March 31, read through the Holy Bible in a year in Power-point, with comments.

March 31, read through the Bible in a year.

Today’s reading starts with one well known chapter of Luke and three chapters of Joshua. Enjoy!

March 31: Luke 10, Joshua 4, Joshua 5, Joshua 6 (click on the chapter to begin reading)

In Luke 10 Jesus did send out the seventy-two, they returned with joy but Jesus admonishes them:  “rejoice not, that the spirits are subject unto you; but rather rejoice, because your names are written in heaven.” He then told the Parable of the Good Samaritan  and finally Jesus went to the home of Martha and Mary. Martha was busy but Mary just sat there and listened to Jesus.

Joshua 4, after crossing the Jordan Joshua commanded they take twelve stones as Memorial Stones to remind the Israelites they crossed Jordan on dry ground. (When the Levites went out of the Jordan River with the Ark the waters returned to flood stage.)

Joshua 5, while camped at Gilgal the second generation was circumcised. Joshua met the Commander of the Army of the LORD.

Joshua 6 describes in living detail The Fall of Jericho. (One of the many  renditions is with the Delta Rhythm Boys.) Enjoy!

The COVID-19 epidemic presented in charts. How to scare or calm down with the same, perfectly valid statistics.

The impression you want to make on the public depends on how you want to present the data in charts. This is the data for the COVID-19 outbreak you would use if you are a reporter working for the mainstream media.

The chart is absolutely true, and is selected to scare you as much as possible.

Governor Cuomo of New York does no longer want to scare you, but present a clear and present danger, since New Yourk State has nearly half of all COVID19 cases, and NYC by itself nearly a quarter of all cases. He then would choose a statistics that shows the infection rate per million people

While hardly comforting, the chart is equally true, but not nearly as alarming as the first one.

Now, there is great debate if any of the two charts above show the real picture. The cases are confirmed only if a test has been made, and many go on unnoticed.

A better statistics would then be made by only counting the COVID-19 deaths, and again show the result as per million people. This would be the most accurate to show, and is used by the modelers and forcasters in the Trump/Pence task force.

Italy is doing poorly with an over 11% death rate, Spain next with 8, France is slowly increasing, but not as slow as Iran, which has different travel habits between cities and villages. United States and Germany show a very similar pattern, and both countries have excellent health systems with by far the most emergency rooms per capita of any nation.

One nation has done significantly better. Japan has a death rate of 0.3 %. It is probably because they are an obedient people and practice social separation anyway, they don’t shake hands, they bow, and they have a habit of wearing masks if they cough or sneeze.

And yes, there is one more country, China. They are officially over the crisis, but anecdotal evidence tells another story. There was an increase in demand for at least 40000 cremation urns this winter in the City of Wuhan alone, and the Chinese government paid for the cremation if the cause of death was not disclosed. Another nugget of evidence is that Chinese Telecom lost 18.5 million wireless customers and two million wired customers in January and February. They are busing in and training peasants from the countryside to fill the factories to get the production started up again after they shut down the country for a month. The Chinese Government has been less than transparent.

 

March 30, read through the Holy Bible in a year in Power-point, with comments.

Today we read four chapters, one chapter of Luke, the Pentateuch is read and the historical writings begin, starting with Joshua. Enjoy!

March 30: Luke 9, Joshua 1, Joshua 2, Joshua 3 (click on the chapter to begin reading)

In Luke 9 Jesus sent out the twelve apostles, Herod tried to meet with Jesus because his fame was rising, at one time he fed the Five Thousand (besides women and children). Peter Confessed Jesus to be “The Christ of God”. A week later followed the Transfiguration and the next day a boy with an evil spirit was healed. The disciples argued about who would be the greatest.  Jesus spoke against sectarianism, and on their way to Jerusalem they met Samaritan opposition. Finally Jesus told the disciples there is a cost of following Him.

Joshua 1 tells of  God’s Commission to Joshua. The LORD gave the order to Cross the Jordan, “Only be strong and of a good courage”.

Joshua 2 tells the story of the innkeeper Rahab and the spies. From this story we get the idiom “a scarlet thread”.

In Joshua 3 the Israelites were finally crossing the Jordan.

Why did the Michigan Governor prohibit promising treatment for COVID-19. A Limerick.

The Governor’s Trump hate in Lansing,

from science advancement distancing.

She would let people die,

valid treatment deny

to stop Donald Trump’s reelecting.

The Detroit News’ Kathy Hoekstra reports that Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s Department of Licensing and Regulatory Affairs (LARA) has sent a letter to all physicians and pharmacists in the state warning of “professional consequences” if they prescribe or dispense hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine to treat coronavirus patients. Hoekstra writes that “beyond the rational recommendation against hoarding as production of this medication needs to be ramped up, the letter deviates into open threats of “administrative action” against the licenses of doctors that prescribe hydroxychloroquine.” It also orders pharmacists to “ignore physician orders for this medication.”

There must have been a reason why Governor Gretchen Whitmer issued this threatening letter. She could have heard President Trump being excited about a promising study that offered a remedy, or, which is scary, she believed it was dangerous because a husband and wife ate spoonfuls of aquarium tank cleaner which contained chloroquine phosphate, and one of them died. What made this unbelievable story the news of the day in the mainstream media was the dying man’s words:  “Look, this is what Trump recommended, why don’t we try it?” Little did they know that 2 grams is a deadly dose, but it is perfectly safe to take an appropriate dose under a physician’s supervision. It has been taken safely for over 50 years to combat malaria.

So why was President Trump so excited about the french study he was shown? Here are the results:

This was a non random test of 80 people, and one person died, a 70+ year old woman with underlying conditions. They took a chance on her because she was within hours of probable death anyhow, but she was too far gone. The other 79 recovered.

This is no time for double blind large clinical trials. They sometimes take years to verify, and the enemy, the COVID-19 virus works on a time-frame of 3 days, so the only choice is to work with incomplete and uncertified data.

To make matters a little more complicated, China has stopped export of one of the ingredients in making this medicine, and they are the only source, until we have started up production of our own. We have to do it in days, not weeks.

Why did China stop this medical export? There are at least two possibilities, either they are lying through their teeth about the COVID-19 cases and they need it for their own consumption but didn’t tell us, or, which is even worse, they do want to maximize the damage in the rest of the world.

 

 

March 29, read through the Holy Bible in a year in Power-point, with comments.

The reading for today is one chapter of Luke and the two last chapters of Deuteronomy.

March 29: Luke 8, Deuteronomy 33, Deuteronomy 34 (click on the chapter to begin reading)

Luke 8. Jesus told the Parable of the Sower, followed by a lamp on a stand.His Mother and Brothers come to see Jesus, but he declared that his mother and brothers are those who do God’s will. While Sailing across Lake Genesareth a storm arose, Jesus calmed the storm and rebuked his disciples for their lack of faith. Coming to the other side Jesus healed a demon possessed man and healed a woman with a bleeding issue. Finally Jesus raised a dead girl back to life.

Deuteronomy 33. Moses’ gave his final blessing on each of the tribes of Israel.

Deuteronomy 34, Moses died on Mount Nebo. Epilogue: “And there arose not a prophet since in Israel like unto Moses, whom the Lord knew face to face”.

COVID-19 response, shut down all nonessential functions for 15days. What is the “black body” reaction of America?

When engineers and scientists want to study an object, the first step is often to study it as a “black body”, apply an impulse to it and study how the body reacts. One such “opportunity” is just now happening, the Coronavirus COVID-19 and how we, as a people react to it.

The flu season started innocently enough, but there was an increase in the number of healthcare visits for flue like symptoms, already when the flue season started in week 39 (October). At this time nobody had even heard of COVID-19 

Th healthcare workers expected a higher flu season than average, but nobody expected this. On Dec 31 the Chinese  officially acknowledged that this virus could spread from human to human, but was still insisting it was largely contained to the live animal market in Wuhan. But Wuhan is a large regional hub, with lots of people, even international visitors were coming and going. No tests had been developed yet for the Coronavirus, so who is to say when the outbreak started. Certainly not the Chinese, they had successfully silenced a whistleblower, and he later died of the disease. We may never know the onset, and how many had spread the virus internationally before December 31. The silence of the Chinese government was a medical malpractice of worldwide importance. After Christmas the flu symptoms seem to have abated, but after President Trump issued the travel ban for foreigners who have recently been in China, people got nervous and the healthcare visits took off again. The question is, how much did the increased healthcare visits help or hurt? This chart shows the pneumonia cases, since this is usually how people die, not from the flu but from the following pneumonia.

Yes, there seems to be a negative correlation between health care visits and pneumonia deaths. More early attention to flu like symptoms and early intervention leads to fewer pneumonia deaths. Not really surprising, but earlier intervention seems even more important than I thought.

But what was really stunning is the effect the intervention to “flatten the curve”,  that is to slow the spread of the virus by 6 feet of separation “better six feet apart than six feet under“, telling everybody in the country to stay home if they do not have an absolutely essential job, don’t cough into open air, wash your hands with soap and don’t touch your face, had. Enough people seem to have obeyed. Did it make a difference? Check out the total deaths per week:

The number of deaths in the whole country shrank by twenty thousand per Week! This is remarkable. Will it continue, will changing hygiene and social separation continue, or will we return back to where we were before?

Time will tell, but there is much hope.

The reverse is just as good:

 

March 28, read through the Holy Bible in a year in Power-point, with comments.

Today’s reading is one chapter of Luke and one chapter in Deuteronomy.

March 28: Luke 7, Deuteronomy 32 (click on the chapter to begin reading)

Luke 7, Jesus praised the Centurion’s faith and  raised a widow’s son back to life in Nain. Meanwhile John the Baptist asked if Jesus was the one.  Jesus answer: “Among those that are born of women there is not a greater prophet than John the Baptist: but he that is least in the kingdom of God is greater than he.” Finally, Jesus was anointed by a sinful woman, and Jesus forgave her with these words: “Thy faith hath saved thee; go in peace.”

Deuteronomy 32 gives us the Song of Moses. At the end of the chapter the Lord told Moses  he would only see the promised land from a distance and die on Mount Nebo.