 32 years. These models are all failing miserably when compared to actual temperature changes.

The other way i to observe what is actually happening to our temperature over time as the CO2 increases. We have 50 years of excellent global temperature data, so with these we can see where, when and by how much the earth has warmed.

The most drastic temperature rise on earth has been in the Arctic above the 80th latitude. In the winter of 2019 it was 4C above the 50 year average. See charts from the Danish Meteorological Institute:

Note, there is no increase at all in the summer temperatures!

The fall temperature saw an increase of 4C and the spring temperature saw an increase of about 2.5C.

Notice: In this chart the there is no recorded summer temperature increase at all, but the onset of fall freezing was delayed by 3 weeks.

The 5 thru 8C winter rise of temperature is significant, most would even say alarming, but my response is, why is that?

To get the answer we must study molecular absorption spectroscopy and explain a couple of facts for the 97% of all scientists who have not studied molecular spectroscopy. IPCC and most scientists claim that the greenhouse effect is dependent on the gases that are in the atmosphere, and their combined effect is additive according to a logarithmic formula. This is true up to a certain point, but it is not possible to absorb more than 100% of all the energy available in a certain frequency band! For example: If water vapor absorbs 50% of all incoming energy in a certain band, and CO2 absorbs another 90% of the energy in the same band, the result is that 95% is absorbed, (90% + 50% * (100% – 90%)),  not 140%, (90% + 50%).

The following chart shows both CO2 and H2O are absorbing greenhouse gases, with H20 being the stronger greenhouse gas, absorbing over a much wider spectrum, and they overlap for the most part. But it also matters in what frequency range s they absorb.

For this we will have to look at the frequency ranges of the incoming solar radiation and the outgoing black body radiation of the earth. It is the latter that causes the greenhouse effect. Take a look at this chart:

The red area represents the observed amount of solar radiation that reaches the earth’s surface, the white area under the red line represents radiation absorbed in the atmosphere. Likewise, the blue area represents the outgoing black body radiation that is re-emitted. The remaining white area under the magenta, blue or black line represents the retained absorbed energy that causes the greenhouse effect.

Let us  now take a look at the Carbon Dioxide bands of absorption, at 2.7, 4.3 and 15 microns. Of them the 2.7 and 4.3 micron bands absorb where there is little black body radiation, the only band that is of interest is at 15 microns, and that is in a band where the black body radiation has its maximum. However it is also in a band where water vapor also absorb, not as much as CO2,only about 20% to 70% as much. Water vapor or absolute humidity is highly dependent on the temperature of the air, so at 30C there may be 50 times as much water vapor, at 0C there may be ten times as much water vapor, and at -25C there may be more CO2 than water vapor. At those low temperatures the gases are mostly additive. In the tropics with fifty times more water vapor than CO2, increased CO2 has no influence on the temperature whatsoever. Temperature charts confirm this assertion:

Here the temperature in the tropics displays no trend whatsoever. It follows the temperature of the oceans, goes up in an El Niño and down in a La Niña. The temperature in the southern hemisphere shows no trend. In the northern temperate region there is a slight increase, but the great increase is occurring in the Arctic. There is no increase in the Antarctic yet even though the increase in CO2 is greater in the Antarctic and the winter temperature in the Antarctic is even lower than in the Arctic. So CO2 increase cannot be the sole answer to the winter temperature increase in the Arctic.

There is an obvious answer. When temperatures increase the air can contain more moisture and will transport more moisture from the tropics all the way to the arctic, where it falls as snow. Is the snow increasing in the Northern Hemisphere?

Let us see what the snow statistics show. These are from the Rutgers’ snow lab.

The fall snow extent is increasing, and has increased by more than 2 percent per year.

The winter snowfall has also increased but only by 0.04 percent per year. The snow covers all of Russia, Northern China, Mongolia, Tibet, Kashmir and northern Pakistan, Northern Afghanistan, Northern Iran, Turkey, Part of Eastern Europe, Scandinavia, Canada, Alaska, Greenland and part of Western and Northern United States.

In the spring on the other hand the snow pack is melting faster, about 1.6 percent less snow per year. One of the major reasons for an earlier snow-melt is that the air is getting dirtier, especially over China, and to some extent Russia. The soot from burning coal and mining and manufacturing changes the albedo of the snow. The soot is visible on old snow all the way up to the North Pole. The other reason is that the poles are getting warmer. In the fall and winter it is mostly due to increased snowfall, but in the spring, as soon as the temperature rises over the freezing point, melting occurs.

So the warming of the poles, far from being an impending end of mankind as we know it, may even be beneficial. Warmer poles in the winter means less temperature gradient between the poles and the tropics, leading to less severe storms. They will still be there, but less severe.

There is one great benefit of increased CO2, the greening of the earth.

Thanks to this greening, accomplished with only the fertilizing effect of CO2, the earth can now keep another 2 billion people from starvation, not to mention what it does to increase wild plants and wildlife. More vegetation also helps to combat erosion.

Having said that, I am still a conservationist. Coal, oil and gas will run out at some time, and I for one would like to save some for future generations, not yet born. In addition I would like to minimize the need for mining, which can be quite destructive to the environment.

The best solution is to switch most electricity generation to Thorium molten salt nuclear power. There are many reasons why this should be done as a priority.

Here are some of them:

The case for Thorium. 1. A million year supply of Thorium available worldwide.

The case for Thorium. 2. Thorium already mined, ready to be extracted.

The case for Thorium. 3. Thorium based nuclear power produces 0.012 percent as much TRansUranium waste products as traditional nuclear power.

The case for Thorium. 4. Thorium based nuclear power will produce Plutonium-238, needed for space exploration.

The case for Thorium. 5. Thorium nuclear power is only realistic solution to power space colonies.

The case for Thorium. 6. Radioactive waste from an Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor decays down to background radiation in 300 years compared to a million years for U-235 based reactors. A Limerick.

The case for Thorium. 7. Thorium based nuclear power is not suited for making nuclear bombs.

The case tor Thorium. 8. Produces isotopes that helps treat and maybe cure certain cancers.

The case for Thorium. 9. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors are earthquake safe, only gravity needed for safe shutdown.

The case for Thorium. 10. Molten Salt Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors cannot have a meltdown, the fuel is already molten, and it is a continuous process. No need for refueling shutdowns.

The case for Thorium. 11. Molten Salt Nuclear Reactors have a very high negative temperature coefficient leading to a safe and stable control.

The case for Thorium 13. Virtually no spent fuel problem, very little on site storage or transport.

The case for Thorium. 14. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Nuclear reactors scale beautifully from small portable generators to full size power plants.

The case for Thorium. 15. No need for evacuation zones, Liquid Fuel Thorium Reactors can be placed near urban areas.

The case for Thorium. 16. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors will work both as Base Load and Load Following power plants.

The case for Thorium. 17. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors will lessen the need for an expanded national grid.

The case for Thorium. 18. Russia has an active Thorium program.

The case for Thorium. 19. India is having an ambitious Thorium program, planning to meet 30% of its electricity demand via Thorium based reactors by 2050.

The case for Thorium 20. China is having a massive Thorium program.

The case for Thorium. 21. United States used to be the leader in Thorium usage. What happened?

The case for Thorium. 22. With a Molten Salt Reactor, accidents like the Three Mile Island disaster will not happen.

The case for Thorium. 23. With a Molten Salt Reactor, accidents like Chernobyl are impossible.

The case for Thorium. 24. With Molten Salt Reactors, a catastrophe like Fukushima cannot happen.

The case for Thorium. 25. Will produce electrical energy at about 4 cents per kWh.

The case for Thorium. 26. Can deplete most of the existing radioactive waste and nuclear weapons stockpiles.

The case for Thorium. 27. With electric cars and trucks replacing combustion engine cars, only Thorium Nuclear power is the rational solution to provide the extra electric power needed.

The case for Thorium 28. The race for space colonies is on. Only Molten Salt Thorium Nuclear reactors can fit the bill.

Published by

lenbilen

Retired engineer, graduated from Chalmers Technical University a long time ago with a degree in Technical Physics. Career in Aerospace, Analytical Chemistry, computer chip manufacturing and finally adjunct faculty at Pennsylvania State University, taught just one course in Computer Engineering, the Capstone Course.

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Is Sweden near “herd immunity”? There are hopeful signs that herd immunity against COVID-19 is much closer than previously thought.

“Sweden has gone from being the country with the most infections in Europe to the safest one”. As the rest of Europe and the world remains under the grip of draconian rules and the threat of new lockdowns, Sweden, which allowed its citizens to remain free throughout the entire pandemic, has pretty much declared victory over the coronavirus. The country now has one of the lowest infection rates on the planet, and it’s difficult not to admire how it has handled the past year, with no strict lockdown or compulsory face mask rules. All businesses, schools and public places remained open in Sweden for the duration.

“Sweden has gone from being the country with the most infections in Europe to the safest one,” Sweden’s senior epidemiologist Dr. Anders Tegnell commented to Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera. “What we see now is that the sustainable policy might be slower in getting results, but it will get results eventually,” Tegnell clarified. “And then we also hope that the result will be more stable,” he added.

Tegnell previously warned that encouraging people to wear face masks is “very dangerous” because it gives a false sense of security but does not effectively stem the spread of the virus. “The findings that have been produced through face masks are astonishingly weak, even though so many people around the world wear them,” Tengell has urged.

Last week, the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control confirmed Sweden’s drop in infection rate, with only 12 cases per million, compared to 18 in neighbouring Denmark and 14 in nearby Norway. At the peak of the Sweden’s outbreak, it was seeing 108 new infections per million people, as it pursued a “herd immunity” strategy.

The figures also show that out of 2500 randomly selected and tested people in Sweden, none tested positive, compared to 0.9 percent positive in April, and 0.3 percent in May. “We interpret this as meaning there is not currently a widespread infection among people who do not have symptoms,” said Karin Tegmark, deputy head of the Public Health Agency of Sweden.

When compared to the rest of Europe, Sweden’s death rate sits somewhere in the middle. However, officials are confident that playing the long game will see this improve drastically.

1. Italy 277,634 35,541 12.8%

2. United Kingdom 347,152 41,551 12.0%

3. Belgium 87,825 9,906 11.3%

4. France 324,777 30,724 9.5%

5. Netherlands 74,787 6,243 8.4%

6. Channel Islands 631 48 7.6%

7. Hungary 8,387 624 7.4%

8. Isle of Man 337 24 7.1%

9. Sweden 84,985 5,835 6,9%

This compares favorably with the seven day moving average as of September 7 of COVID-19 infection rate per million people for the rest of Europe:

France         105

Bosnia and Herzegovina 73

Spain             70

Croatia          64

Romania       63

Ukraine         55

Czechia          55

Belgium         42

Netherlands 41

Switzerland  40

Portugal        35

Austria          34

UK                  30

Ireland          27

Denmark      27

Italy               21

Bulgaria       18

Greece          18

Germany      15

Poland          14

One country had a larger second wave than the first wave of cases, the waves have been completed and the current case rate for

Serbia   is       9 daily cases per million people.

They may be close to herd immunity too.

 

 

U.S.A. corona virus death rate as of September 5 is 3.00%, 41 countries have higher death rates. 15 countries giving HCQ+Zinc+Z-pac to COVID-19 patients as soon as symptoms occur have much lower death rates.

In 1956, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved HCQ for symptoms of lupus and rheumatoid arthritis, particularly skin inflammation, hair loss, mouth sores, fatigue, and joint pain. It was deemed safe to take in perpetuity with a weight appropriate daily dose, typically 250 to 500 mg/day. In fact it is deemed so safe that pregnant women and nursing mothers can take it without restrictions.

The number of corona-virus cases for U.S.A as of September 5 is 6,452,833 and  deaths are  193,121 making the death rate 3.00%. There are four states: New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Michigan, under DOJ  investigation because they required nursing homes to admit and readmit COVID-19 cases resulting in many deaths. If these states are excluded from the count the death rate would be 2.30%

The Democratic convention speakers assured us that this was the worst result of any country in the world, thanks to President Trump’s inaction and refusal to accept science. So, how does U.S.A. compare to the rest of the world? The cases, deaths and death rates for all countries with higher death rates are listed below:

(All numbers are received from  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/)

1. Yemen                                                      1,987                      572   28.8%

2. Italy                                                      277,634                 35,541    12.8%

3. United Kingdom                               347,152                 41,551      12.0%

4. Belgium                                                87,825                   9,906      11.3%

5. Mexico                                                 629,409                 67,326     10.7%

6. France                                                 324,777                 30,724       9.5%

7. Netherlands                                         74,787                   6,243        8.4%

8. Channel Islands                                        631                        48        7.6%

9. Hungary                                                 8,387                        624      7.4%

9. Chad                                                      1,034                           77        7.4%

10. Isle of Man                                               337                        24        7.1%

11. Canada                                              131,858                    9,145       6.9%

11. Sweden                                                84,985                    5,835       6,9%

13 Liberia                                                   1,307                       82          6.3%

14. Sudan                                                   13,407                      832        6.2%

15. Ireland                                                 29,672                  1,777        6.0%

16. San Marino                                             716                         42       5.9%

16. Niger                                                      1,177                       69        5.9%

18. Iran                                                     386,658                22,293      5.8%

19. Ecuador                                             118,045                  6,724       5.7%

19. Spain                                                  517,133                 29,418      5.7%

21. Egypt                                                    98,062                  5,342       5.4%

22. Switzerland                                        44,401                  2,013       4.5%

22. Mali                                                       2,842                     127        4.5%

22. Bolivia                                             120,241                  5,398          4.5%

25. Andorra                                                1,215                       53        4.4%

26. Slovenia                                                3,165                     135        4.3%

26. Peru                                                   683,702               29,687        4.3%

28. Indonesia                                         194,109                 8,025         4.1%

28. Finland                                                  8,291                   336          4.1%

28. North Macedonia                            15,090                    617           4.1%

28. Tanzania                                                509                       21           4.1%

32. Barbados                                                 178                         7         3.9%

32. Burkina Faso                                      1,408                       55          3.9%

32. Bulgaria                                             17,050                   671           3.9%

35. Germany                                         251,456                 9,401          3.7%

35. Sint Maarten                                         511                      19           3.7%

35. Guatemala                                         77,481                2,845          3.7%

35. Afghanistan                                      38,398                1,412           3,7%

39. Denmark                                           17,883                   627           3.5%

40. Brazil                                             4,123,000             126,266          3.1%

41. Poland                                                70,824                 2,120           3.0%

That’s right! U.S.A. ranks as 42th worst country!

Now there are countries that do better, some much better. One group has this in common: They administer a proper therapy of hydroxychloroquine, most often with Zinc and Z-max as soon as symptoms occur, with or without a positive test. Some of the countries are so poor that it is all they can afford. The result?

 

Country               Cases     Deaths

1. Qatar                120,905          203    0.17%   The country of Qatar consists of 88% temporary workers between the ages of 20 and 60 and most of the deaths occurred in the remaining 12% of the original population.  This means that the death rate of persons between the ages of 20 and 60 is less than 0.2% if given HCQ + Zinc  as soon as symptoms occur or as a prophylactic administered instead of contact tracing and quarantine. If this regimen would be implemented immediately we could fully open schools and universities, have college and professional sports again and fully open all businesses. The most vulnerable would of course still have to be protected.

2. Bahrain               54,771        199     0.3%  Again, about half of the population are  immigrants or guest workers. They have a high rate of obesity and diabetes, but HCQ seems to be working excellent in Bahrain

3. UAE                      73,984        388     0.5%  The United Arab Emirates is a nation of 88% non-citizen immigrants and guest workers. there are over twice as many males as there are females.

4. Israel                 130,157      1,012    0.8%

5. Costa Rica            46,920        478    1.0%

6. Malaysia               9,397         128    1.4%

7. South Korea      21,177          334    1.6%

8. India              4,202,562     71,687   1.71%

9. Russia             1,025,505   17,820    1.74%

10. Morocco           72,394       1,361   1.9%

11. Ukraine          135,894       2,846   2.1%

12. Senegal             13,987         290     2.1%

13. Cuba                    4,309          101   2.3%

14. Turkey            279,806      6,673    2.4%

15. Greece               11,524         284    2.5%

There are countries that are not doing as well as U.S.A. in combating the corona pandemic, even though they freely administer HCQ. They are

16. Algeria                 46,364     1,556   3.4%

17. Indonesia          194,109     8,025   4.1%

and probably others. Many countries’ health statistics are of dubious accuracy. That is why China is excluded.

Other countries, such as

Iceland                        2,141          10      0.5%

Faeroe Islands              413             0     0.0%

Japan                        70,876        1,349   1.9%   have had success with a thorough contact tracing and quarantine. This can only be done if caught at the earliest stages of the disease. Remember, Japan never allowed the people from the infected cruise ship to enter Japanese soil and be treated in hospitals.

Vaccine may not be as effective as first thought. The china corona virus has mutated into 11 strains, and continues to mutate, so a universal vaccine cannot be developed, but like the flu, every year will have a new regional strain to combat.

The solution is to implement a hydroxychloroquine + Zinc + Zitromax regimen, both as a prophylactic and as a therapy as soon as symptoms occur.

According to the Ford study treatment with hydroxychloroquine cut the death rate significantly in sick patients hospitalized with COVID-19 – and without heart-related side-effects, the new study published by Henry Ford Health System. The death rate was cut in half for patients treated with HCQ. It is even more dramatic if HCQ is administered as soon as symptoms occur, over 40 international studies have shown an up to 80+% reduction in death rates. For some reason FDA and CDC do not acknowledge international studies. They rather let people die than accept a drug that has been approved for 64 years, and given freely to people with Lupus. It is so safe it is even given to pregnant women and nursing mothers.

How many extra deaths are we talking about? HCQ is already administered under right to try by about 16% of all cases. If it had been recommended in April, one month after President Trump recommended it based on excellent results in french studies, about half the deaths from then on could have been avoided. It adds up, about 1.5% of all cases since April 15, or about 78,000 deaths could have been avoided,  and moving forward about 600 deaths a day. This is in my opinion a low estimate.

Another significant moment in the hydroxychloroquine debate came on July 23 in the form of an opinion piece. Harvey A. Risch, MD, PhD, a professor of epidemiology at Yale School of Public Health with many years of healthcare experience, wrote in favor of the medication, calling it “highly effective” and describing physicians who use it “in the face of widespread skepticism” as heroes.

In his opinion piece, Risch listed several studies that have pointed to the benefits of treating COVID-19 with hydroxychloroquine. He also wrote about how the medication has been politicized and said it “has not been used properly in many studies.”

“In the future, I believe this misbegotten episode regarding hydroxychloroquine will be studied by sociologists of medicine as a classic example of how extra-scientific factors overrode clear-cut medical evidence,” he concluded. “But for now, reality demands a clear, scientific eye on the evidence and where it points. For the sake of high-risk patients, for the sake of our parents and grandparents, for the sake of the unemployed, for our economy and for our polity, especially those disproportionally affected, we must start treating immediately.”

His assessment of lives saved with HCQ ++ was 70,000 lives would have been saved as of Aug 1 if HCQ had been used as early as possible. He is the scientist, I am using public data drawn from a population of 2 billion people, and we reached a very similar conclusion.

Do it! The fact that President Trump has advocated it as early as March should not be a hindrance to save 600 lives a day!

U.S.A. corona virus death rate currently at 3.05%, 43 countries have higher death rates. 15 countries giving HCQ+Zinc+Z-max have much lower death rates.

The number of corona-virus cases for U.S.A as of August 27 is 6,086,178  deaths are  185,692 and the death rate is 3.05%. There are four states: New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Michigan, under DOJ  investigation because they required nursing homes to admit and readmit COVID-19 cases resulting in many deaths. If these states are excluded from the count the death rate would be 2.35%

The Democratic convention speakers assured us that this was the worst result of any country in the world, thanks to President Trump’s inaction and refusal to accept science. So, how does U.S.A. compare to the rest of the world? The cases, deaths and death rates for all countries with higher death rates are listed below:

1. Yemen                                                      1,943                      563    29.0%

2. Italy                                                      265,409                 35,472    13.4%

3. United Kingdom                               331,644                 41,486      12.5%

4. Belgium                                                83,500                   9,884      11.8%

5. France                                                 267,077                 30,596     11.5%

6. Hungary                                                 5,511                        614    11.1%

7. Mexico                                                 579,914                 62,594     10.8%

8. Netherlands                                          69,131                   6,220       9.0%

9. Channel Islands                                        625                        48        7.7%

10. Chad                                                      1,008                         77        7.6%

11. Canada                                              127,074                    9,108       7.2%

12. Spain                                                  455,621                  29,011      7.1%

13. Isle of Man                                               336                         24       7.1%

14. Sweden                                                83,958                    5,821       6,9%

15. Sudan                                                   13,082                      823        6.3%

16. Liberia                                                   1,298                        82        6.3%

17. Ireland                                                 28,578                  1,778        6.2%

18. San Marino                                             710                         42       5.9%

19. Niger                                                      1,173                       69        5.9%

20. Ecuador                                             112,141                  6,504       5.8%

21. Iran                                                     369,911                21,249      5.7%

22. Egypt                                                    98,062                  5,342       5.4%

23. Switzerland                                        41,346                  2,004       4.8%

23. Slovenia                                                2,797                     133        4.8%

25. Andorra                                                1,124                       53        4.7%

26. Mali                                                       2,736                     126        4.6%

27. Peru                                                   621,997                28,277       4.5%

28. Indonesia                                         165,887                 7,169         4.3%

29. Barbados                                                 165                         7         4,2%

29. Finland                                                  8,042                     335          4.2%

29. North Macedonia                            14,163                    590           4.2%

29. Bolivia                                             113,129                  4,791          4.2%

33. Burkina Faso                                      1,352                       55          4.1%

33. Tanzania                                                509                       21           4.1%

34. Germany                                         242,101                 9,360           3.9%

35. Sint Maarten                                          444                      17          3.8%

36. Denmark                                           16,700                    624           3.7%

36. Guatemala                                         72,921                2,709           3.7%

36. Afghanistan                                      38,140                 1,402           3,7%

26. Bulgaria                                             15,908                    594           3.7%

40. Brazil                                             3,772,945            118,988           3.2%

41. Iraq                                                    223,612                6,814           3.1%

41. Poland                                                65,480                 2,018           3.1%

That’s right! U.S.A. ranks as 43th worst country!

Now there are countries that do better, some much better. One group has this in common: They administer a proper therapy of hydroxychloroquine, most often with Zinc and Z-max as soon as symptoms occur, with or without a positive test. Some of the countries are so poor that it is all they can afford. The result?

Country               Cases     Deaths

1. Qatar                118,196          196    0.2%   The country of Qatar consists of 88% temporary workers between the ages of 20 and 60 and most of the deaths occurred in the remaining 12% of the original population.  This means that the death rate of persons between the ages of 20 and 60 is less than 0.2% if given HCQ + Zinc  as soon as symptoms occur or as a prophylactic administered instead of contact tracing and quarantine. If this regimen would be implemented immediately we could fully open schools and universities, have college and professional sports again and fully open all businesses. Only protect the most vulnerable.

2. Bahrain               50,756        189     0.4%  Again, about half of the population are  immigrants or guest workers. They have a high rate of obesity and diabetes, but HCQ seems to be working excellent in Bahrain

3. UAE                      68,901        379     0.6%  The United Arab Emirates is a nation of 88% non-citizen immigrants and guest workers. there are over twice as many males as there are females.

4. Israel                 112,000        894     0.8%

5. Costa Rica            38,485        407    1.1%

6. Malaysia               9,306         125    1.3%

7. Russia               980,405    16,914    1.7%

8. South Korea      19,077          316    1.7%

9. India              3,461,240     62,713   1.8%

10. Morocco           58,489       1,052   1.8%

11. Ukraine          114,497       2,451   2.1%

12. Senegal             13,384         279     2.1%

13. Turkey            265,515      6,245     2.4%

14. Cuba                    3,866           92    2.4%

15. Greece                 9,800         259    2.6%

There are countries that are not doing as well as U.S.A. in combating the corona pandemic, even though they freely administer HCQ. They are

16. Algeria                 43,403     1,483    3.4%

17.Indonesia          165,887     7,169     4.3%

and probably others. Many countries’ health statistics are of dubious accuracy. That is why China is excluded.

Other countries, such as

Iceland                        2,092          10      0.5%

Faeroe Islands              411             0     0.0%

Japan                        64,668        1,226   1.9%   have had success with a thorough contact tracing and quarantine. This can only be done if caught at the earliest stages of the disease. Remember, Japan never allowed the people from the infected cruise ship to enter Japanese soil and be treated in hospitals.

Vaccine may not be as effective as first thought. The china corona virus has mutated into 11 strains, and continues to mutate, so a universal vaccine cannot be developed, but like the flu, every year will have a new strain to combat.

The only solution is to implement a hydroxychloroquine + Zinc + Zitromax regimen, both as a prophylactic and as a therapy as soon as symptoms occur.

According to the Ford study treatment with hydroxychloroquine cut the death rate significantly in sick patients hospitalized with COVID-19 – and without heart-related side-effects, according to a new study published by Henry Ford Health System. The death rate was cut in half for patients treated with HCQ. It is even more dramatic if HCQ is administered as soon as symptoms occur, over 40 international studies have shown an up to 80+% reduction in death rates. For some reason FDA and CDC do not acknowledge international studies. They rather let people die than accept a drug that has been approved for over50 years, and given freely to people with Lupus. It is so safe it is even given to pregnant women and nursing mothers.

How many extra deaths are we talking about? HCQ is already administered under right to try by about 16% of all cases. If it had been recommended in April, one month after President Trump recommended it based on excellent results in french studies, about half the deaths from then on could have been avoided. It adds up, about 1.5% of all cases since April 15, or about 78,000 deaths could have been avoided, and moving forward about 600 deaths a day. This is in my opinion a low estimate.

Another significant moment in the hydroxychloroquine debate came on July 23 in the form of an opinion piece. Harvey A. Risch, MD, PhD, a professor of epidemiology at Yale School of Public Health with years of healthcare experience, wrote in favor of the medication, calling it “highly effective” and describing physicians who use it “in the face of widespread skepticism” as heroes.

In his opinion piece, Risch listed several studies that have pointed to the benefits of treating COVID-19 with hydroxychloroquine. He also wrote about how the medication has been politicized and said it “has not been used properly in many studies.”

“In the future, I believe this misbegotten episode regarding hydroxychloroquine will be studied by sociologists of medicine as a classic example of how extra-scientific factors overrode clear-cut medical evidence,” he concluded. “But for now, reality demands a clear, scientific eye on the evidence and where it points. For the sake of high-risk patients, for the sake of our parents and grandparents, for the sake of the unemployed, for our economy and for our polity, especially those disproportionally affected, we must start treating immediately.”

His assessment of lives saved with HCQ ++ was 70,000 lives would have been saved as of Aug 1 if HCQ had been used as early as possible. He is the scientist, I am using public data drawn from a population of 2 billion people, and we reached a very similar conclusion.

Do it! The fact that President Trump has advocated it as early as March should not be a hindrance to save 600 lives a day!

U.S.A. death rate from the corona virus currently at 3.1%, 45 countries have higher death rates.

Here are the Corona-virus death rates for the 11 largest counties in the U.S.A

County               population             cases                    deaths  percentage deaths

Los Angeles      10,105,518             227,346                 5,446     2.4%

Cook, IL                5,180,493             119,000                 4,988     4.2%

Harris, TX             4,698,619             95,631                 1,122     1.2%

Maricopa, AZ     4,410,824             131,044                 2,745     2.1%

San Diego            3,343,364             35, 608                  644        1.8%

Orange, CA         3,185,968             44.936                    856        1.9%

Miami-Dade       2,761,581             150,305                 2,219     1.5%

Dallas                    2,637,772             69.343                  854         1.2%

Kings, NYC           2,582,830             65,867                  7,274     11.0%

Riverside, CA      2,450,758             48,956                  922         1.9%

Queens, NYC      2,278,906             70,770`                 7,212     10.2%

The total death rates are below 2% for 6 of the 11 largest counties, 2.4% for Los Angeles county and 2.1% for Phoenix in Arizona. Florida has 1.5% and Texas has 1.2%. Brooklyn and Queens in New York City are standouts, their death rates are over 10%. Thanks to Governor Cuomo’s directive to place covid patients back in nursing homes after they tested positive the death rate sky-rocketed in New York State. And Governor Cuomo bragged about how well he handled the Corona virus at the Democratic convention. But he was not alone. The governors of New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut and Michigan did the same, no extra protection for the most vulnerable. The Corona virus death rates could have been much lower. As it is, the cases, deaths and death rates for U.S.A.   is                5,784,781             178,972  and 3.1%

The Democratic convention speakers assured us that this was the worst result of any country in the world, thanks to President Trump’s inaction and refusal to accept science. So, how do U.S.A. compare to the rest of the world? The cases, deaths and death rates for all countries with higher death rates are listed below:

1. Yemen                                                  1,899                     541           28.5%

2. Italy                                                       257,065                 35,467   13.8%

3. France                                                  234,400                 30,503    13.0%

4. United Kingdom                               323,313                 41,405      12.8%

5. Belgium                                                80,178                   9,976       12.4%

6. Hungary                                               5,098                     611           12.0%

7. Mexico                                                 543,806                 59,106      10.9%

8. Netherlands                                       65,589                   6,195         9.4%

9. Channel Islands                                 614                         48             7.8%

10. Chad                                                      981                         76            7.7%

11. Canada                                                 124,099                 9,060        7.3%

12. Spain                                                     407,839                 28,838      7.1%

13. Isle of Man                                          336                         24              7.1%

14. Sweden                                                86,068                   5,810         6,7%

15. Sudan                                                   12,623                   812            6.4%

16. Liberia                                                   1,284                     82             6.4%

17. Ireland                                                  27,755                   1,776        6.4%

18. San Marino                                         704                         42             6.0%

19. Ecuador                                                106,481                 6,248        5.9%

20. Niger                                                     1,169                     69             5.9%

21. Iran                                                        354,763                 20,376     5.7%

22. Egypt                                                     97,025                   5,212        5.4%

23. Switzerland                                        39,332                   2,000        5.1%

24. Slovenia                                               2,574                     130           5.1%

25. Andorra                                               1,045                     53             5.0%

26. Peru                                                      567,059                 27,034     4.8%

27. Sint Maarten                                      353                         17             4.8%

28. Martinique                                         336                         16             4,8%

29. Mali                                                       2,667                     125           4.7%

30. Barbados                                             157                         7                4.5%

31. Indonesia                                            149,408                 6,500       4.4%

32. Burkina Faso                                      1,297                     55             4.2%

33. Finland                                                 7,871                     334           4.2%

34. North Macedonia                             13,308                   557            4.2%

35. Saint Martin                                       121                         5                4.1%

36. Bolivia                                                   106,065                 4.305       4.1%

37. Tanzania                                              509                         21             4.1%

38. Germany                                             233,002                 9,328         4.0%

39. Denmark                                             16,127                   621            3.9%

40. Guatemala                                          66,941                   2,532         3.8%

41. Afghanistan                                        37,894                   1,385         3,7%

42. Bulgaria                                                14962                    532           3.6%

43. Brazil                                                     3,513,039             112,670    3.2%

44. Iraq                                                        197,085                 6,283        3.2%

45. Poland                                                  60,281                   1,938         3.2%

That’s right! U.S.A. ranks as 46th worst country!

Now there are countries that do better, some much better. One group has this in common: They administer a proper therapy of hydroxychloroquine, most often with Zinc and Z-max as soon as symptoms occur, with or without a positive test. Some of the countries are so poor that it is all they can afford. The result?

U.S.A. could do even better by adopting this therapeutic remedy.

Do it! The fact that President Trump has advocated it should not be a hindrance to save lives!

It is even worse than we thought. The China-virus was developed as a bioweapon and released.

This article needs wide distribution. It is eye-opening, showing clearly the Chinese origin and intent with the China-virus. It also shows the difficulty in developing a universal vaccine against it; it may never succeed. This means we may have to live through the pandemic until herd immunity is established, like Sweden has been doing. The solution is to concentrate on therapeutics, and the .minimum we should do is to immediately release the HCQ + Z-max + Zinc remedy for sale over the counter. Here is a petition to the WhiteHouse to allow HCQ to be sold over the counter.   Please sign it if you are concerned about saving lives. According to the Ford study treatment with hydroxychloroquine cut the death rate significantly in sick patients hospitalized with COVID-19 – and without heart-related side-effects, according to a new study published by Henry Ford Health System. The death rate was cut in half for patients treated with HCQ. It it even more dramatic if HCQ is administered as soon as symptoms occur, over 40 international studies have shown an up to 80+% reduction in death rates. For some reason FDA and CDC do not acknowledge international studies.

The article:

August 10, 2020 (LifeSiteNews) author: Stephen Mosher – It will not be possible for the Dr. Fauci’s of the world to dismiss Professor Giuseppe Tritto as a crank.  Not only is he an internationally known expert in biotechnology and nanotechnology who has had a stellar academic career, but he is also the president of the World Academy of Biomedical Sciences and Technologies (WABT), an institution founded under the aegis of UNESCO in 1997.

In other words, he is a man of considerable stature in the global scientific community.  Equally important, one of the goals of WABT is to analyze the effect of biotechnologies—like genetic engineering—on humanity.

In his new book, this world-class scientist does exactly that.  And what he says is that the China Virus definitely wasn’t a freak of nature that happened to cross the species barrier from bat to man.  It was genetically engineered in the Wuhan Institute of Virology’s P4 (high-containment) lab in a program supervised by the Chinese military.

Prof. Tritto’s book, which at present is available only in Italian, is called Cina COVID 19: La Chimera che ha cambiato il Mondo (China COVID 19: The chimera that changed the world).  It was published on August 4 by a major Italian press, Edizioni Cantagalli, which coincidently also published the Italian edition of one of Stephen Mosher’s books, Population Control (Controllo Demografico in Italian) several years ago.

What sets Prof. Tritto’s book apart is the fact that it demonstrates—conclusively, in Stephen Mosher’s view—the pathway by which a PLA-owned coronavirus was genetically modified to become the China Virus now ravaging the world.  His account leaves no doubt that it is a “chimera”, an organism created in a lab.

He also connects the dots linking the Wuhan lab to France and the United States, showing how both countries provided financial and scientific help to the Chinese as they began to conduct ever more dangerous bioengineering experiments.  Although neither American nor French virologists are responsible for the end result—a highly infectious coronavirus and a global pandemic—their early involvement may explain why so many insist that the “chimera” must have come from nature.  The last thing they want to admit is that they might have had a hand in it.

e48732f57b5dc09b822b1aeeab63ca5900d2c2884b70b0af747bfe6f521bb8d4WuhanLab

In 2015 President Barack Obama, Dr. Anthony Fauci and Melinda Gates visited the Wuhan lab after giving a 3.5 million research grant to study bat viruses and maybe develop a vaccine against it.  At some other forum he also said ” there is “no doubt” Donald J. Trump will be confronted with a surprise infectious disease outbreak during his presidency.”

Those of us who, early on, argued for a laboratory origin were dismissed as conspiracy theorists. Our articles were censored as “fake news,” often by American virologists who knew perfectly well what the truth was, but preferred to protect China, and themselves, from scrutiny lest they themselves be implicated.

Dr. Tritto’s 272 pages of names, dates, places, and facts leaves such apologists with no place to hide.  The story begins following the SARS epidemic of 2003, as the Chinese attempt to develop vaccines to combat the deadly disease.  Dr. Shi Zhengli, about whom I have previously written, was in charge of the program at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.

In vaccine development, reverse genetics is used to create viral strains that have reduced pathogenicity but to which the immune system responds by creating antibodies against the virus. But reverse genetics can also be used to create viral strains that have increased pathogenicity.  That is what Dr. Shi, encouraged by PLA bioweapons experts, began increasingly to focus her research on, according to Prof. Tritto.

Dr. Shi first solicited help from the French government, which built the P4 lab, and from the country’s Pasteur institute, which showed her how to manipulate HIV genomes. The gene insertion method used is called “reverse genetics system 2.”  Using this method, she inserted an HIV segment into a coronavirus discovered in horseshoe bats to make it more infectious and lethal.

The U.S. was involved as well, particularly Prof Ralph S. Baric, of the University of North Carolina, who was on the receiving end of major grants from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease.  This is, of course, Dr. Anthony Fauci’s shop.  Fauci was a big proponent of “gain of function” research, and when this was prohibited at Baric’s lab because it was considered to be too dangerous, the research was shifted to China.

Prof. Tritto believes that, while Dr. Shi’s research began as an effort to develop a vaccine against SARS, it gradually morphed into an effort to use “reverse genetics” to build lethal biological weapons.  This was the reason that the Wuhan lab became China’s leading center for virology research in recent years, attracting major funding and support from the central government.

Stephen Mosher would add that the rule in Communist-controlled China is “let the civilian support the military,” which means that as soon as Dr. Shi’s research showed any potential military uses the PLA would have begun exercising control of the research.  This came out in the open with the outbreak, when China’s leading expert on bioweapons, People’s Liberation Army Major General Chen Wei, was immediately placed in charge of the Wuhan Institute of Virology. As for Dr. Shi Zheng-Li, she seems to have disappeared.

As Dr. Tritto explained in an interview with Italian media:

In 2005, after the SARS epidemic, the Wuhan Institute of Virology was born, headed by Dr. Shi Zheng-Li, who collects coronaviruses from certain bat species and recombines them with other viral components in order to create vaccines. In 2010 she came into contact with American researchers led by Prof. Ralph Baric, who in turn works on recombinant viruses based on coronaviruses. Thanks to the matrix viruses provided by Shi, Baric created in 2015 a mouse Sars-virus chimera, which has a pathogenic effect on human cells analyzed in vitro.

At that point, the China-US collaboration becomes competition. Shi wants to work on a more powerful virus to make a more powerful vaccine: it combines a bat virus with a pangolin virus in vitro and in 2017 publishes the results of this research in some scientific articles.

Her research attracts the interest of the Chinese military and medical-biological sector which deals with biological weapons used as a deterrent for defensive and offensive purposes. Thus Shi is joined by doctors and biologists who belong to the political-military sphere, such as Guo Deyin, a scholar of anti-AIDS and anti-viral hepatitis vaccines and expert in genetic recombination techniques. The introduction of the new engineered inserts into the virus genome is the result of the collaboration between the Shi team and that of Guo Deyin. The realization of this new chimera, from a scientific point of view, is a success. So much so that, once the epidemic has broken out, the two researchers ask WHO to register it as a new virus, H-nCoV-19 (Human new Covid 19), and not as another virus derived from SARS. It is reasonable to think that Shi acted only from the point of view of scientific prestige, without however taking into account the risks in terms of security and the political-military interests that her research would have aroused.

When asked why China has refused to provide the complete genome of the China Virus to the WHO or to other countries, Dr. Tritto explained that “providing the matrix virus would have meant admitting that SARS-CoV-2 [China Virus] was created in the laboratory. In fact, the incomplete genome made available by China lacks some inserts of AIDS amino acids, which itself is a smoking gun.” 

The key question, for those of us who are living through the pandemic, concerns the development of a vaccine.  On this score, Prof. Tritto is not optimistic:

Given the many mutations of SARS-CoV-2, it is extremely unlikely that a single vaccine that blocks the virus will be found. At the moment 11 different strains have been identified: the A2a genetic line which developed in Europe and the B1 genetic line which took root in North America are more contagious than the 0 strain originating in Wuhan. I therefore believe that, at the most, a multivalent vaccine can be found effective on 4-5 strains and thus able to cover 70-75% of the world’s population.

In other words, by withholding from the world the original genetic code of the China Virus that it created, the Chinese Communist Party is ensuring that no completely effective vaccine will ever be developed by the West.

In other words, China continues to lie, and people continue to die.

Steven W. Mosher @StevenWMosher is the President of the Population Research Institute and the author of Bully of Asia:  Why China’s “Dream” is the New Threat to World Order.

Before the “Big Bang” is “I am”. A Limerick.

Before the “Big Bang” is “I am”.

Creation by God, not a scam.

He said: “Let there be light”.

And there was: With God’s might.

The Triune, eternal “I am”.

As it so happens, the triune God is introduced early in the Bible, in Genesis 1:1-3

In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth. Now the earth was formless and empty, darkness was over the surface of the deep, and the Spirit of God was hovering over the waters. 3 And God said, “Let there be light,” and there was light.

This establishes a few things. There was a beginning. Before the beginning was God. He is named Elohim (the strongest strong one). The covenant name Jehovah is introduced in Genesis 2:4b: in the day that the LORD God made the earth and the heavens, and this points to the fact that it is Jehovah, the Father that is the creator. Verse 2 points to the Spirit of God hovering over the waters, that is the Holy spirit. Verse 3 mentions God said, Let there be light. That is the word. As the Apostle John wrote in John 1:14 And the Word was made flesh, and dwelt among us, (and we beheld his glory, the glory as of the only begotten of the Father,) full of grace and truth. This refers to the Son, the Lord Jesus Christ.

There we have it: The triune God, Father, Son and the Holy spirit defined already in Genesis 1:1-3.

We are bound in time and Space. God is not. Before the Big Bang, time and space has no meaning for us. Therefore it is not possible for us to even begin to comprehend the greatness of God.  As the Prophet Isaiah wrote a long time ago (In chapter 55)

Seek ye the Lord while he may be found, call ye upon him while he is near:

Let the wicked forsake his way, and the unrighteous man his thoughts: and let him return unto the Lord, and he will have mercy upon him; and to our God, for he will abundantly pardon.

For my thoughts are not your thoughts, neither are your ways my ways, saith the Lord.

For as the heavens are higher than the earth, so are my ways higher than your ways, and my thoughts than your thoughts.

10 For as the rain cometh down, and the snow from heaven, and returneth not thither, but watereth the earth, and maketh it bring forth and bud, that it may give seed to the sower, and bread to the eater:

11 So shall my word be that goeth forth out of my mouth: it shall not return unto me void, but it shall accomplish that which I please, and it shall prosper in the thing whereto I sent it.

The Swedish COVID-19 experience, approaching herd immunity? Maybe they were right after all.

Deaths from the China virus is going down in Sweden. In total there has been  82,972 cases and 5,766 deaths from a population of 10,106,111 people.

Their case and death rate per million inhabitants are 8,210 and 571

For U.S.A. the corresponding rates are 15,711 and 500.

Sweden didn’t have a full lock-down but instituted some restrictions:

National ban on visiting retirement homes.

Ban on public gatherings of 50 people or more.

– The Government decided to stop non-essential travel to Sweden from countries outside the EU.

– New rules for restaurants, cafés and pubs, no closings but enforce social distancing and strict hygiene rules.

– Implement measures to avoid crowding of people in queues, at tables, buffets or bar counters.

– Ensure that guests can keep at least one meter’s ( 3 1/4 feet) distance from other people.

– Only serve food and drink to guests who are seated at a table or a bar counter.

– Guests are permitted to order and pick up food and drink, provided that this does not lead to crowding or queues.

– Offer guests the opportunity to wash their hands thoroughly with soap and water, or offer them hand sanitizer.

– Inform guests about how they can decrease the risk for spreading infection.

Sweden did not institute a mandatory mask mandate.

Elementary schools remained fully open.

https://http://www.krisinformation.se/en/hazards-and-risks/disasters-and-incidents/2020/official-information-on-the-new-coronavirus/restriktioner-och-forbud

The Swedish Medical Products Agency, Läkemedelsverket, stopped the use of hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine against the China virus on April 2, 2020, until October 31, 2020. Had these medications remained available for prescription by a general physician the death rates would have gone down, probably by about 50% according to over 40 international studies. This assumes medication would have been prescribed as soon as symptoms arose.

Their excuse: “The Medical Products Agency has received signals of a sharp increase in prescribing of chloroquine, which is judged to be related to the outbreak of covid-19. The drug is relevant in several ongoing clinical trials against covid-19. To counteract a shortage situation, a new regulation will limit prescribing to doctors with certain specialist competencies, as well as limiting the dispensing of the medicine.”

In other words: We don’t care if people die before our clinical trials are complete.

source: https://http://www.lakemedelsverket.se/sv/nyheter/utlamnande-pa-recept-av-klorokin-och-hydroxiklorokin-begransas-i-ny-foreskrift.

But to show heart, they add: “An approved drug containing hydroxychloroquine may be dispensed against a prescription from a pharmacy only if it has been prescribed by a doctor with specialist competence in rheumatology, skin and sexually transmitted diseases or pediatric and adolescent medicine.”

https://http://www.lakemedelsverket.se/495e67/globalassets/dokument/lagar-och-regler/hslf-fs/hslf-fs-2020-11.pdf

The Swedish Public Health Agency, Folkhälsomyndigheten, releases a weekly report about the China virus.

The week 31 report includes the following

Page 8: “Of the deaths confirmed since the beginning of the pandemic, 47 percent are from deceased residing in nursing homes. Of confirmed cases in nursing homes, the pandemic has killed 38 percent.”

Page 13: “From the start of the pandemic until the current reporting week, the average age of the deceased was 82 years (median age 84 years)”

https://http://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/globalassets/statistik-uppfoljning/smittsamma-sjukdomar/veckorapporter-covid-19/2020/covid-19-veckorapport-vecka-31-final.pdf

Good news on the corona-virus. Death rates are down drastically in most countries. Sweden is now a leader in COVID recovery.

The Corona-virus pandemic has now been with us half a year and for the first time the trends ate looking better, giving us hope that the worst is over.

In the beginning the worldwide death rate was 8,65% and it is now down to 2.23%, a reduction of 74.2%. Total deaths worldwide are about 700,000 which is still less then the annual TB deaths that amount to 1.6 million, of which 300,000 are HIV positive.

The corresponding numbers for U.S.A :  7.02%  death rate at the beginning of the disease. Ir is now down to 1.84%, a 74% decrease. With unrestricted availability to take HCQ+ we can reduce the death rate even further.

Now it is getting interesting. While nearly all industrialized nations shut down their non-essential functions, such as schools, elective surgery, elective medical diagnostics, non food stores, flights, travel, restaurants, non essential government services and the like Sweden took a different approach. They kept their elementary schools open, did not close stores and restaurants, only mandated increased hygiene and practice social distancing, and then they let the virus rage as a normal flu, and waited for the so called “herd immunity.” Sweden did their best. though to protect the vulnerable.

In the beginning the results were disastrous. The initial death rate was over 21%, it seemed  like a failed attempt, but then things started to calm down. In late spring the death rate had settled down to 9.2%, but then came a second wave of cases and everyone was bracing for the worst. But the death rate  did not rise, and is now down to 0.41%. Let the charts speak for themselves:

New cases do not disappear altogether, they may even rise as sporting events and large gatherings resume.

Deaths are way down. Maybe “herd immunity”  is achieved? Time will tell.

The death charts from Sweden gives me hope, even for a state like Florida. It escaped the early peak of cases, the most vulnerable were protected, so the max death rate was held at 7.74%. In June the teal wave of cases came, and was climbing until mid July, after which the daily new cases have declined. The deaths were rising until Aug 1, after which they too will follow the Swedish decline and “herd immunity will be reached in three months, if personal hygiene and social distancing protocols are still obeyed.  Here are the charts for Florida:

 

These charts follow the Swedish charts, but with a 3 month delay.