Excess deaths during the 2020-2021 pandemic. Did vaccines help?

The U.s census is doing a remarkable job of statistics. This is from US Mortality

We can see the 2020 excess mortality was 14%
Total 425,794 deaths broken down i 6 age categories
Percentage wise it looks quite different!

COVID deaths in 2020 was about 377,878 not much different than the total excess deaths. For the 6 categories they are as follow: 0-24 721 or 27% of excessive deaths; 25-44 9,144 or 24% of excessive deaths; 45-64 62,536 or 63% of excessive deaths; 65-74 80,617 or 88% of excessive deaths; 75-84 104,212 or 127% of excessive deaths; 85+ 120,648 or 109% of excessive deaths;

We can see that for people under 45 years of age only a quarter of the excess deaths came from COVID-19. Most of the deaths came from excess stress, delayed medical treatments, depression, drugs, drinking and misbehavior, but for people over 65 there was a positive effect of the protective provisions that followed. But 2020 was the year without vaccines and a learning year for how to best treat the pandemic.

So how are we doing in 2021? We now have three vaccines and have learnt a lot about how to best treat COVID. Well for openers COVID deaths in 2021 were 452 thousand, far more than in 2020! And we have learned a lot of best treatment for hospitalized patients. The official results are not in yet, but there are charts that can give us a clue.

The all cause excess mortality for the age group 0-24 years in 2021 is not much different than for 2020, the chart below indicate it is about 3% more, or about 4,000 excess deaths.

For the age group 25-44 years: From the time COVId started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 30%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 44%, or about 41,500 excess deaths.

For the age group 45-64 years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 23%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 29%, or about 126,000 excess deaths.

For the age group 65-74 years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 24%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 22%, or about 84,000 excess deaths.

For the age group 75-84 years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 18%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 11%, or about 50,000 excess deaths.

And finally, for the age group 85+ years: From the time COVID started to the end of the year 2020 the excess mortality rate was about 18%. In 2021 the excess mortality ate was around 3%, or about 30,000 excess deaths.

First the good news. In 2020 the COVID-19 deaths were 89% of the total excessive deaths excessive deaths, in 2021 they were 131% of all excessive deaths. This means the vaccines are effective in reducing total deaths.

But do they reduce total deaths in all age categories?

For age group 0-24years: Excessive deaths 2020, 2,641 2021, 4,500, a 75% increase. 25-44years: Excessive deaths 2020, 38,271; 2021, 41,500, an 8.5% increase. 45-64years: Excessive deaths 2020, 99,869; 2021, 126,000, a 26% increase. 65-74years: Excessive deaths 2020, 91,249; 2021, 84.000, an 8% decrease. 75-84years: Excessive deaths 2020, 81,700; 2021, 50.000, a 39% decrease. 85+ years: Excessive deaths 2020, 111,284; 2021, 30.000, a 73% decrease.

Now, vaccines are not the only determining factor in the excessive deaths, overdoses of Fentanyl, opioids, alcohol and other drugs played a role. Especially in the 25-64 age group the additional stress to care for elderly parents while the children are still in high school or college plus being locked in at home and having to wear masks can be devastating to the mental health of anyone.

The conclusion from this study is: Dont vaccinate children and young adults. For people 25-44 vaccinate people with compelling medical needs to be protected. For people 45-64 make an informed decision, and since there are very often co-mprbidity factors, consider get vaccinated. For people over 65: By all means get vaccinated and boosted. Your immune system is already weakened anyway.

The vaccines that exist do not provide immunity. That was the old definition of vaccine. The new definition is that vaccines are prophylactic therapeutics for a time period, to be followed by boosters. There are two excellent prophylactic therapeutic medicines tha so fr has been overlooked by CDC, but are used at great advantage in much of the rest of the world: HydroxyChloroquine and Ivermectin. Check out Why is U.S.A. doing so poorly in fighting the pandemic? Is it beecause they refuse HCQ and Ivermectin?

Published by

lenbilen

Retired engineer, graduated from Chalmers Technical University a long time ago with a degree in Technical Physics. Career in Aerospace, Analytical Chemistry, computer chip manufacturing and finally adjunct faculty at Pennsylvania State University, taught just one course in Computer Engineering, the Capstone Course.

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