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Excess deaths during the 2020-2021 pandemic. Did vaccines help?

The U.s census is doing a remarkable job of statistics. This is from US Mortality

We can see the 2020 excess mortality was 14%

Total 425,794 deaths broken down i 6 age categories

Percentage wise it looks quite different!

COVID deaths in 2020 was about 377,878 not much different than the total excess deaths. For the 6 categories they are as follow: 0-24 721 or 27% of excessive deaths; 25-44 9,144 or 24% of excessive deaths; 45-64 62,536 or 63% of excessive deaths; 65-74 80,617 or 88% of excessive deaths; 75-84 104,212 or 127% of excessive deaths; 85+ 120,648 or 109% of excessive deaths;

We can see that for people under 45 years of age only a quarter of the excess deaths came from COVID-19. Most of the deaths came from excess stress, delayed medical treatments, depression, drugs, drinking and misbehavior, but for people over 65 there was a positive effect of the protective provisions that followed. But 2020 was the year without vaccines and a learning year for how to best treat the pandemic.

So how are we doing in 2021? We now have three vaccines and have learnt a lot about how to best treat COVID. Well for openers COVID deaths in 2021 were 452 thousand, far more than in 2020! And we have learned a lot of best treatment for hospitalized patients. The official results are not in yet, but there are charts that can give us a clue.

The all cause excess mortality for the age group 0-24 years in 2021 is not much different than for 2020, the chart below indicate it is about 3% more, or about 4,000 excess deaths.

For the age group 25-44 years: From the time COVId started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 30%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 44%, or about 41,500 excess deaths.

For the age group 45-64 years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 23%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 29%, or about 126,000 excess deaths.

For the age group 65-74 years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 24%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 22%, or about 84,000 excess deaths.

For the age group 75-84 years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 18%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 11%, or about 50,000 excess deaths.

And finally, for the age group 85+ years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 18%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 3%, or about 30,000 excess deaths.

First the good news. In 2020 the COVID-19 deaths were 89% of the total excessive deaths excessive deaths, in 2021 they were 131% of all excessive deaths. This means the vaccines are effective in reducing total deaths.

But do they reduce total deaths in all age categories?

For age group 0-24years: Excessive deaths 2020, 2,641 2021, 4,500, a 75% increase. 25-44years: Excessive deaths 2020, 38,271; 2021, 41,500, an 8.5% increase. 45-64years: Excessive deaths 2020, 99,869; 2021, 126,000, a 26% increase. 65-74years: Excessive deaths 2020, 91,249; 2021, 84.000, an 8% decrease. 75-84years: Excessive deaths 2020, 81,700; 2021, 50.000, a 39% decrease. 85+ years: Excessive deaths 2020, 111,284; 2021, 30.000, a 73% decrease.

Now, vaccines are not the only determining factor in the excessive deaths, overdoses of Fentanyl, opioids, alcohol and other drugs played a role. Especially in the 25-64 age group the additional stress to care for elderly parents while the children are still in high school or college plus being locked in at home and having to wear masks can be devastating to the mental health of anyone.

The conclusion from this study is: Dont vaccinate children and young adults. For people 25-44 vaccinate people with compelling medical needs to be protected. For people 45-64 make an informed decision, and since there are very often co-mprbidity factors, consider get vaccinated. For people over 65: By all means get vaccinated and boosted. Your immune system is already weakened anyway.

The vaccines that exist do not provide immunity. That was the old definition of vaccine. The new definition is that vaccines are prophylactic therapeutics for a time period, to be followed by boosters. There are two excellent prophylactic therapeutic medicines tha so fr has been overlooked by CDC, but are used at great advantage in much of the rest of the world: HydroxyChloroquine and Ivermectin. Check out Why is U.S.A. doing so poorly in fighting the pandemic? Is it beecause they refuse HCQ and Ivermectin?

January 21, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

John 14:1-14 records the events of the hour after the Passover meal before they all depart to Gethsemane. Jesus told his disciples he is going away to prepare a mansion, more precisely a dwelling place for them. Thomas, always questioning him, asked him “How can we know the way?” And Philip added “Show us the Father“. Jesus answer? “Believe in me“.

Genesis 40 deals with dreams. Joseph’s two fellow cellmates in prison each had a dream, Joseph interpreted the dreams that the cup-bearer would be released and restored to his former position, while the baker would be hanged on a tree.

In Genesis 41 Pharaoh himself had a dream, and Joseph was released from prison to interpret the dream. It dealt with seven years of plenty and seven years of famine. Joseph interpreted the dream so well that Pharaoh put Joseph in charge of all affairs of Egypt. The seven years of plenty came and good harvests filled the storehouses. Then came the seven years of famine.

Psalm 8 has been set to music many times. Even I have sung it many times, both as a choir number, and the first verse as an introit. Looking for the music I found a far better, very free rendition of the Psalm, this one by Marty Goetz.

January 20, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

John 13 begins the last 24 hours before the crucifixion of Jesus. Jesus washed the disciples’ feet before the Passover meal, a task normally performed by the lowest servant. During the meal he announced his betrayal, and then he gave the disciples a new commandment “love one another”. He also predicted Simon Peter’s denial.

Genesis 38 tells the story of Judah and Tamar. One of the rules of the Old Testament is that if a man dies without producing an heir, it was the duty of his brother to try to produce an offspring to his widow. Onan shirked this responsibility, and that was the sin of Onan. Tamar was thus still barren, so she tricked Judah into committing adultery. You can read it for yourself. Judah finally confessed: She is more righteous than I.

Genesis 39 then picks up the story of Joseph and Potiphar’s wife. The story is a classic, and for doing the right thing Joseph was falsely accused and thrown in jail.

Psalm 7 is a shiggaion, a dithyrambic ode of David. I would love to hear what the music to this Psalm sounded like.

January 19, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

John 12:20-50 . Some Greeks came to Jesus and Jesus prophesied about his being “lifted up, and draw all men to himself”, and some believed. Many Jews also believed but kept quiet for fear of being kept out of the synagogues.

In Genesis 36 is recorded the genealogy of Esau and the rulers of Edom.

Genesis 37 tells of Joseph’s dreams, outrageous as they were they made his brothers jealous, so they sold him into slavery to the Ishmaelites and then the Midianites sold him to Potiphar in Egypt.

January 18, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

John 12:1-19 begins the last week before the Crucifixion. It is important when this happened, so I have inserted a segment on the correct dates for Passover and the Holy week. Jesus was anointed at Bethany, on Sunday and, as prophesied, he rode on an unbroken donkey colt in the triumphal entry into Jerusalem.

Trouble started in Genesis 34. Dinah was violated by an uncircumcised person, two of her brothers executed revenge on not only the violator but every male in the whole town, killing them all. Jacob said: “You have troubled me to make me a stink among the inhabitants of the land.” And so trouble started.

Genesis 35. Jacob returned to Bethel, got rid of all the idols and built an altar. Moving on from Bethel, Rachel gave birth to Benjamin, a birth so hard Rachel died in childbirth. The chapter ends with the death of Isaac.

January 17, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

Mankind has a strong survival instinct. This leads to trying to manipulate people to gain an advantage or at least survive, and because Jesus had raised Lazarus from the dead in John 11:45-57 the ruling Jews were worried that Jesus would become ruler and then the Romans would destroy their nation. This lead to Caiaphas’ inadvertent prophecy “You know nothing at all! You do not realize that it is better for you that one man die for the people than that the whole nation perish.”

The sons of Laban were displeased with Jacob getting rich at their expense, so in Genesis 31 Jacob fled from Laban. However, as Jacob, wives and children all were set to depart, Rachel stole Laban’s idols. Laban found out the idols were missing, pursued Jacob and caught up with him. Laban looked for the idols, at no avail, Rachel had hid them under the saddle of her camel and sat on it claiming she had her period. Finally Laban gave in, said farewell to all and he and Joseph established the Mizpah.

In Genesis 32 Jacob, schemer as he was, prepared to meet Esau. He figured Esau wanted to kill him, so he split up his company in two, and gave instructions to his messengers on what to say to make Esau less vindictive. Then the Jacob family crossed the Ford of Jabbok. On the other side they camped for the night, and Jacob wrestled with an angel of God and prevailed, but got a limp in his hip. God then gave Jacob a new, spiritual name, Israel.

And in Genesis 33 Jacob finally met up with Esau, but it turned out that Esau rejoiced to see Jacob and all his children.

January 16, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

Jacob arrived in Paddan Aram in Genesis 29, fell in love with Rachel, worked seven years to be allowed to marry her, but her father Laban tricked Jacob, so he got Leah instead. Then he worked another “seven years for Rachel”. But it was Leah that gave him his first four children, Reuben, Simeon, Levi and Judah.

John 11:1-44 describes how Jesus raised Lazarus from the dead (on the fourth day no less).

Genesis 30 records the remaining children born to Jacob (except Benjamin, who would be born later). It also tells a story about Rachel, desperate to get a child of her own was bargaining with Leah for Reuben’s mandrakes. After Joseph was born, Jacob wanted to leave and go back to the promised land, but Laban bargained with him to stay and make them even more prosperous. Through selective breeding Jacob acquired the majority of the flocks and became wealthy.

Psalm 6 is a prayer, this time from a humble David asking for mercy, but also asking God to humiliate his enemies.

Why is U.S.A. doing so poorly in fighting the pandemic? Is it beecause they refuse HCQ and Ivermectin?

I looked at the statistics from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

It shows that the world has recorded 325,125,927 cases of the coronavirus and 5,550,676 deaths as of January 14 2022. U.S.A has recorded 66,250,206 cases and 872,332 deaths, or 20.4% of the world total cases but only 15.1% of the world’s deaths from the same virus. Great, we have more cases because we are doing more testing.

Not so, we have done 856 million tests, but the world has done over 4.8 billion tests, so our share of the testing is 17.8% or nearly the same as our part of the cases and deaths. But we are only 4.2% of the world population! This means we are doing three and a half times worse than the world as a total!

How can that be? We have the world’s best health care system with fantastic hospitals, full of state of the art equipment to monitor and do things that was unthinkable a decade ago. We are spending in excess of 10,000 dollars yearly per person on healthcare, while the global arithmetic average is less than 1200 dollars yearly per person, This means that most countries spend less than 1000 dollars yearly per person. In fact they are so poor that they cannot even think of spending for expensive patented medicines, so they are limited to the simplest generic prophylactic and therapeutic medicines. And you guessed it, they are mostly HydroxyChloroQuine and Ivermectin.

Let us take HCQ first: An Indian study found HCQ up to 74% effective as a prophylactic. See (There may be a cure for COVID-19 after all. Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) works, both as a prophylactic and as cure if taken early.) It also works as a therapeutic. There were a number of countries that adopted HCQ as an early treatment. they had less than a third deaths per capita compared to the countries that didnt. This evaluation is from Sep. 2020. (If HCQ+Zinc+Zithromax had been approved for outpatient use as soon as symptoms of COVID-19 occurred we could have saved about 90000 lives by now!)

Ivermectin is even better than HCQ, both as a prophylactic and therapeutic against COVID. It is also more broadband than existing vaccines, so it will probably work against future variants as well, not just Delta and Omicron. Here are reports from a number of countries that are using Ivermectin because they are so poor they can not do much else: (How come CDC and NIH cannot notice how successful Ivermectin is combating COVID-19 worldwide?) (Add Japan to the success stories of countries treating COVID-19 patients with Ivermectin.) (Indonesia and India has shown the solution to end COVID-19. Use Ivermectin.)

Why are we not approving Ivermectin and HCQ? They are ultra safe and they work. There are two reasons CDC is a vaccine approving agency and want dependent customers to purchase expensive medicines, and to approve Ivermectin and HCQ at this stage would mean that they would confess they have caused hundreds of thousand deaths by their refusal to approve them even they were far safer than say Remdesivir which was approved immediately after just one study (Hint it is expensive). We need to reorganize NIH, FDA and CDC to be patient oriented, no longer beholden to the medico-industrial behemoth.This is my opinion.

January 15, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

In John 10:22-42 Jesus claimed to be one with his Father. This is of course blasphemy unless it is true, so for that the Jews wanted to stone him.

In Genesis 27 Jacob deceived Isaac to get the blessing of the firstborn instead of Esau. Esau got one too, but just the regular blessing, so to avoid more trouble Jacob fled to Laban.

In Genesis 28, Jacob went to Paddan Aram to get a wife. On the way he had a dream, commonly known as “Jacob’s Ladder”. Meanwhile, Esau took yet another wife, the daughter of Ishmael. The promise of Jacob’s dream was that God was to give the land to Jacob’s descendants. Jacob made a vow to God and named the place Bethel.

Psalm 5 is a prayer extolling the joy of praising God and praying towards Jerusalem, but is also an urgent prayer to do away with and destroy all wickedness and wicked people.

January 14, reading the Holy Bible in a year.

In John 10:1-21 Jesus told he is the good shepherd and all what that means.

After Sarah’s death, in Genesis 25 Abraham married his concubine Ketorah, who had already borne him six children. Before his death he sent them all away with ample gifts and provisions but his inheritance he gave to Isaac. Isaac and Ishmael buried Abraham, and then Ishmael’s genealogy was written down. Finally is told the story of Jacob and Esau, and how Esau sold his birthright for a bowl of lentil stew and some bread.

Genesis 26 tells of Isaac and Rebekah, how Isaac too said Rebekah was his sister, like father, like son. In spite of that lie God protected them, and the rest of the chapter deals with the eternal Mideast dispute: Water rights.