Climate change is real,but increasing CO2 is responsible for less than 14% of it.

1. The sun has gotten warmer the last 200 years, but we are now entering the ‘Eddy Grand solar minimum’.

The sun reverses its magnetic field every 11 years or so. and the sunspot intensity varies with time. Every 400 years or so it enters a grand solar minimum and the resulting average global temperature is reduced by about 1C at the minimum. This grand solar minimum started in 2020 and is accelerating. After 2070 the sun will again be more active.

2. The effect of the Milankovitch cycles.

We are near the end of the interglacial period, and from now on we will slowly enter a new ice age at a rate of 1C per 2000 years.

3. The earth’s magnetic field has begun to reverse poles.

The reversal of the earth’s magnetic field has begun and the field is now decreasing at about 1% per year. It is not noticeable yer except in the South Atlantic where the field is already 30% weaker. This is not so much a temperature event, but because more cosmic radiation will enter the earth it will rain more in areas that already has too much rain and worsen the drought ridden areas. In addition there will be increased damage from radiation effects.

4. The greenhouse effect increase.

The greenhouse effect is what makes life on earth,as we know it, possible.Without greenhouse effect the earth would be cooler by about 33 degrees Celsius.

The Earth has warmed 1.3 to 1.4 degree Celsius since the little ice age, coinciding with the beginning of the industrial age and the rate of increase has been increasing. To better understand how much of this warming is due to greenhouse gases look at this chart:

From this chart we can see that water vapor is by far the most important greenhouse gas, followed by CO2 with Methane and Nitrous oxide far behind. Oxygen is part of the atmosphere, and so is Nitrogen and their concentrations are assumed to be constant. Ozone concentration is too small to have any effect. Raleigh scattering is why the sky is blue and it is constant regardless of other factors.

The following chart shows both CO2 and H2O are absorbing greenhouse gases, with H20 being the stronger greenhouse gas, absorbing over a much wider spectrum, and they overlap for the most part. But it also matters in what frequency range s they absorb.

For this we will have to look at the frequency ranges of the incoming solar radiation and the outgoing black body radiation of the earth. It is the latter that causes the greenhouse effect. Take a look at this chart:

The red area represents the observed amount of solar radiation that reaches the earth’s surface. the white area under the red line represents radiation absorbed in the atmosphere. Likewise, the blue area represents the outgoing black body radiation that is re-emitted. The remaining white area under the magenta, blue or black line represents the retained absorbed energy that causes the greenhouse effect.

Let us now take a look at the Carbon Dioxide bands of absorption, at 2.7, 4.3 and 15 microns. Of them the 2.7 and 4.3 micron bands absorb where there is little black body radiation, the only band that counts is at 15 microns, and that is in a band where the black body radiation has its maximum. However it is also in a band where water vapor also absorb, not as much as CO2,only about 20% to 70% as much. The important thing is that in the frequency band of 14.5 to 15.5 micron CO2 absorbs all the energy available in that spectral range, and it also did it before industrialization when CO2 levels were one third less than today!

. But the top chart is deceiving, for it does not fully explain the net effect on radiation, from the sun or from the earth. The chart below displays it better:

The incoming solar radiation includes ultraviolet radiation, visible light and near infrared radiation. This is all the heat incoming to the earth, except what is conducted from the earth’s core. All area under the curves of the right half represent greenhouse gases absorption, except the blue area which represents energy radiated into space. The all dominant green-house gas is water vapor but CO2 contributes with 2 absorption bands, at 4.3 microns, 9.4, 10,4 and 14.9 microns. The 4.3 micron absorption is of almost no importance since it occurs at a wavelength where very little radiation is available, neither from the sun, nor from the earth’s black body radiation.

Let us take a closer look at the outgoing black body radiation and the atmospheric window:

The first thing to notice is that no absorption exceeds 100% , so at 14.9 micron wavelength CO2 absorbed 100%, and water vapor absorbed another 80%, the total sum is still 100%. It is impossible to absorb more than 100% of the total energy available for that wavelength. Therefore between the wavelengths 14 and 16 microns all energy was absorbed regardless of CO2 concentration and water vapor concentration. The olive area represents the extra absorption of CO2 at 280 ppm when the water vapor is taken out (you cannot absorb more than 100%). The small yellow slivers represent the extra CO2 absorption at 560 ppm. The white area between the brown total absorption area and the red earth emission line is the total emitted energy through the atmospheric window. Methane and N2O gas greenhouse absorption occur at wavelengths where water vapor already absorbs nearly 100%, so their contribution to greenhouse gases is negligible. Likewise Ozone absorption occurs where O2 also absorbs. From the picture below (thanks, NASA) we can see that the total amount of energy escaping through the atmospheric window from clouds and from the ground is on average (29.9 + 40.1) = 70 W/m2. In pre-industrial times the value would have been around 70.7 w/m2.

NASA update 9 August 2019

NASA has made a good estimate of the earth’s energy budget. Total incoming energy is 340.4 W/m2 and escaping through the atmospheric window is 70 W/m2, or 20.56%. Before the industrial age the value was about 70.7 W/m2 or 20.77%, an increase of 0.24%. A black body radiation is proportional to the fourth power of absolute temperature (Kelvin). The current average temp on earth is 287 degree Kelvin, so the temperature rise since pre-industrial times from the sum of increasing CO2, Methane, Nitrous oxide and ozone is 287 * fourth root of (1-0.0024) = 286.83 K, or 0.17 degree Celsius less.

This is but a small portion of the temperature rise experienced, and it so happens that there exists a good measuring point, where the all dominant greenhouse gases are CO2, Methane, NO2 and O3. At the South Pole in the winter the air is clean, there is almost no water vapor and the winter temperature at the Amundsen–Scott South Pole Station between April and September 2021, a frigid minus-78 degrees (minus-61 Celsius), was the coldest on record, dating back to 1957, and the trend is 1 C colder per century. In the summer the trend is increasing temperatures.

4a. The greenhouse effect of water vapor.

In the rest of the world the dominant greenhouse gas is water vapor, H20 and is responsible for most of of the greenhouse effect. The increase of absorption occurs in the atmospheric window, and in some bands of the incoming sunlight in the near infrared region. The bands are 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 1.1, 1.4 and 1.9 μm. Together, they make up 92% of the greenhouse gas temperature rise, or about 30 degree C. When global temperatures increase by 1,5 C there will be 10% more water water vapor assuming relative humidity will stay constant, there will be an additional 0.45 C temperature rise. Water vapor is fundamental and the additional gases will be added, but even if the gases, notably CO2 in the 13.5 through 16.5 micron absorb 100% of the available radiation, water vapor has already absorbed more than half of the available energy, the total is still 100%.

4b. The greenhouse effect of CO2.

Besides the absorption window in the 14,9 micron that absorbs 100% of the available energy water is fundamental and the majority of the energy is already absorbed. But there are smaller absorption in the 10.5, 9.5 and 4.3 micron. The 10.5 and 9.5 micton wavelrenth do not saturate they participate with their full strength when CO2 increases but the 4,3 micron does. This occurs when the available radiation is lw, co it is of little importance. The total greenhouse effect from CO2 at 280 ppm CO2 is 2.5 C and when CO2 is doubled to 560 ppm the additional temperature rise will be 0.2 C.

4c. The greenhouse effect of Methane.

The methane gas has only one major absorption wavelength at 7.6 microns. This occurs when water vapor is already absorbing 85% of the available energy so the greenhouse effect of Methane is almost negligible. The total greenhouse effect is 0.012 C and if the amount of Methane doubles this will only add 0.006 degrees C to the temperature.

4d. The greenhouse effect of Ozone.

The Ozone gas has only one major absorption wavelength at 9.7 microns, which is almost the same as the absorption for Oxygen. This occurs when Oxygen is already absorbing 80% of the available energy so the greenhouse effect of Ozone is almost negligible. The total greenhouse effect is 0.018 C and if the amount of Methane doubles this will only add 0.0095 degrees C to the temperature.

4e. The greenhouse effect of Nitrous Oxide.

The N2O gas has only one major absorption wavelength at 7.7 microns, which is almost the same as the absorption for Methane. This occurs when water vapor is already absorbing 85% of the available energy so the greenhouse effect of N2O is almost negligible. The total greenhouse effect is 0.009 C and if the amount of Methane doubles this will only add 0.005 degrees C to the temperature.

Summary of greenhouse gases:

H2O: Responsible for 30 degrees global warming; When temperature rises 1.5 degrees the direct effect is a 0.45 degree Celsius temperature rise from water vapor. CO2:: Responsible for 2.5 degrees global warming; When concentration doubles from 280 ppm to 560 ppm the direct effect is a 0.2 degree C temperature rise from CO2. CH4: Responsible for 0.012 degrees global warming; When concentration rises from 750 ppb to to 1800 ppb the direct effect is a 0.007 degree C temperature rise. N2O: Responsible for 0.009 degrees global warming; When concentration increases from 280 ppb to 340 ppb the direct effect is a 0.001 degree C temperature rise. O3: Responsible for 0.018 degrees global warming; When concentration dpobles, the direct effect is a 0.009 degree C temperature rise.

The temperature increase from increased greenhouse gases total less than half of the temperature increase observed since pre-industrial times, and the contribution from CO2 is about one seventh of the total so something else must have caused the increase, and the answer lies in looking to the skies. Water vapor is a condensing gas, and when water vapor is saturated and there are enough aerosols (from air pollution or aerosols released from trees or plants) in the air clouds will appear. How much can be attributed to changing cloud patterns and land use changes?

5. The effect from decreasing cloud cover.

White = 100% cloud cover, Dark blue = o% cloud cover

This is a world map showing the average cloud cover in August 2009. It shows the cloud free areas of the earth in blue. Another way to look at it is to see how much total water vapor there is in the atmosphere:

Nowhere on earth can it rain out more than two inches without more humidity being transported in from another place. Over the ocean humidity gets replenished by evaporation, over land only areas that has vegetation or swamps or lakes will replenish humidity by evaporation. Keep these charts in mind for later. For now concentrate on the decreasing average cloud cover. It has only been measured for the last 40 years, but here are the results:

There are many different clouds, low, mid-level and high clouds, and they have changed differently over the same time span:

Of these clouds, the low level clouds are reflecting the most, so the 2.4% loss in average cloud cover is an assumption on the low side on the loss of reflection.

In 1984 the average cloud cover was 63.7%, in 2019 it was 61.1%, a loss of 2.6%. The total reflection from clouds and atmospheric scattering is 77 W/m2, of which 60 is from cloud reflection. A 2.6% loss of area of reflection leads to a decreasing of incoming energy of 60 * 0.026 = 1.56 W/m2. This results in a temperature increase to 287 * fourth root of (1- (1.56 / 340)) = 287.33 K, or 0.67 degree Celsius.

When temperature increases by 0.67C water vapor increases by 4% on average; the total absorption of water vapor increases by 0.8 W/m2, mostly by shrinking the atmospheric window. This amounts to 0.24% 0f the total incoming solar radiation. The current average temp on earth is 287 degree Kelvin, so the temperature rise since pre-industrial times from increasing H2O levels is 287 * fourth root of (1-0.0024) = 286.83 K, or 0.17 degree Celsius less.

6. The effects from air and water pollution. . a. The warming of the Northern Arctic region.

North America has great rivers, none greater than the mighty Mississippi. It used to be a meandering river with frequent floods that resulted in depositing its silt over large areas and thus fertilizing the land. The Indians living by the river moved to its new location after the water receded, and they could use the newly fertilized land. After the Louisiana purchase river traffic grew rapidly, but shifting sandbars and the excessively winding river became a problem, so the Mississippi river was converted to be the main transportation artery of the middle USA, the river banks were reinforced and the course of the river straightened. This meant that more of the silt was transported out into the Mexican Gulf, some of the silt that used to fertilize the soil instead fertilized the Mexican gulf. In addition, the Mississippi river used to be very polluted, but is now clean enough that it can be used for drinking water after treatment all the way down into Louisiana. There remains elevated concentration of nitrogen compounds so the Mexican Gulf suffers from excessive algae blooms and even red tide from time to time. This leads to more cloud formation and more rain in the United States east of the 98th meridian. This also occurs in Northern Europe, especially in the North Sea; the rivers flowing into the North Sea are rich in nutrients. The Baltic Sea was near oxygen death, but after the Baltic countries and Poland joined the EU, their rivers got partially cleaned up. In the far East the Yellow Sea and the South China sea are suffering major pollution. All these regions produce more clouds, and through prevailing winds some end up in the Arctic, where they snow out, except in the Summer when they rain out except on Greenland where it snows 12 months of the year. This leads to increasing winter temperatures of about 5.5 C above the 80th latitude, 2.5 C in spring and fall and a decrease of about 0.5 C in the summer (it takes a long time to melt that extra snow). This affects about 4% of the earth’s surface, so the total temperature increase from over-fertilizing the rivers is 0.04 * 2.5 = 0.1 C. No such effect occurs in the Antarctic. To illustrate the current yearly temperature trend in the Arctic, see this current polar temperature chart:

Even more illustrative is the development of ice on Greenland. In 2012 it looked like all of Greenland was going to melt in less than 1000 years, and the polar ice cap would be gone altogether in late summer of 2020. The ice over Greenland is now growing ever so slightly again:

b. The effect of various air pollution.

The major effect from air pollution is that it generates aerosols that act as condensation points for cloud formation if the air is oversaturated with moisture. In the last 40 years the air has gotten cleaner in the industrial west, not so much in China, South Asia and Africa. The net result was a 2 % drop in cloud cover and the resulting temperature rise is already accounted for. There are no good worldwide analyses of ancient cloud cover, but air pollution was rising rapidly until the clean air act, enacted in 1963 was beginning to show results in the 70’s. However, ancient method of heating with coal, wood, peat and dried cow cakes was far more polluting and harmful to your lungs. If U.S is eliminating all remaining coal plants the CO2 will still be rising since China is planning to build another 1070 coal burning power plants, and their coal is inferior to ours and their pollution control is far less strict than ours resulting in more aerosols over China and some of the soot to be transmitted all the way to the Arctic, resulting in a black layer of soot on old snow and old ice.

This is the official IPCC AR5 assessment of forcing factors, and we can see that CO2 is over-estimated by a factor of 2.5 and Methane by a factor of 10. When this is taken into account the net forcing from all other factors is neutral within the margin of uncertainty.

c. The effect of greening of most of the earth.

There is one great benefit of increased CO2, the greening of the earth.

Thanks to this greening, done with only the fertilizer of CO2, the earth can now keep another 2 billion people from starvation, not to mention what good it does for plants and wildlife.

The greening of the earth should cause temperature to increase, but if there is enough moisture in the earth the evapotranspiration from the leaves have a cooling effect and more than offsets the lower albedo from green leaves versus dry earth. In addition, with rising CO2 levels the leaves need less water to perform the photosynthesis, so the net result from lowering the albedo by 0.05 over 17% of the world leads to a heating of the earth. The average albedo of the earth is 30%, and 17% of the earth lowers the albedo by 5% this lowers the total albedo of the earth by 0.8%.

The total reflection of sunlight from the earth is 22.9 W/m2, so 0.8% of that is 0.18 W/m2, which translates to a net temperature increase of 287 * fourth root of (1 + (0.008 / 340)) = 287.33 K, or 0.017 degree Celsius.

d. The areas that are becoming more like a desert.

Most of the earth displays an increase of leaf area, but there are areas in red that are becoming less green. The areas are: The American Southwest, The Pampas area of South America, a 100 mile band in Southern Sahara, part of East Africa, Madagascar, South East Africa, Western Australia, Part of the Volga region, Kazakhstan east of Lake Aral and various parts of China, and the Mekong river. These areas have this in common, the aquifers ate being depleted, the rivers are diminishing and some of them no longer reach the ocean, lakes are almost disappearing, but people still move to those areas “for the good climate”.

The areas so affected are about 900,000 sq miles of the American Southwest and about 3 million square miles total to suffer from becoming more like a desert. The common theme of all these areas is depletion of the aquifers, rivers diminishing, lakes drying up and soil erosion.

The only part of the world US can control directly is The American Southwest. It can expect more frequent and longer droughts, since there is no amplification of clouds from the relatively cool and clean Pacific ocean, and the long term temperature trend is cooling. The Colorado River no longer feeds the Gulf of California with nourishment. The Colorado river used to all the water allocation for all the participating states, but around 2000 the water use had caught up with supply, and since then it has become much worse with demand far outstripping supply.

In addition the Great Salt Lake is now less than a third of the size it was in the 1970’s. A second level water shortage has been issued, and for example Arizona will get a million Acre-feet lass per year from the river. The aquifers will be further depleted leading to less rainfall and the few remaining springs will dry out. If nothing is done, the American southwest will become desertified.

Ironically, deserts have a higher albedo than green soil, so letting the American Southwest become a desert would have a cooling effect by the increasing albedo, but the effect from the disappearing clouds would have a far greater heating effect, so letting the American Southwest become a desert is not a solution to the problem.

However, the area subject to desertification is about 0.6% of the world’s land area and rising the albedo by 0.05 leads to a cooling down. The average albedo of the earth is 30%, and before desertification the albedo was 25%, this rises the albedo of the earth by 0.03%. The total reflection of sunlight from the earth is 22.9 W/m2, so 0.03% of that is 0.007 W/m2, which translates to a net temperature decreasee of 287 * fourth root of (1- (0.007/ 340)) = 286.9995 K, or a cool down of 0.0005 degree Celsius.

The total temperature change since before industrialisation:

Direct effect from rising CO2: 0.20C

Increasing water vapor from 1.5 C rising temperature: 0.45C

Effect from rising Methane: less than 0.007C

Effect from rising N20: 0.01C.

Effect from rising ozone: Probably zero.

Temperature rise from decreasing cloud cover 0.67C

Temperature increase from greening of the earth 0.017C

Temperature decrease from areas of desertification 0.0005C

Net temperature rise from other pollutants: Probably 0.05 C

TOTAL TEMPERATURE RISE since the little ice age: 1.4C and that is about where we are today.

7. To reverse desertification, change the water rights laws!

In the Bible the first treaty signed was over water rights. It was between Abraham and Abimelek and was about a well that Abraham’s servants had dug and Abimelek’s men has seized. To make sure Abraham was the owner of the well Abraham and Abimelek confirmed it with an oath. The place is called Beersheba and Abraham planted a tamarisk tree there. Since then, in arid regions the fight has always been about water and water rights. In the American Southwest there are many Indian reservations, and when the white man came in they took the water upstream from the rivers and the Indians lost their livelihood. Here is a song by Johnny Cash:

The rain belongs to the land on which it rained. There are many reasons why that should be so. In higher elevation temperature is lower and evaporation much lower. The best solution is to build swales to contain small amount of rainwater where appropriate. This will restore aquifers and make it possible to plant indigenous trees and bushes that will lower the soil temperature by providing shadow. It will also provide aerosols, especially from pine trees that will increase rainfall when conditions are right. In addition it will lessen erosion. The immediate result is that the rivers will get less water, but in time the rivers will provide a more even and increased flow.

8. What congress is doing to solve the problem.

Congress has passed the anti-inflation bill that included over 300 billion to fight climate change, and it included more solar panels and wind turbine motors to be imported from China. The experience from Europe is that electricity from solar panels and windmills is 5.7 times more expensive than conventional power generation.

This analysis was done for 2019, before COVID. The situation is much worse now, with electricity rares up to 80 c/kWh, topping $1 /kWh this winter in some countries.Even at the current increased European Gas prices, the estimated excess expenditures on Weather-Dependent “Renewables” in Europe is still very large:  $~0.5 trillion in capital expenditures and $~1.2 trillion excess expenditures in the long-term.

These simple calculations show that any claim that Wind and Solar power are now cost competitive with conventional fossil fuel (Gas-fired) generation are patently false.  The figures give an outline of the financial achievements of Green activists in stopping  fracking for gas in Europe, close on to $1.2 trillion of excess costs.It would be better not to import any solar panels and wind power generators from China and let them pay for the extra cost rather than building more coal burning plants. After all they were planning to build over a thousand new plants between now and 2030, all legal under the Paris accord. This would benefit the world climate much more, since Chinese coal plants are far more polluting, since China has far less stringent environmental regulations than U.S.U.S. uses 13.5% of the world’s coal, and eliminating U.S. CO2 emissions would in time reduce the world temperature by 0.023C, providing no other country, such as China or India would increase their use of Coal, which they are, to the total of 1300 new coal plants between now and 2030. This would raise global temperature by more than 0.06 C.

In fairness, conditions in the American Southwest are much more favorable for this type of development, but it is still unfavorable when taken into account that all conventional power generation must still be teare when the wind doesn’t blow and the sun doesn’t shine.

What congress should do instead. a. What congress should do immediately.

  1. Immediately stop downblending U 233 and pass The Thorium Energy security act SB 4242a. See more here.

2. Remove Thorium from the list of nuclear source material. The half-life of Thorium232 is 14 billion years, so its radioactivity is barely above background noise. More importantly, while Thorium is fertile, it is not fissile and should therefore not be included in the list. This would make it far easier to mine rare earth metals, as long as the ore consists of less than 0.05% Uranium, but any amount of Thorium is allowed without classifying the ore “Source material”.3. Separate nuclear power into 3 categories. a. conventional nuclear power. b. Thorium breeder reactors that make more U233 than it consumes, and c. Thorium reactors that reduce nuclear waste.4. Stop buying solar panels from China. Stop buying wind turbine generators from China. Let them install those in China and pay 5 times as much for their electricity.5. Immediately form a commission led by competent people, not politicians; to decide how to best expand the electric grid and to best harden it against electro-magnetic pulses, whether solar or nuclear and to safeguard it against sabotage.6. Remove all subsidies on electric cars, solar panels and wind generators, but continue to encourage energy conservation.7. Encourage research and development of Thorium fueled reactors, especially liquid salt reactors by drastically simplifying and speeding up the approval process. President Trump issued an executive order in the last month of his presidency EO 13972 specifying that the United States must sustain its ability to meet the energy requirements for its national defense and space exploration initiatives. The ability to use small modular reactors will help maintain and advance United States dominance and strategic leadership across the space and terrestrial domains. This EO should be expanded to include civilian small modular reactors, including Liquid salt Thorium reactors less than 200 MW, which are the only valid reactors for space exploration.

b. Longer term developments, but extremely urgent.

Of the long term warming of the globe of 1.4 C since the beginning of industrialization only 0.20 C is attributable to rising CO2, NH4 and NO2 levels, of which United states is currently responsible for 13.5% and decreasing, or 0.027C. The disappearance of clouds is responsible for three times as much globally or 0.67 C of which probably 1/6 is occurring in the American Southwest, causing an increase in temperature of 0.11C. However, the temperature rise in say the Grand Canyon has been in excess of 2 C,, and in the urban areas it has risen even more. These are my long term suggestions:

Build a TransContinental Aqueduct. A realistic way to save Lake Mead and reverse the desertification of the American SouthWest. The problem:Lake Mead will be emptied in less than 10 years with the current usage pattern. Then what?The hydroelectric power from Lake Mead (and Lake Powell) is diminishing as the lakes are emptied.The aquifers in Arizona, especially in the Phoenix and Tucson area, and to some extent New Mexico and the dry part of Texas are being drawn down and are at risk of being exhausted.The Salton Sea in the Imperial Valley of California is maybe the most polluted lake in all of U.S.A. It is even dangerous to breathe the air around it sometimes. The area contains maybe the largest Lithium deposit in the world.The Colorado River water is too salty for good irrigation .The Colorado river no longer reaches the Gulf of California. Fishing and shrimp harvesting around the Colorado River Delta is no more. 40 million people depend on the Colorado River for drinking water. The population is still rising rapidly in the West. Will they have water in the future? Except for California there is not much pumped Hydro-power storage in the American Southwest.Texas has plenty of wind power, but no pumped hydro-power storage. This makes it difficult to provide peak power when the sun doesn’t shine and the wind doesn’t blow. Nuclear power is of no help, it provides base power only. Peak power has to come from coal and natural gas plants.New Mexico has some ideal spots for solar panels, but no water is available for pumped storage.Arizona has a surging population, wind and solar power locations are abundant, but no pumped hydro-power storage. Arkansas and Oklahoma have a good barge traffic system. This proposal will increase flood control and improve barge traffic by increasing the maximum barge draft from 9 feet to 12 feet and during dry periods reverse the flow of the Arkansas River. The Arkansas river yearly water flow is nearly double that of the Colorado River.

The solution:Build a transcontinental aqueduct from the Mississippi River to the Colorado River capable of transporting 12 million acre-ft of water yearly through Arkansas, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico and Arizona. It will be built similar to the Central Arizona Project aqueduct, that is supplying water from the Colorado river to the Phoenix and Tucson area, but this aqueduct will be carrying four times more water over four times the distance and raise the water nearly twice as high before returning to near sea level. The original Central Arizona Project did cost $4.7 billion in 1980’s money, the Transcontinental Aqueduct will in Phase 1 cost around $200 Billion in 2023 money applying simple scaling up principles.The Mississippi River has a bad reputation for having polluted water, but since the clean water act the water quality has improved drastically. Fecal coli-form bacteria is down by a factor of more than 100, the water is now used all the way down to New Orleans for drinking water after treatment. The lead levels are down by a factor of 1000 or more since 1979. Plastic pollution and pharmaceutical pollution is still a problem, as is the case with most rivers. The Ph value is back to around 8 and salt content is negligible. Mississippi water is good for irrigation, and usable for drinking water after treatment. The Arkansas River is used as a drinking water source. But the aqueduct will do more than provide sweet Mississippi water to the thirsty South-west, it will make possible to provide peak power to Texas, New Mexico and Arizona. In fact, it is so big it will nearly triple the pumped Hydro-power storage for the nation, from 23 GW for 5 hours a day to up to 66 GW when fully built out.The extra pumped hydro-power storage will come from a number of dams built as part of the aqueduct or adjacent to it. The water will be pumped from surplus wind and solar power generators when available. This will provide up to 50 GW of power for 5 hours a day. If not enough extra power has been generated during the 19 pumping hours, sometimes power will be purchased from the regular grid. The other source of pumped hydro-power storage is virtual. There will be up to 23 GW of LFTR (Liquid Fluoride salt Thorium Rector) power stations strategically stationed along the waterway providing pumping of water for 19 hours and providing virtual hydro-power output for the remaining 5, when the aqueduct is fully built.These 43 GW of hydro-power capacity will be as follows: Oklahoma, 0.2 GW; Texas, 18,5 GW (right now, Texas has no hydro-power storage, but plenty of wind power); New Mexico, 10.5 GW; Arizona 13.6 GW. In Addition, when the Transcontinental Aqueduct is fully built out, the Hoover dam can provide a true 2.2 GW hydro-power storage by pumping water back from Lake Mojave; a 3 billion dollar existing proposal is waiting to be realized once Lake Mead is saved.The amount of installed hydroelectric power storage is:

U.S. operating hydroelectric pumped storage capacity

Most hydroelectric pumped storage was installed in the 70’s. Now natural gas plants provide most of the peak power. This aqueduct will more than double, triple the U.S. pumped peak storage if virtual peak storage is included. By being pumped from surplus wind and solar energy as well as nuclear energy it is true “Green power”. What follows is a description of each leg of the aqueduct. Each leg except legs 9 and 10 ends in a dam, which holds enough water to make each leg free to operate to best use of available electricity and provide peak power on demand.

Leg 1 of the Trans-Continental aqueduct. From the Mississippi river to the Robert S. Kerr Lock and dam on the Arkansas River. Total length 15miles of aqueduct and 305 miles of river. Cost of water 300 kWh per acre-ft.

The Transcontinental Aqueduct will serve the Lower Colorado River Basin, Southern New Mexico and Western Texas. It will pump up to 12 million acre-ft of water annually from the Arkansas river and Mississippi river all the way to southern Colorado River.The total electricity needed to accomplish this giant endeavor is about 60 billion kWh annually. or about one and a half percent of the current US electricity demand. In 2020 the US produced 1,586 billion kWh from natural gas, 956 from coal, 337.5 from wind and 90.9 from solar.For this giant project to have any chance of success there has to be something in it to be gained from every state that will be participating. Here are some of the benefits:

Arizona: Arizona needs more water. The water from Mississippi is less saline and better suited for agriculture and the people growth makes it necessary to provide more water sources. Right now the aquifers are being depleted. Then what? One example: The San Carlos lake is nearly dry half the time and almost never filled to capacity. With the aqueduct supplying water it can be filled to 80 +- 20% of full capacity all the time. In the event of a very large snow melt the lake level can be reduced in advance to accommodate the extra flow. Likewise during Monsoon season the aqueduct flow can be reduced in anticipation of large rain events. Arizona together with New Mexico has the best locations for solar power, but is lacking the water necessary for hydro-power storage. This proposal will give 600 cfs of water to Tucson, 3,100 cfs to the Phoenix area and 3,900 cfs to the lower Colorado River in Phase 1. I phase 2 it will add 3,100 cfs to Lake Havasu and an extra 4,700 cfs to the lower Colorado River. It will also also add 28 GW of hydro-power storage capable of adding 140 GWh of electric peak power daily when it is fully built out in Phase 3.

Arkansas: The main benefit for Arkansas is better flood control and river control of the Arkansas River and allowing it to deepen the draft for canal barges from 9,5 feet to 12 feet, which is standard on the Mississippi river.California: The water aqueduct serving Los Angeles will be allowed to use maximum capacity at all times. Additional water resources will be given the greater San Diego area. The Imperial valley will be given sweet Mississippi and Arkansas River water, which will improve agriculture yield. The polluted New River will be cut off at the Mexico border. There will be water allocated to the Salton Sea. There is a proposal to mine the world’s largest Lithium ore, mining the deep brine, rich in Lithium. (about a third of the world supply according to one estimate). This requires water, and as a minimum requirement to allow mining in the Salton Sea the water needs to be cleaned. This requires further investigation, but the area around the Salton Sea is maybe the most unhealthy in the United States. It used to be a great vacation spot.

Mexico: During the negotiations about who was going to get the water in Lake Mead Mexico did not get enough water, so they have been using all remaining water for irrigation, and no water is reaching the ocean anymore. In addition the water is too salty for ideal irrigation. This proposal will provide sweet Mississippi and Arkansas River water to Mexico, ensure that some water reaches the Colorado river delta. This will restore the important ecology and restore aquatic life in the delta and the gulf. The town of Mexicali will get some water in exchange for shutting off New River completely.

Nevada: Las Vegas is a catastrophe waiting to happen unless Lake Mead is saved. With this proposal there will be ample opportunity to make the desert bloom.

New Mexico: The state is ideally suited for solar panels. In addition to give much needed water to communities along the length of the aqueduct, it will provide 13.5 GW of pumped storage power to be made available at peak power usage for up to 5 hours a day.

Oklahoma: The main advantage for Oklahoma is a much improved flood control. It will provide the same advantage for river barge traffic as benefits Arkansas.

Texas: The state has a big problem. It has already built up too much wind power and can not give up their coal burning power plants until the electricity is better balanced. They have no hydro-electric power storage at all, and we saw the result of that in a previous year’s cold snap. This proposal will give the Texas electric grid 8.8 GW of hydro-electric power for up to 5 hours a day.

Utah: The state will no longer be bound to provide water to Lake Mead, but can use all of its water rights for Utah, especially the Salt Lake City region, and to reverse the decline of the Great Salt Lake that is now shrunk to less than a third of the size it had in the 1970’s.

Wyoming: The state will be free to use the water in the Green River and all the yearly allocated 1.05 million acre-feet of water can be used by the state of Wyoming.

The cost to do all these aqueducts will be substantial, but it can be done for less than 350 billion dollars in 2023 money, and that includes the cost of providing power generation and electric grid enhancement and provide for a more robust electric grid. Considering it involves 40 million people dependent on the Colorado River now and another 10 million east of the Rocky Mountains, it is well worth doing, much more important to do than other “green” projects, since it will save the American Southwest from becoming an uninhabitable desert.

This proposed solution cannot be made possible without changing our approach to power generation. The mantra now is to solve all our power needs through renewables. Texas has shown us that too much wind power without any hydroelectric power storage can lead to disaster. In addition, windmills kill birds, even threatening some species, such as the Golden Eagle and other large raptors that like to build their aeries on top of the generators. Solar panels work best in arid, sunny climate, such as Arizona and New Mexico, but the panels need cooling and cleaning to work best, and that takes water. They are even more dependent on hydro-power storage than wind. The transcontinental aqueduct will triple the hydro-electric power storage for the nation. Without pumped power storage we still need all the conventional power generation capacity for when the sun doesn’t shine and the wind doesn’t blow.Conventional Nuclear power plants doesn’t work in most places since they depend on water for their cooling, and most of these aqueducts pump water in near deserts, and there would be too much evaporation losses to use water from the aqueducts for cooling.The only realistic approach would be to use LFTR power plants. (Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors). There are many advantages for using LFTR. Here are 30 reasons why LFTRs is by far the best choice.For this project to succeed there must be developed a better way to build SMRs (Small Modular Reactors, less than 250 MW) more effectively. The price to build a LFTR plant should be less than $2.50 per watt. While the LFTR science is well understood, the LFTR engineering is not fully developed yet, but will be ready in less than 5 years if we get to it. In the mean time there should be built one or more assembly plants that can mass produce LFTR reactor vessels small enough so they can be shipped on a normal flatbed trailer through the normal highway system. My contention is that a 100 MW reactor vessel can be built this way and the total cost per plant will be less than 250 Million dollars. To save the American Southwest we will need about 350 of them, or 87,5 billion dollars total. This cost is included in the total calculation. There will be many more of these plants produced to produce all the electric power to power all the electric vehicles that are going to be built. This is the way to reduce fossil fuel consumption. Just switching to electric vehicles will not do the trick. The electric energy must come from somewhere. To convert all cars and trucks and with unchanging driving habits will require another 600 GW of generating capacity by 2050, our present “net zero emissions” goal.To do this project we need cooperation from all states in providing eminent domain access. The Federal government will need to approve LFTR as the preferred Nuclear process and streamline approval process from many years to less than one year.Some of the power will come from solar panels and wind turbines, which will reduce the need for LFTR’s. One tantalizing idea is to cover the aqueduct with solar panels. This will do many things, it will not take up additional acreage, water needed to keep the panels clean is readily available, and can even be used to cool the solar panels if economically beneficial. The area available is 152 feet times 1100 miles = 1.6 billion square feet, and one square foot of solar panel produces around 1 W, which means covering the aqueduct with solar panels would produce 882 MW of power. It would also reduce evaporation. The second source of energy will be 165,000 5kW vertical wind turbines producing 825 MW when the wind is blowing. The rest of the power will cme from LFTRs. This idea requires further analysis. Here is one possible implementation of the idea:This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is aqueductcrossection.jpg

C. Further developments to save the American Southwest.

When the Transcontinental aqueduct is well under way it is time to start the Trans-Rocky-Mountain Aqueduct. in a few years the population growth will require again to save Lake Powell and Lake Mead, and rejuvenate the American South-west.The problem:

  1. Lake Powell and Lake Mead will be emptied in less than 10 years with the current usage pattern. Then what?The hydroelectric power from Lake Mead (and Lake Powell) is diminishing as the lakes are emptied.the aquifers are drawn down everywhere in the Southwest, but also the Ogallala Aquifer in Colorado and Kansas, and are at risk of being exhausted.The Colorado River water is too salty for good irrigation .The Colorado river no longer reaches the Gulf of California. Fishing and shrimp harvesting around the Colorado River Delta is no more.40 million people depend on the Colorado River for drinking water. The population is still rising rapidly in the West. Will they have water in the future? Think 20 million future population growth in the next 40 years, people want to move there even with the current water problems.

The solution:Build a Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct from the Mississippi River to the San Juan River. In the first 391 miles the aqueduct joins the McClellan–Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System by adding the capability of pumping 7,500 cfs of water through 16 dams that service the locks. This will lead to reversing the flow of water during low flow. This also facilitates the navigation channel to be deepened from 9 feet to 12 feet to service fully loaded barges, a step authorized but not funded by Congress. The Arkansas river will then be capable of transporting 8 million acre-ft of water yearly through Arkansas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Colorado and New Mexico, supplying water from the Colorado river to Lake Powell. All that is needed to do in this stage is provide the dams and locks with a number of pumps and pump/generators to accommodate this, at a cost of less than 2 billion dollars. The next phase is pumping up water in the Arkansas river for 185 miles. To accommodate this there will be 17 small control dams built that are closed when normal pumping occurs and open during flood conditions. The cost for this segment, including pumps will be less than 3 billion dollars. The third segment is a 465 mile aqueduct to cross the Rocky Mountains much like the Central Arizona project but this aqueduct will carry three times more water 1.27 times the distance and raise the water four times higher. The original Central Arizona Project cost $4.7 billion in 1980’s money, the aqueduct part of the Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct will cost around $50 Billion in 2021 money applying simple scaling up principles.Power requirements for the 3 stages are 310 MW for the canal stage, 600MW for the river stage and 6.2 GW for the aqueduct stage. The aqueduct stage can be controlled by the power companies to shut off the pumps and provide 6.4 GW of virtual peak power for up to 5 hours a day on average, and each leg can be controlled individually since they are separated by large dams. There will be 64 one hundred MegaWatt LFTR (Liquid Fluoride salt Thorium Rector) power stations strategically stationed along the waterway providing pumping of water for 19 hours and providing virtual hydro-power output for on average 5 hours. There will also be 910 MW of power needed that is controlled by the river authorities.The building cost of providing LFTR power should be around $2.50 per Watt of installed energy if a plant is built to manufacture via an assembly line a standardized version of 100 MW LFTR reactor core vessels assemblies capable of being transported on truck to the installation point. The total power cost should then be 16 billion dollars to build, and 5 cents per kWh or about 2.5 billion dollars a year to provide power.The Mississippi River has a bad reputation for having polluted water, but since the clean water act the water quality has improved drastically. Fecal coli-form bacteria is down by a factor of more than 100, the water is now used all the way down to New Orleans for drinking water after treatment. The lead levels are down by a factor of 1000 or more since 1979. Plastic pollution and pharmaceutical pollution is still a problem, as is the case with most rivers. The Ph is back to around 8 and salt content is negligible. Mississippi water is good for irrigation, and usable for drinking water after treatment. The Arkansas River water quality is pretty good, good enough in Kaw Lake to be used for municipal water supply. Nitrates and phosphates are lower than in most Eastern rivers, Ph is around 8 and coli-bacteria low.Most hydroelectric pumped storage was installed in the 70’s. Now natural gas plants provide most of the peak power. This aqueduct will add 6.4 GW to the U.S. pumped peak storage if virtual peak storage is included. By being pumped from surplus wind and solar energy as well as nuclear energy it is true “Green power”. Some people like that.What follows is a description of each leg of the aqueduct. Legs 3, 4, 5 and 6 ends in a dam, which holds enough water to make each leg free to operate to best use of available electricity and provide peak power on demand.

Leg 1 of The Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From the Mississippi river to Webbers Falls lock and dam. Total length 15miles of aqueduct and 335 miles of river. Cost of water 333 kWh per acre-ft.

Leg 2 of The Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From Webbers Falls to Keystone Dam, a distance of about 75 miles that is river and 25 miles, which is canal. Cost of water 593 kWh per acre-ft

.Leg 3 of the Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From Keystone Dam to Kaw Dam.The Keystone Lake is 38 miles long and the river part is about 110 miles. Cost of water 901 kWh per acre-ft.

Leg 4 of the Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From Kaw Lake to John Martin Reservoir, a distance of about 200 miles. Cost of water 4,446 kWh per acre-ft.

Leg 5 of the Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From John Martin Reservoir to Trinidad Lake, a distance of about 120 miles. Cost of water 7,300 kWh per acre-ft.

Leg 6 of the Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From Trinidad Lake to Abiquiu Reservoir, a distance of 90 miles. Cost of water 7,910 kWh per acre-ft.

Leg 7 of the Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From the Abiquiu Reservoir to the San Juan River, a distance of 55 miles. Cost of water 7,395 kWh per acre-ft.Once these two aquifers are completed and running successfully filling the rivers again it is time to refill the aquifers. This requires a change in the water rights laws. The rain water is a property of the land and can be locally retained via small catch basins and swales. This will restore the aquifers, reduce soil erosion and rejuvenate vegetation as has been successfully done in the dry parts of India. They needed to capture the monsoon rains, and so does Arizona and New Mexico.

One more thing: Build a South Platte River aqueduct. This will solve the water needs for the greater Denver ares and help preserve the northern Ogallala aquifer.The rise in CO2 is on balance positive, it has already helped to keep 2 billion people from starvation. With food famine coming the very worst thing we can do is declare a climate emergency and unilaterally reduce our electric supply eliminating much of our fossil fuel source to produce electricity and at the same time push electric cars.This cannot be solved unless there will be a deep commitment to Nuclear power, streamline government permit processes and let private industry find the best solutions without government playing favorites and slowing down the process. Regular U235 power is not sufficient for this, Only Thorium power will do, and there are many reasons for it.

Here are 30 of them: 1. A million year supply of Thorium available worldwide.  2. Thorium already mined, ready to be extracted.  3. Thorium based nuclear power produces 0.012 percent as much TRansUranium waste products as traditional nuclear power.  4. Thorium based nuclear power will produce Plutonium-238, needed for space exploration.  5. Thorium nuclear power is only realistic solution to power space colonies.  6. Radioactive waste from an Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor decays down to background radiation in 300 years compared to a million years for U-235 based reactors. A Limerick. 7. Thorium based nuclear power is not suited for making nuclear bombs.  8. Produces isotopes that helps treat and maybe cure certain cancers.  9. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors are earthquake safe, only gravity needed for safe shutdown. 10. Molten Salt Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors cannot have a meltdown, the fuel is already molten, and it is a continuous process. No need for refueling shutdowns. 11. Molten Salt Nuclear Reactors have a very high negative temperature coefficient leading to a safe and stable control. 12. Atmospheric pressure operating conditions, no risk for explosions. Much safer and simpler design. 13. Virtually no spent fuel problem, very little on site storage or transport. 14. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Nuclear reactors scale beautifully from small portable generators to full size power plants. 15. No need for evacuation zones, Liquid Fuel Thorium Reactors can be placed near urban areas. 16. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors will work both as Base Load and Load Following power plants. 17. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors will lessen the need for an expanded national grid. 18. Russia has an active Thorium program. 19. India is having an ambitious Thorium program, planning to meet 30% of its electricity demand via Thorium based reactors by 2050.  20. China is having a massive Thorium program. 21. United States used to be the leader in Thorium usage. What happened? 22. With a Molten Salt Reactor, accidents like the Three Mile Island disaster will not happen .23. With a Molten Salt Reactor, accidents like Chernobyl are impossible. 24. With Molten Salt Reactors, a catastrophe like Fukushima cannot happen. 25. Will produce electrical energy at about 4 cents per kWh. 26. Can deplete most of the existing radioactive waste and nuclear weapons stockpiles. 27. With electric cars and trucks replacing combustion engine cars, only Thorium Nuclear power is the rational solution to provide the extra electric power needed. 28. The race for space colonies is on. Only Molten Salt Thorium Nuclear reactors can fit the bill. 29. President Donald J. Trump on Jan. 5 2021 issued an Executive Order on Promoting Small Modular Reactors for National Defense and Space Exploration. Only Liquid fluoride thorium reactors can meet all the needs. 30. We have to switch from Uranium to Thorium as nuclear feed-stock. We are running out of domestic Uranium.

My favorite Thorium power plant would be a 100 MW Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor (LFTR). It is also called a Small Modular Reactor (SMR). It is small enough that all core elements will fit in three standard truck containers and be made on an assembly line. It can be constructed many ways, one is a normal fast breeder reactor, another is adapted to burn nuclear waste. The cost for these reactors, when built on an assembly line will be less than $2.50 per Watt. They can be placed anywhere, since they are inherently safe, no need for an evacuation zone. Since they are operating at 500C temperature with either gas or liquid lead as heat transfer media there is no need for water as a cooling medium. When mass produced it will be able to produce electricity at 5 c per kWh and the mining to produce the materials is a fraction of what is needed for solar, and wind power, especially when taking into account the intermittent nature of these power sources.The only thing better would be fusion power, but that is at least somes years away as a power producing source, but it is coming. These are exciting times!

The American Southwest can still be saved.

Day 39 of reading the Holy Bible in 365 days.

Matthew 4:12-25. After Jesus was baptized and was led into the wilderness for 40 days and 40 nights he began his ministry and called his first disciples.

Exodus 30 describes the  altar of incense, mentions rules for the poll tax and the basin for washing, anointing oil and rules for sacred incense.

Exodus 31 is short; it tells of two named craftsmen to be leaders of performing the artistic aspect of all the work to build the tabernacle. Then there are rules of how to observe the Sabbath, and with that, God finished His message to Moses by giving him the two tablets of stone containing the ten commandments written by the finger of God.

In Exodus 32 Moses had come down from the mountain and what did he find? He found the Golden Calf and the people singing and dancing in orgies. Moses became so angry that he threw down the two tablets with God’s commandments, and they broke in pieces. Then he pleaded with God not to destroy His people.

Day 29 of reading the Holy Bible in 365 days.

John 19:1-16. The trial of Jesus continued under Pilate. He tried his best to get out of it by placing a crown of thorn on Jesus, let the soldiers mock him and hit him, hoping that would placate the Jews. But they cried Crucify! He tried and tried, but they cried “E\We have no King but Caesar” so Pilate finally gave in and handed Jesus over to be crucified.

In Exodus 7 God promised Moses to give him the words to all he must say, and Aaron was to tell it to Pharaoh. God also said he would harden Pharaoh’s heart and not let the people go. Aaron threw down his rod and it became a snake. The Egyptians duplicated it. The first plague out of ten occurred, turning the water of the Nile to blood.

Exodus 8 is very interesting. It tells of three more plagues of Egypt, the plague of frogs, the plague of gnats and the plague of flies. The Egyptian magicians had no trouble duplicating elements of the plague of frogs, but when it came to the plague of gnats they threw up their hands and said “This is the finger of God”. From then on they could not duplicate any of the plagues.

November 26: Reading the Holy Bible in a year.

2 Peter 2. Even in the first century there arose destructive doctrines from a multitude of false teachers. They were all doomed because of their depravity and attempts to deceive.

Amos 1. The prophet proclaimed judgment on Tyre and Sidon.

Amos 2. The prophet proclaimed judgment on Moab, Judah and Israel.

Leg 1 of The Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct. From the Mississippi river to Webbers Falls lock and dam.

The Trans-Rocky-Mountain aqueduct starts out at the Mississippi river, and for the first leg follows the Arkansas River from Mississippi River to Lock16 of the Arkansas River, a distance of 366 miles.

Location of the locks and pumping stations on the Arkansas river.

Lock 1, entrance from the Mississippi River to the White river. The water surface at Montgomery Point has fluctuated from elevation 104′ to 172′.

This lock was added later to better accommodate barge traffic when the Mississippi River was running abnormally low. If the Mississippi is normal to high level, this lock is bypassed. Since we are going to move 11,200 cfs of water over the rocky mountain the flow amount in Arkansas river will be reduced by the same amount. In times of drought, the Arkansas River flow is sometimes lower than 11,200 cfs. To alleviate that, a series of 7,500 cfs pumps will be installed, one in every lock of the canal, beginning with Lock 3.

Montgomery Point Lock and Dam features “first of its kind” hydraulically operated gates. When the tail water is at elevation 115′ and rising, the dam gates are flat on the bottom of the river and barge traffic passes over the gates in the navigation pass spillway to minimize lockages saving time and money.
This lock is frequently submerged. Only the top of the control tower remains above water

The Mississippi river is muddy. When water is pumped up there needs to be a number of de-silting pools, where the silt is returned to the Mississippi river. Here is suggested 3 pools, each capable of de-silting 10,000 cfs of water, one for the Trans-Rocky Mountain aqueduct, and two for the Trans-Continental aqueduct, being built as the whole aqueduct is nearing completion. The top of the pools is set at 150 ft elevation. Should the Missisippi River flood higher than 142 feet the operation will be shut down until elevation is below 142 feet again, and Lock 2, the Norrell Lock and dam is operational again. For the Trans-Rocky_Mountain aqueduct up to 10,000 cfs needs to be pumped up between 20 and 62 feet, for an energy consumption of between 1MW and 56 MW. The map below show one possible location for the pools:

The de-silting pools.
Elevation 142′ No change
Elevation 162′ No change

Elevation 182′
Elevation 1196′
Elevation 213′
Elevation 231′
Elevation 249
Elevation 265′
Elevation 284′
Elevation 336′
Elevation 370′
Elevation 391′
Elevation 412′
Elevation 458′
Elevation 487′

From Lock # 3 to lock # 16 (13 locks # 11 is missing) the Power houses have to either replace one of the operating turbines to a corresponding dual function pump/generator, or add a 10,000 cfs pump.

By removing 11,200 cfs from the flow of water in the Arkansas river, it will be necessary to add these pumps to ensure functioning locks even in times of extreme droughts. The total power generated by the power stations will be reduced by 11,200 cfs times (487 – 127) feet * 0.9 or about 370 megawatts total.

As a side note, every lock opening uses up water equivalent of between 22 and 66 kWh depending on the size of the lift or lowering of the barges. This is constant and not dependent on the size of the barges or boats. When the spillways are in use, the water is “free”, but otherwise every lock opening costs a few dollars in energy, not much, but in case of a drought the fact that water is pumped back up the river will help increase the capacity.

What is in it for Arkansas? The added pumps will give an additional tool to control the canal system. In addition, in the case of floods it will somewhat alleviate the flood control, and serve the canal system better in times of drought. To add 400 megawatts to the system, may I suggest 2 200 MW LFTR nuclear reactors, they are carbon neutral. In addition they have the ability to shut off the pumping of water and let the power plants provide 400 MW virtual hydro-storage power for up to five hours/day. The barges will benefit from sometimes go with the flow, and sometimes travel over still water, shortening the time of transport substantially.

Coronavirus in Africa. Rates with and without Ivermectin.

The countries that use Ivermectin in blue, the others in orange

It is fascinating to see the Covid-19 rates for the countries that use Ivermectin to protect against river blindness and other parasites and compare them with the rates for the countries that do not use Ivermectin. Could Ivermectin be the cure for COVID-19? This data seems to suggest so.

Country Use Ivermectin Vax rate Cases and Deaths per million people

  1. Algeria                              NO   13%                4,565         131
  2. Angola                               Yes    8.4%             1,802          48
  3. Benin                                 Yes    1.8%              1,943          13
  4. Botswana                           NO   19%              75,143        987
  5. Burkina Faso                      Yes    1.3%                671           9
  6. Burundi                              Yes    ?                    1,560           3
  7. Cameroon                           Yes   1.4%              3,483         55
  8. Cape Verde                          Yes 52%               67,239       614
  9. Central African Republic  Yes  4.0%               2,309         20
  10. Chad                                     Yes   0.8%                 297         10
  11. Camoros                             ?      22%                  4,668       165
  12. Dem. Rep. of the Congo     Yes    0.1%                  615        12
  13. Republic of the Congo        Yes   4.5%               2,606        36
  14. Djibouti                                Yes   6.6%             13,186      106
  15. Egypt                                     NO   13%                2,989      169
  16. Equatorial Guinea               Yes  16%                8,748      106
  17. Eritrea                                   Yes    ?                    1,872        12
  18. Ethiopia                                 Yes   2.5%              2,994        51
  19. Gabon                                    Yes   4.6%            14,209        89
  20. Gambia                                  Yes   7.4%              3,972      135
  21. Ghana                                    Yes   4.3%              4,024        36
  22. Guinea                                    Yes   9.3%             2,247        28
  23. Guinea-Bissau                        Yes   5.4%             3,018       70
  24. Ivory Coast                             Yes   7.1%             2,236       25
  25. Kenya                                      Yes   5.7%            4,545       94
  26. Lesotho                                   NO  16%               9,917       30`
  27. Liberia                                    Yes    1.6%            1,114       55
  28. Libya                                       NO  20%             49,692     688
  29. Madagascar                            NO   0.7%            1,500       34
  30. Malawi                                     Yes   4.4%            3,122     116
  31. Mali                                          Yes   1.5%               738      26
  32. Mauritania                               NO    ?                 7,582    163
  33. Mauritius                                  NO  68%             12,783       86
  34. Morocco                                 HCQ  62%            25,086     387
  35. Mozambique                             Yes   6%               4,665       59 
  36. Namibia                                    Yes  11%            49,289   1,357 
  37. Niger                                         Yes    1.7%              343          8
  38. Nigeria                                       Yes    2.3%             978        13
  39. Rwanda                                      Yes  17%              7,391       98
  40. Sao Tome and Principe          Yes   33%            16,176     259
  41. Senegal                     HCQ and Yes     7.4%            4,267     108
  42. Seychelles                                  NO  78%            218,292  1,190
  43. Sierra Leone                               Yes   2.4%                782       15
  44. Somalia                                      NO    1.8%             1,292       72
  45. South Africa                      Banned  22%              48,388   1,467
  46. South Sudan                               Yes    0.7%            1,068        11
  47. Sudan                                           Yes    1.4%            860          65
  48. Swaziland (Eswatini)                NO  19%           39,374    1,046
  49. Tanzania                                      Yes    0.6%             419         12
  50. Togo                                             Yes    9.5%           3,025        28
  51. Tunisia                                         NO  44%            59,272   2,091
  52. Uganda                                         Yes   4.7%           2,623        67
  53. Zambia                                        NO     ?               10,996      192
  54. Zimbabwe                                    NO  21%              8,711      307
  55. The World                                  —     47%             30,700      625      
  56. U.S.A                                           NO  74%           135,923   2,203

Covid-19, Ivermectin compared to Vaccination. 3 nations: Haiti, Dominican Republic and Singapore.

To see the COVID-19 pandemic worldwide, let us take a look at 3 countries, all tropical. Singapore, a country of 5.9 million people, a vaccination rate of 81% and one of the best health care systems in the world, the Dominican Republic, a country of 11.0 million people, a good health care system and a vaccination rate of 46%, and its neighbor Haiti, a country of 11.6 million people and a health care system that is probably the worst in the western hemisphere.

First, take a look at Covid-19 data from Singapore:

From less than 20 cases a day until Jul 20 2021, on October 10 it was 3,300
From having almost no deaths at all, it is now up to 8 a day.

Now take a look at the Dominican Republic:

there were 3 spikes over 1,200 cases/day recently about 675 cases/day
The first 2 spikes, over 20 deaths/day, the 3rd spike about 5 deaths/day, occurring after vaccination, now about 2 deaths/day

Now take a look at Haiti:

There were 3 spikes of less than 200 cases/day recently about 60 cases/day
The first spike, 4 deaths/day, the second 1 death/day the 3rd spike about 5 deaths/day, now about 4 deaths/day

What conclusions can we draw from this? Initially Singapore did a fantastic job holding down cases and deaths, and seemed almost to have overcome covid-19, but the hit from the delta variant hit even the 81% vaccinated people severely and the latest snapshot with 3,300 cases daily. that makes Singapore the worst of the 3 by a factor of 9 versus the Dominican Republic and 112 times worse than Haiti. But since most of the Singaporeans are vaccinated the death rates are much closer: 7.5 times worse than the Dominican Republic and 5.4 times worse than Haiti.

Haiti is a country with a great problem of parasitic infections. Ivermectin is one of the few medications that is taken almost universally. This is why their numbers are so low.

Conclusion: Ivermectin is far superior to vaccine. Let that sink in!

Indonesia and India has shown the solution to end COVID-19. Use Ivermectin.

In July 2021, the Indonesian Food and Drug Monitoring Agency (BPOM) finally granted the Emergency Use Authorization for Ivermectin as the therapeutic drug to cure the Covid-19.

This was due to the country’s “worst-case scenario” epidemic at the time according to officials.

Indonesia experienced a spike in COVID-19 infection and deaths in July and was struggling to slow the virus transmission due to its high population. Indonesia is ranked as the world’s fourth most populous country.

The government imposed an emergency measure to slow the spread of the virus. One of its measures was to authorize the use of Ivermectin as a COVID-19 treatment.

The Strait Times reported:

The Indonesian government on Thursday (July 15) began distributing free medicine and vitamins to self-isolating Covid-19 patients in high-risk areas as the highly transmissible Delta variant of the coronavirus continued to rip through the country, emptying pharmacy shelves.

Each package will have seven days worth of therapeutic Covid-19 drugs and vitamins, and will be given to asymptomatic patients as well as those with mild to moderate symptoms including fever and dry cough. The medication for the latter group will require consultation with a doctor and a prescription.

Medical facilities are stretched thin, and demand for oxygen and medication has also soared. As scores of people are isolating themselves at home and self-medicating, prices of drugs have shot up in pharmacies and online. The health ministry has since moved to cap the prices of drugs such as favipiravir, remdesivir and ivermectin.

Indonesia’s food and drug agency has authorised ivermectin for emergency use against Covid-19, Reuters reported, although the World Health Organisation, as well as European and the US regulators did not recommend its use for Covid-19 patients.

After the government authorized the use of Ivermectin for COVID-19 patients, the number of cases significantly plummeted since July.

The data below proves that Ivermectin played a major role on the steep decline of COVID-19 cases despite having a low vaccination rate.

Number of cases Jul 15 50,069 Oct 8, 1,306, a 97% drop
Number of deaths Jul 15 1,778 Oct 8, 76, a 96% drop

Here is an article on how India defeated the delta variant of Covid with Ivermectin. In the state of Uttar Pradesh 33 districts declared themselves free from COVID-19 on September 7. Only the district of Agra has lingering outbreaks, probably because it is the home of Taj Mahal and with it the large influx of people from all over the world visiting the area. The statistics for all of India looks like this today:

New cases May 08, 388,000 Qct 09, 19,900, a 95% drop
New deaths May 18, 4,618; Qct 09, 253; a 94% drop

How does the U.S. A. compare? Indonesia has a population of about 275 million people, the population of India is about 1,400 million and USA’s is about 330 million.The delta variant of COVID hit first in India, spread to Indonesia, and hit the USA in August. India took decisive early action, Indonesia followed. USA has yet to consider remedies.

New cases Aug. 29, 660,000; Qct 09, 407,000; a 29% drop
New deaths Aug. 24, 10,240; Qct. 09, 6,961; a 22% drop

The statistics are staggering. Indonesia has a current daily death rate of 0,28 per million, India’s rate is 0.18 per million and the current daily death rate from COVID-19 in the U.S.A. is 21.1 per million, 75 times worse than Indonesia and 117 times worse than India. And we are supposed to have a better health care system!

If our esteemed bureaucrats in CDC and NIH would consider the people they would have approved Ivermectin, HydroCloroQuine and a few other working cures rather than only approve medicine that has undergone double blind trials through paying manufacturers, willing and able to charge for the medicines. If they were to consider proven generics the same we the people could have saved at least 5,000 lives a day just from Ivermectin alone.

Jun 26. The word for today.

That ye may be the children of your Father which is in heaven: for he maketh his sun to rise on the evil and on the good, and sendeth rain on the just and on the unjust. Matthew 5:45 (King James version)

Is that good or bad?

In the Nordic countries sun is good, the more sun the better. People get out as early as possible in the Spring to catch as much sunshine as possible. In late fall, when the sun almost never shines cabin fever starts to set in, and a temporary cure for cabin fever is drinking, so the problem of alcoholism gets worse the further north you get.

In the 10 to 40 degrees latitude region the problem is the opposite. There is an Arabic proverb that says “All sunshine makes a desert”. In India and China people tend to avoid sunshine as much as possible, white skin is a great advantage to have, or one could be mistaken for a common laborer.

We must have sunshine, or nothing will grow. Another thing without which nothing will grow is water, so the second part of the word for today, rain, is that good or bad? Here in the U.S, if you live more than 500 miles west of the Mississippi river rain is good, if you live east of that, too much rain is bad, it can lead to flooding.

But God is no respecter of persons. God gives the same weather to the good and the evil, the just and the unjust. It is what we do about it that makes a difference. There is a Norwegian saying “there is no bad weather, only bad clothes”. But that is from a country without hurricanes and tornadoes. In some places their main source of rain is from hurricanes, typhoons or cyclones, dependent on in which ocean they form.

And so it was: The first treaty in the Bible was about water: See Genesis 21:

The battle of Beersheba occurred in 1917, when the Turks of the Ottoman Empire were routed.

Leading the charge was the Fourth Light Horse Brigade. They look more like camels to me.

The battle in the Middle East started about water, and is always partly about water.

The American West is also all about water. A farm without water rights is essentially worthless. A century ago the Colorado River Basin had a population of about 5 million people, now over 40 million people use the water from the Colorado river. In less than 20 years Lake Mead will be emptied, it is now down to 34 percent of capacity, a new all time low since the lake was first filled.

This calls for action, but there is no mentioning of what needs to be done in the proposed infrastructure bill, so I guess it leaves the American South-west high and dry.

It is high time for us all to pray that sanity will return to Congress and that they will start to tackle the real problems this country is facing. If this problem is not solved there will be man-made climate change. The problem is water, not CO2.