Back in 2012 the Greenland ice sheet had an unprecedented melt, and the prediction was that all the Arctic ice would be melted in September of 2015, having reached the Climate tipping point from which there is no return to a normal climate unless we reorganized society into a more totalitarian global governance.
Well, the tipping point didn’t happen, so hopefully global governance will not happen either, even though many are trying.
These are the latest charts for arctic temperatures, ice and snow for August 15:
The ice-pack on Greenland has been melting much less than normal during the melting season
And yesterday’s snowfall over Greenland
Remember, H2O is a condensing gas, when cooled off it condenses into clouds.
Clouds cool by day and warm by night, a one percent difference in cloud cover means more than the increase in CO2.
The only place this doesn’t work is in deserts, if no clouds form Forget CO2, but let us not make any more deserts. The American South-west is in danger of being “desertified” unless we restore the fragile water balance in the region.
Uttar Pradesh is India’s largest state with over 205 million people. It’s most famous shrine is the Taj Mahal.
News of India’s defeat of the Delta variant should be common knowledge. It is just about as obvious as the nose on one’s face. It is so clear when one looks at the graphs that no one can deny it.
Yet, for some reason, we are not allowed to talk about it. Thus, for example, Wikipedia cannot mention the peer-reviewed meta-analyses by Dr. Tess Lawrie or Dr. Pierre Kory published in the American Journal of Therapeutics.
Wikipedia is not allowed to publish the recent meta-analysis on Ivermectin authored by Dr. Andrew Hill. Furthermore, it is not allowed to say anything concerning http://www.ivmmeta.com showing the 61 studies comprising 23,000 patients which reveal up to a 96% reduction in death [prophylaxis] with Ivermectin.
One can see the bias in Wikipedia by going on the “talk” pages for each subject and reading about the fierce attempts of editors to add these facts and the stone wall refusals by the “senior” editors who have an agenda. And that agenda is not loyalty to your health.
The easy way to read the “talk” page on any Wikipedia subject is to click the top left “talk” button. Anyone can then review the editors’ discussions.
There is a blackout on any conversation about how Ivermectin beat COVID-19 in India. When I discussed the dire straits that India found itself in early this year with 414,000 cases per day, and over 4,000 deaths per day, and how that evaporated within five weeks of the addition of Ivermectin, I am often asked, “But why is there no mention of that in the news?”
Yes, exactly. Ask yourself why India’s success against the Delta variant with Ivermectin is such a closely guarded secret by the NIH and CDC. Second, ask yourself why no major media outlets reported this fact, but instead, tried to confuse you with false information by saying the deaths in India are 10 times greater than official reports.
Perhaps NPR is trying so hard because NPR is essentially a government mouthpiece. The US government is “all-in” with vaccines with the enthusiasm of a 17th century Catholic Church “all-in” with a Geocentric Model of the Universe disputing Galileo. Claiming that India’s numbers are inaccurate might distract from the overwhelming success of Ivermectin.
But in the end, the truth matters. It mattered in 1616, and it matters in 2021….
So, why are all media, CDC, NIH and the government all in on vaccines? This is my theory. When the Covid pandemic broke out, it was first downplayed by CDC, masks were not effective, just keep your distance and sanitize and it will go away. But it didn’t. In February, it was obvious that it was severe, and then President Trump suggested we develop a vaccine at warp speed, meaning in time for the election. Dr Fauci was conducting gain of function defense research at the Wuhan laboratory, so in less than a week, Pfizer and Moderna had a prototype vaccine ready for initial trials. Warp speed means, you test the vaccine as fast as possible, and at the same time promise to buy the vaccine by the hundreds of million doses, working or not. In March President Trump became a promoter of Hydroxychloroquine, and HCQ became a verboten subject. All clinical trials were stopped because of its danger, even though it had been approved for over 50 years against malaria, and used to control Lupus and some kinds of Rheumatisms. It is so safe that it is even used for pregnant women and nursing mothers. The countries that routinely used HCQ in the early stages had a much better disease outcome than countries that didn’t, but it was more important to get rid of Trump than to treat and cure the people. The vaccines are now here, approved for emergency use, and the death rate for people taking the vaccines is greater than could be expected for that age group, for children it is as high as a 60-fold increase. While data for COVID is abundant, the vaccine data is slow in coming. Then came Ivermectin, which is even more effective than HCQ, but it is not approved by CDC yet, even though it is approved for treatment of other diseases.
Then it hit me: The vaccines are for emergency use only, and can not be used if a cure is available. Since Vaccines are highly profitable and Ivermectin is cheap, the obvious decision for CDC is to not approve Ivermectin and ruin the vaccine revenue stream. The well being of the people is of no importance to CDC.
All other explanations are more sinister, so I refrain from further speculation.
“Several studies reported antiviral effects of ivermectin on RNA viruses such as Zika, dengue, yellow fever, West Nile, Hendra, Newcastle, Venezuelan equine encephalitis, chikungunya, Semliki Forest, Sindbis, Avian influenza A, Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome, Human immunodeficiency virus type 1, and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.”
Professor Borody says his research has led him to a triple therapy of Ivermectin, zinc and an antibiotic – which are all TGA and FDA approved – which could be the fastest and safest way to stop the Victorian outbreak within 6-8 weeks. [See Professor Borody’s published research papers ORIC here http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0519-4698]
Professor Borody said, “These 3 medications are already approved. They do not need pre-clinical or clinical trials nor additional TGA approvals unless the aim is to combine in a single capsule, for example. Patient treatment programs have been done in the US and elsewhere which indicate it can work within 4-6 days.”
Professor Borody has reviewed the key antiviral scientific research literature and identified the combination of 3 drugs that are in chemists right now and can be prescribed by doctors immediately. The tablets can be taken at home as a preventive treatment by high risk individuals, or by those who test positive to minimise need for hospitalisation at the higher curative dose.
The therapy comprises:
Ivermectin – TGA and FDA approved as an anti-parasitic therapy with an established safety profile since the 1970s. Known as the “Wonder Drug” from Japan.
Zinc
Doxycycline – TGA and FDA approved tetracycline antibiotic that fights infections, such as acne, urinary tract infections, intestinal infections, respiratory infections, eye infections, gonorrhea, chlamydia, syphilis, periodontitis (gum disease), and others.
Professor Borody says distribution teams could be deployed in Victoria’s hotspots to treat proven infected patients immediately, and people exposed or at risk could be taking the preventative dose.
In 2016 then Governor Jerry Brown declared that California was in a permanent state of drought, so they might as well atart to prepare for water rationing.
The Lake Oroville Dam had a large crack in its spillway, and it was part of the regular maintenance to fix it, but since they were in a permanent drought the lake would never again be full, so there was no need, and certainly no hurry to fix it. Then in 1917 it started to rain again, the lake started to overflow, and instead of a less than 20 million maintenance task it became an over 1 Billion dollar rescue effort with helicopters trying to dump stones in the eroded parts of the dam
That was in early 2017. then in early 2019 it was full again, and with proper conservation measures there was enough water for 5 to 7 years with normal rainfalls from then on, so not to worry. Look where the lake levels are now:
Lake Oroville water level 8 8 639.67 feet
power. But that is not allSince today’s level is below the intake for hydro-power there will be no power from Oroville dam until spring melting season, thus depraving California about 440 MW of power. But that is not all, it also eliminates Oroville Dam of 117 MW power as a Hydro-power storage “battery” for excess wind power, so more wind turbines will have to be shut off when the wind is blowing since there are no customers for excess power. On the other hand, when the wind is not blowing it will have to be replaced by coal or natural gas, which are in insufficient supply. The future is full of brownouts, and rotating blackouts.
This is how the Oroville Lake looks now:
What is most galling is that of the water released in March of this year, before farmers really started to use water, 91% of the released water went into the San Francisco Bay to save the Delta Smelt, a totally useless fish, but protected. For the moment I can not think of a more inept way to run a water and energy business.
The evil that is occurring with human trafficking cannot be overstated. Besides sexual exploitation till total destruction and death, yes, the life of a sex-slave can sometimes be as short as four to five years after initial transaction, all the time they are abused, they can be carriers of diseases, some nearly impossible to cure.
Today it struck me; it is even worse than we feared. Let me explain.
God is in the healing business. He does not want anyone to perish, but be saved. This is not only spiritually, but also physically. Through the ages, we have learnt that certain behavior is not good for you, one of which is illicit sexual encounters, it spreads diseases, some of which may be deadly. God’s idea from the beginning was, one man, one woman, one lifetime. Being humans, we have all sinned and come short of the glory of God, this includes much more than spreading sexual diseases, this was just one example.
Throughout history there has been medical nurses and doctors that wanted to cure people from disease, finding one cure after another, developing vaccines, making wonderful medical equipment to do better diagnoses, better and safer surgeries and finding more cures. And so, finding out that one has cancer is not an automatic death sentence anymore, many cancers are now completely curable.
And then there are NIH and CDC. Their goal is not primarily to cure you but to create a controllable dependency, thus creating a reliable revenue stream for he medical establishment. This sounds harsh, but watching their handling of the Covid-19 pandemic has convinced me this is their ultimate goal, not the overall welfare of the patient.
But it is getting worse, The Covid-19 virus is not a virus that occurs naturally, it is an engineered virus through genetic manipulation to make it transmissible from human to human, also known as gain of function research. U.S. used to do such research, but it was stopped in 2015 because of its inherent danger should the virus escape from the lab. Dr Fauci participated in this research and defended its use for defensive purposes to have a defense against biological warfare. In 2017, ten days before Trump took office, then president Obama lifted the ban and allowed defensive research to resume. Dr Fauci then teamed up with the Wuhan lab and gave them a grant of 3.5 million dollars via a third party. The Wuhan lab was then controlled by the Chinese Communist Military. They did the offensive biological weapons development, and U.S. developed countermeasures. What could go wrong? In 2017 Dr. Fauci even cryptically mentioned that President Trump would encounter a surprise worldwide epidemic during his term in office. Then in 2019 the unthinkable happened, and that is where we are now.
The medical establishment is run by CDC and NIH and they are in charge of our response to the Covid-19 outbreak. But medical care is a matter for each state, so there will be differences how it is approached. President Trump decided to answer the pandemic with “Operation Warpspeed” and develop a vaccine in less than 8 months. Lucky for him Fr Fauci had the response ready. In conjunction with Moderna they had a proposed vaccine ready to be tested in 2 days, thanks to the defensive research conducted already in the Wuhan lab. So NIH owns one half of the Covid-19 vaccine patent, Moderna owns the other half. Operation warpspeed guaranteed that the U.S would buy millions of doses even if the vaccine didn’t work, so it was off to the races. Pfizer had a similar vaccine under development, and Johnson and Johnson took a couple of months more to develop a more conventional vaccine. This suited the CDC well, a solution to Covid-19 and a solid revenue stream.
But there were poorer countries out there, countries that could not afford to spend billions of dollars to develop vaccines, so they resorted to old, known medications, such as Hydroxychloroquine. The result, when applied early, together with Zinc and Azithromycine had remarkable results. Their death rates were less than half that of the rich countries, even when adjusted for age and other diseases. The Front-line Doctors held a news conference touting the benefits of this treatment, and in less than a day it was seen by over 20 million people. Then it was taken off you-tube and other social media and labeled misinformation. Even Fox News Don Cavuto produced a medical doctor that claimed if you took it YOU WILL DIE! Never mind it has been given for over fifty years against Malaria, and is given for years to people with lupus, even pregnant women and nursing mothers. No, the problem with HCQ is that it is generic, so there in no money in it any more. Another medication that has proven very successful in India is Ivermectin. It can be bought at Tractor Supply as a horse cure against parasitic invasions. It was in India the Delta-variant first occured, and in areas where it has been applied such as in the Delhi area new cases are down 97% already.
It seems to me, not being a medical doctor, that the obvious solution is to approve both HCQ and Ivermectin both for prophylactic use and as an early cure, and not enforce vaccines to anyone under 45 years of age, except the vulnerable population of course. This way we can return to sanity, masks hinder child development and causes all kinds of stress for the rest of us.
What has this to do with human trafficking? This is just the point. The Wuhan lab is in full operation, developing new and more deadly viruses ready to be released when the time is right for them in their long term biological warfare plans. They already provide us with the world supply of fentanol, the smugglers of which provide a perfect delivery vehicle. No, it is not the normal people crossing the border by the millions that are the problem, even though they are often physically and sexually abused even before getting here, it is the smugglers that smuggle both drugs and humans and are not even tracked by the border agents. They are the ideal “soldiers” in the new warfare, no longer governed by conventional weapons or even guerilla warfare, but by the drug cartels in conjunction with China that are the biggest threat.
Back in 2012 the Greenland ice sheet had an unprecedented melt, and the prediction was that all the Arctic ice would be melted in September of 2015, having reached the Climate tipping point from which there is no return to a normal climate unless we reorganized society into a more totalitarian global governance.
Well, the tipping point didn’t happen, so hopefully global governance will not happen either’ even many are trying.
These are the latest charts for arctic temperatures, ice and snow for Jan 11:
Notice the temperature has been below normal for the first half of the melting season.
The icepack on Greenland has barely started melting during the melting season
Notice the difference between this year and 2012
And yesterday’s snowfall over Greenland
Notice, Greenland only melts at the edges, the ice pack is always frozen
Remember, H2O is a condensing gas, when cooled off it condenses into clouds.
Clouds cool by day and warm by night, a one percent difference in cloud cover means more than the increase in CO2.
The only place this doesn’t work is in deserts. Forget CO2, but let us not make any more deserts.
Psalm 116:15 Precious in the sight of the Lord is the death of his saints.
Our current President Joseph R. Biden Jr gave a highly anticipated speech on how to reduce crime, mostly through gun control, but also to attack the problem by using unspent Covid money. But a few of his other sayings were puzzling:
President Joe Biden’s speech 6/23 2021
We just celebrated Juneteenth as the day the Republicans freed the Democrats slaves, and the Civil War was bloody and deadly indeed, and fought with physical guns. The Government likes to point to January 6 2021 as an armed insurrection to overthrow the government. Even though over 400 people are arrested and still held in D.C. prison on trespassing charges, none is accused of being armed with guns. The only casualty from guns is an unarmed protestor, Ashley Babbit, shot by an as of yet unidentified D.C. police. All the protestors demanded was a 12 day audit of the results in seven states to make sure all was done properly and in order. The Government should have welcomed an audit to finally lay to rest accusations of impropriety in the 2020 election.
No, the problem is much deeper, and it is spiritual. Both Republicans and Democrats are deeply flawed people, as are we all, in need of a redeemer. That is why the battle is spiritual. As the Scripture says in 2 Corintians 10:4(For the weapons of our warfare are not carnal, but mighty through God to the pulling down of strong holds;).
So what are the weapons of our warfare? Ephesians 6:13-17
Yes, this battle is much bigger than gun control, bigger than Democrat versus Republican. It is a battle for good vs. evil, liberty vs. Government control of what defines freedom, anarchy vs. law and order, and most important is is a spiritual battle for the soul of every individual, the nation and the world.
It seems the Covid vaccination process has been politicized along party lines
Missing from the chart is Alaska with 41% vaccinated. Of particular interest are the states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, whose elections are still contested according a majority of Republicans. Why is that? When President trump in March 2020 started touting Hydroxycloroquine as a possible prophylactic and cure while we waited for a vaccine, the media immediately started a counter campaign telling how dangerous it was. Even Fox News joined the chorus:
The Veterans study Neil Cavuto referred to had one fatal flaw: it did not include Zinc in the medication. It is the Zinc that kills the Coronavirus after the HZQ has made the virus membrane penetrable. There are now many other studies done that shows that HZQ + Zinc + Azitromycine are highly effective, even after the secondary stage in the disease has set in:
This was a compilation in January 2021. Recent results are even more encouraging.
A new study published by MedRxiv found that hydroxychloroquine and zinc treatments in patients increased COVID survival by almost three times.
The study “looked at 255 COVID19 patients who required invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) during the first two months of the US pandemic. Through comprehensive, longitudinal evaluation and new consideration of all the data, we were able to better describe and understand factors affecting outcome after intubation.”
As you know, former President Trump touted hydroxychloroquine as a treatment for COVID, and was shunned by Dr. Fauci and the mainstream media for doing so. Trump told the world he even took hydroxychloroquine himself, and urged Americans to speak with their doctors.
There is another medication available which will greatly reduce the severity of Covid-19. It is Ivermectin, available at Tractor Supply and drugstores to treat parasitic infections in farm animals and dogs. The results are encouraging. Some claim an even better result than from HCQ treatment, which would make it an attractive alternative to HCQ treatment.
I do not know proper dosages, but if done properly, it is safe for humans when treating parasitic infections. It also is too cheap for the medical elite to take seriously.
One more thing, make sure you take supplemental Vitamin D3 (I take 5000 IU/day). An Indonesian study found that the death rate went from 95% if the values were less than 19 nanograms/milliliter to less than 5% if the D3 values were over 31 nanograms/milliliter. The study was made in Covid patients over 65 years old.
Who should get vaccinated? For me, being nearly 80 years old, with a heart condition and a severe blood disease the choice was easy. Of course, I should get vaccinated. But for younger people, people under 45 years of age with a more than 99.9% chance of survival even without HCQ or Ivermectin treatment should they get the Covid.
NEW BLOOMFIELD — A Cleveland Clinic study released this week stated people already infected with the coronavirus gain no additional benefits from vaccination.
The study included 52,000 Cleveland Clinic employees and found not one person who was infected with the virus and chose not to get vaccinated became reinfected.
The data led researchers to conclude those already infected with COVID-19 gain no benefit from getting the vaccine, but an MU Health Care official disagrees with the clinic’s statement.
With this new information my recommendation is to only perform vaccination on demand to preserve personal freedom as much as possible, recommend it to high risk groups, but do not vaccinate children and college age adults! We are close enough to herd immunity to carry out the vaccine trials and prove them effective and safe for the long run before we proceed any further. After all, the vaccines are only approved for emergency use, and children and young adults do not die from it, but the side effects of the vaccine are often much more severe than the disease itself. In children it is mostly asymptomatic. For young adults there is a disturbing rise in the myocarditis after taking the vaccine
This was in 2005. Dr. Fauci knew then HydroxyChloroQuine was effective against Covid type viruses. “In the 1985-86 edition of Harrison’s Principles of Internal Medicine [a highly recommended book for students studying medicine in medical colleges], Dr. Fauci wrote that HCQ worked an anti-viral agent despite being an anti-malarial drug. There was no Covid-19 back then, but HCQ’s anti-viral properties were already well known.
In 2015 the only level-4 virus lab in the U.S. conducting defensive research against “Gain of function” viruses was closed because of the inherent danger to the population should the virus escape. Not to worry, President Obama, Melinda Gates and Dr Fauci started to look for a new place to conduct the research. They found it in Wuhan, China; the Chinese have no such scruples as danger to the people. This lab was taken over in 2017 by the Chinese army, conducting bio-weapon research (defensive only, of course), so the research continued, this time controlled by the Chinese.
In January 2017 Anthony S. Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said there is “no doubt” Donald J. Trump will be confronted with a surprise infectious disease outbreak during his presidency.
It is getting interesting. The virus escaped the lab, sometimes in the fall of 2019, and the Chinese knew it but kept silent. They closed off Wuhan to all other Chinese, rail, car and air. But they kept international travel open, as if they wanted the virus to spread all around the world. And Dr. Fauci knew it!
In Indiatoday Prabhash K Dutta, New Delhi wrote in June 7, 2021:
Remember Donald Trump-touted hydroxychloroquine? Study in India backs it as Covid-19 cure.
Hydroxychloroquine, the malaria drug touted as a magical Covid-19 cure by former US President Donald Trump last year, has been found effective in a prophylactic study published in a prophylactic study published in the Journal of The Association of Physicians of India (JAPI) last week..
The study showed that hydroxychloroquine, popularly known as HCQ, could prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection in varying degrees depending on its dosing regimen. The highest prevention rate of 72 per cent was found among those given hydroxychloroquine over six weeks or a longer duration.
The study said, “[W]hen adjusted for other risk factors, HCQ dose as per government recommendations, 2-3, 4-5, 6 or more weeks reduced the probability of Covid positivity by 34 per cent, 48 per cent and 72 per cent.”
The study was conducted May-September last year when HCQ was still part of the Union health ministry’s recommendation in treatment protocol for Covid-19, and it began against the backdrop of contesting claims made by authorities and experts including Donald Trump and his advisor Dr Anthony Fauci, the US’s top infectious disease expert.
In March 2020, Donald Trump declared that hydroxichloroquine was a “game changer” drug in the fight against Covid-19. Dr Fauci dismissed the claim citing lack of study and evidence. Despite Fauci’s counter-positioning, Trump continued to be vocal about taking HCQ as prophylactic drug.
Incidentally, the Union health ministry on June 6 dropped hydroxychloroquine from Covid-19 treatment protocol. In its nine-page guidelines released on Sunday (June 6) by the directorate of health services, hydroxychloroquine, ivermectin and favipiravir find no mention.
The government’s decision came on the back of criticism by experts who pointed out a lack of study-based evidence to recommend hydroxychloroquine in Covid-19 cases. The government’s revised guidelines, however, contradicts the recommendations made by the Indian Council of Medical Research as released on May 17.
The ICMR guidelines prescribed the use of hydroxychloroquine in mild cases of Covid-19.
The authors of this prophylactic (relating to prevention of a disease) study said that this “is the largest multicenter study on HCQ prophylaxis on HCWs (healthcare workers), covering over 12,000 HCWs at the risk of Covid-19”.
The study was conducted in May-September last year across 44 hospitals in 17 states involving hundreds of doctors, who received doses of hydroxychloroquine.
One of the co-authors of the study, Dr Raj Kamal Choudhry said, “In the 1985-86 edition of Harrison’s Principles of Internal Medicine [a highly recommended book for students studying medicine in medical colleges], Dr. Fauci wrote that HCQ worked an anti-viral agent despite being an anti-malarial drug. There was no Covid-19 back then, but HCQ’s anti-viral properties were already well known.”
Dr Raj Kamal Choudhry, who was the nodal officer for the prophylaxis study of HCQ in Bihar’s Bhagalpur medical college, said, “We had given about 2,700 doctors and paramedical staff, laundry and kitchen people the prophylaxis of HCQs in the dose of HCQs 400 mg 1×2 for first day then 1 tab daily for 4 days.”
“We did not give to those who had palpitations and had QT prolongation [a measure of heart ailment]. Those who took this drug did not have Covid excepting 5 and 6. The effect was tremendous. Later, we gave this drug to all who had mild cases. Only those patients who were in ICU were not given.”
“Of 2,700 people who were given HCQs, 700 were doctors. Only five or six got infected with SARS-CoV-2 in Bhagalpur but none developed serious complications, and nobody died of Covid-19,” Dr Raj Kamal Choudhry told Indiatoday.in.
The evidence is piling up. There has been numerous, over 50 studies like this showing that HCQ is effective, both as prophylactic, and as an early cure. Yoo bad that the medical bureaucracy considered it more important to get rid of Donald Trump than to save over 100,000 lives in U.S. alone.
In addition HCQ is too cheap and generic to warrant a double blind study.
The other medication that may be as effective, and save lives is Ivermectin, an anti-parasite drug used to treat horses and other farm animals. You can buy it at Tractor Supply, so I have been told. I do not know proper dosages, but if done properly, it is safe for humans when treating parasitic infections. It also is too cheap for the medical community to take seriously.
One more thing, make sure you take supplemental Vitamin D3 (I take 5000 IU/day). An Indonesian study found that the death rate went from 95% if the values were less than 19 nanograms/milliliter to less than 5% if the D3 values were over 31 nanograms/milliliter. The study was made in Covid patients over 65 years old.
Quote from Alexandria Occasio-Cortez in January 2019: “Millennials and Gen Z and all these folks that come after us are looking up, and we’re like, ‘The world is going to end in 12 years if we don’t address climate change, and your biggest issue is how are we gonna pay for it?’ ” she said.
I beg to differ.
We live in only one world. As a concerned citizen I realize we have immense environmental challenges before us, with water pollution; from plastics in the ocean, excess fertilizer in the rivers, poison from all kinds of chemicals, including antibiotics, birth control and other medicines flushed down the toilet after going through our bodies, animals fed antibiotics, pest control, weed control and so on. Increasing CO2 is not one of the problems, it will in fact help with erosion control, and allow us to feed more people on less agricultural land with proper management, and require less fertilizer and water to do so. In fact, proper water management is a larger problem, with some rivers no longer even reaching the ocean. All water is already spoken for, especially in the 10 to 40 degrees latitude, where most people live and want to live.
But before w go into that, allow me to be somewhat technical and give the background to why I know we will never experience the thermal runaway they are so afraid of.
Many years ago I worked at Hewlett Packard on an Atomic Absorption Detector. It was a huge technical success but a commercial failure, as it was too expensive to use for routine applications. However it found a niche and became the detector of choice when dismantling the huge nerve gas stockpiles remaining from the cold war. I was charged with doing the spectrum analysis and produce the final data from the elements. One day two salesmen came and tried to sell us a patented device that could identify up to 21 different elements with one analysis. They had a detector that divided the visual band into 21 parts, and bingo, with proper, not yet “fully developed” software you could now analyze up to 21 elements with one gas chromatography analysis. What could be better? We could only analyze correctly four or five elements simultaneously. It turns out the elements are absorbing in the same wavelength bands, scientifically speaking they are not orthogonal, so software massaging can only go so far. It turned out that the promised new detector was inferior to what we already had and could only quantify three or 4 elements at the most.
In the atmosphere the two most important greenhouse gases are water vapor and CO2 with methane a distant third. Water vapor is much more of a greenhouse gas everywhere except near the tropopause, high above the high clouds and around the poles when the temperature is below 0 F, way below freezing. A chart shows the relationship between CO2 and water vapor:
Even in Barrow, Alaska (renamed Utqiaġvik since 2016), water vapor is the dominant greenhouse gas. Only around the South Pole (And North Pole) does CO2 dominate (but only in the winter).
All Climate models take this into account, and that is why they all predict that the major temperature increase will occur in the polar regions with melting icecaps and other dire consequences. But they also predict a uniform temperature rise from the increased forcing from CO2 and the additional water vapor resulting from the increased temperature.
This is wrong on two accounts. First, CO2 and H2O gas are not orthogonal, that means they both absorb in the same frequency bands. There are three bands where CO2 absorbs more than H2O in the far infrared band, but other than that H2O is the main absorber. If H2O is 80 times as common as CO2 as it is around the equator, water vapor is still the dominant absorber, and the amount of CO2 is irrelevant.
Secondly, gases cannot absorb more than 100% of the energy available in any given energy wavelength band! So if H2O did absorb 80% of the energy and CO2 absorbed 50%, the sum is not 130%, only 90%. (0.8 + 0.5×0,2 or 0.5 + 0.8×0.5). In this example CO2 only adds one quarter of what the models predict.
How do I know this is true? Lucky for us we can measure what increasing CO2 in the atmosphere has already accomplished. For a model to have credibility it must be tested with measurements, and pass the test. There is important evidence suggesting the basic premise is wrong. All greenhouse gases work by affecting the lapse rate in the tropics. They thus create a “hot spot” in the tropical troposphere. The theorized “hot spot” is shown in the early IPCC publications. (Fig A)
Fig. B shows observations. The hot-spot is not there. If the hot-spot is not there, the models must be wrong. So what is wrong with the models? This was reported in 2008 and the models still assume the additive nature of greenhouse gases, even to the point when more than 100% of the energy in a given band is absorbed.
How about Methane? Do not worry, it absorbs nearly exclusively in the same bands as water vapor and has no measurable influence on the climate.
But it will get warmer at the poles. That will cause melting of the ice-caps? Not so fast. When temperature rises the atmosphere can hold more water vapor, so it will snow more at higher latitudes. While winter temperatures will be higher with more snowfall, this will lower the summer temperatures until the extra snow has melted. And that is what is happening in the Arctics
As we can see from this picture, the winters were about 5 degrees warmer, but starting from late May through early August temperatures were lower. It takes time to melt all the extra snow that fell because of the warmer winter air, able to contain more ice crystals.
No, the real climate crisis is water, not enough of it in the areas of the world where people want to live, and nothing in the U.S. is more precarious than the American southwest, or the Colorado river basin.
Many years ago the city of Denver had a problem. The land east of the Rocky mountains is dry, rain is sparse and the aquifers were being depleted. The city was growing rapidly, still small by today’s standard, but they were thinking big and looked for a really good water supply. There was one fairly nearby: the Colorado river. There was only one small problem, it was on the other side of the continental divide. They were building a railroad tunnel under the continental divide anyway, so for a few million dollars extra they added a water tunnel, with a capacity of 36 m3/s of water flow, and it has been draining water from the Colorado River basin since 1936.
As an engineering feat it was quite impressive, and the population west of the Rocky Mountains was minuscule. This has changed and the demand for water in the Southwest is enormous and increasing. Las Vegas alone is now about the same size as the City of Denver. (The Denver Region is about 5.5 million)
Let us take a look at the Colorado River watershed:
Beside the Moffet tunnel that diverts Colorado River basin water to Denver and Colorado springs, Water is diverted to Salt Lake City, the upper Rio Grande in New Mexico, and the big one, water is diverted to Los Angeles and the lower Imperial Valley in California
Much of the water from the Colorado River basin is used for agricultural purposes. This is a picture of the irrigation in the lower Imperial valley and Mexico.
This is important: The Colorado River water is all spoken for. It never reaches the Gulf of California. Once upon a time there was a good shrimp harvest at the mouth of the Colorado River. No more.
There is one state left, Arizona. It is one of the fastest growing states in the U.S
All their water has to be drawn from the Colorado River basin.
So, how is the water situation in the South-west? Right now they are in the most severe drought since 2016. Here is the map:
But there is plenty of water in Lake Mead, right? Take a look:
The water level is 155 feet below full pool. Lowest level since 2016And the descent is much faster than in 2016.
But the major feeder into Lake Mead is the output from Lake Powell. How does that look today?
Oops: The water level is as of May 25 43 feet lower than in 2020, and the snow-pack of not yet melted snow is almost non- existent.
The extreme drought is nearly all over the South West. Mandatory water restrictions for the whole Colorado River basin seem inevitable this summer and for the foreseeable future. As long as people love to move to the U.S. Southwest, something must be done.
Yes, water is the critical resource we need to manage. It must be priority together with roads and bridges. The Eastern states has excess water. So let us build a large number of dams up the Missouri and Platte rivers and pump water up to Denver and Colorado Springs, and maybe even reverse the Moffet tunnel to supply the Colorado River basin with extra water.
This will take a lot of electrical energy. As long as we depend on fossil fuels to provide the electricity this is futile. We have to find another source to provide electricity.
These are my suggestions
Do not worry about increasing CO2 levels. The major temperature stabilizer is clouds, and they will keep the earth from overheating by reflecting back into space a large amount of incoming solar radiation. Always did, and always will, even when the CO2 concentration was more than 10000 ppm millions of years ago. Ice ages will still come, and this is the next major climate change, maybe 10000 years from now, probably less.
Clean up rivers, lakes and oceans from pollution. This is a priority.
Limit Wind turbine electric energy to areas not populated by large birds to save the birds. Already over 1.3 million birds a year are killed by wind turbines, including the bald and Golden Eagles that like to build their aeries on top of wind turbines.
Do not build large solar concentration farms. They too kill birds.
Solar panels are o.k. not in large farms, but distributed on roofs and on city parking lots to provide backup power.
Exploit geothermal energy in geologically stable areas.
Where ever possible add peak power generation and storage capacity to existing hydroelectric power plants by pumping back water into the dams during excess capacity.
Add peak power storage dams, even in wildlife preserves. The birds and animals don’t mind.
Develop Thorium based Nuclear Power. Russia, China, Australia and India are ahead of us in this. Streamline permit processes. Prioritize research. This should be our priority, for when the next ice age starts we will need all the CO2 possible.
Put fusion power as important for the future but do not rush it, let the research and development be scientifically determined. However, hybrid Fusion -Thorium power generation should be developed.
When Thorium power is built up and has replaced coal and gas fired power plants, then is the time to switch to electric cars, not before.
Standard Nuclear Power plants should be replaced by Thorium powered nuclear plants, since they have only 0,01% of the really bad long term nuclear waste.
Start thinking about recovering CO2 directly from the air to produce aviation fuel. This should be done as Thorium power has replaced coal and gas fired power plants.
This is but a start, but the future is not as bleak as all fearmongers state.
Thorium Nuclear Power is the only viable long term solution to our energy needs.
Len Bilén's blog, a blog about faith, politics and the environment. 