HCQ and Chloroquine can now definitely be legally prescribed for Covid use by US physicians. This will save many lives from now on.

This was the headline from the Daily Mail (U.K.)

And these are the real news about the story

POTUS news conference June 15, FOX NEWS ~4:05 pm

Reporter just asked POTUS about the recent FDA notice on hydroxychloroquine

That it’s [supposedly] “no longer considered as a reasonable treatment for Covid”

POTUS defers to Secretary Alex Azar:

Azar:

To clarify your statement, which is not quite accurate:

The FDA withdrew an emergency use authorization of Hydroxychloroquine from Bayer manufactured in Pakistan – where emergency authorization was restricted to hospital use only.

So they took the emergency use only authorization off.

“At this point HCQ and chloroquine are just like any other approved drug in the United States

they may be used in hospitals, they may be used in out-patients, they may be used at home” “all subject to a doctor’s prescription.”

Furthermore, he said that “it’s good that the emergency use authorization was removed, because it had been widely misinterpreted as saying that these drugs could ONLY be use in-hospital when this was NOT true.”

Yes, hydroxychloroquine has been prescribed for treatment of Lupus and rheumatism for over 20 years, and for prevention of malaria for over 50 years. It is considered so safe that it is even given to pregnant women and nursing mothers with no restrictions. There is a small number of people with a specific heart condition that should not take the drug, but those people can easily be spotted by evaluating their heart rhythm with a stethoscope, or by taking and evaluating an ECG.

There are over ten countries that prescribe HCQ, mostly in combination with Zinc and an antibiotic, as soon as COVID symptoms occur. When the illness has progressed to the point of autoimmune overreaction and the oxygen exchange is to the point of collapse it is too late and may even aggravate the situation.

How are these countries faring in the Coronavirus fight, compared to the rest of the world?

For the world as a whole, the death rate from the Coronavirus as of June 15 is 5.40% of diagnosed cases. and recovered cases versus deaths is 9.06 recorded recoveries for every death.

Taking the average, adjusted for the number of positive cases we get the average adjusted death rate for countries, where people are taking HCQ + Zinc when diagnosed positive, is 1.42%.

This means that the risk of death is reduced by a factor of 3.8 if HZQ + Zinc is taken as early as possible after a positive diagnosis for coronavirus!

Recovered cases versus deaths is an indicator of how fast patients recover after taking HCQ. Taking the average recovery ratio aover the number of cases, gives the median recovery ratio, of 51.8, compared to the recovery rate for the rest of the world of 9.06, an improvement of 5.7 times as many recorded recoveries for every death. This is an indicator of how fast people recover, but is a very lagging indicator, since many countries do not report recovered cases in a timely manner. If they dis, both the numbers for the ten countries, and for the world as a whole would look better, but it is the best we have for now.

The total positive cases for these ten countries are over 900,000, or about 11% of all positive tests so far, far more than any double blind controlled study could ever produce, and indicates that if implemented all across U.S. (and the world as a whole) the death rate from now on would be less than a third of what we are now experiencing. In addition hospitalizations would be greatly reduced.

WHO paused a double blind study out of an “abundance of caution”.

HCQ has been taken by over 900,000 patients testing positive for the coronavirus as soon as symptoms did arise or shortly thereafter. We do not need a double blind control study, the results speak for themselves.

Is it because it has been promoted by President Trump, and some would rather die than get cured because of that?

Is HCQ too cheap to promote? It is totally generic, no pharmaceutical company stands to gain from producing it, so there will be no study made by them. Any study will have to come from government.

I for one want to save lives.

Appendix: The data is used from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The death rate from all causes doubles for every 8 years as you age or about 9% per year. The death rate from Coronavirus is remarkably the same as the death rate from all causes, adjusted for age. The world median age is 30.4 years. So let the world death rate be the norm and adjust for the median age for the 10 countries.

World death rate as of June 11 is 5.58% of diagnosed cases. and recovered cases versus deaths is 9.06

Compare this with 10 countries that use HCQ for most patients as soon as they test positive for the corona virus.

Turkey: Death rate 2.68%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.57%, recovered cases versus deaths 31.5, total cases 179,831

South Korea: Death rate 2.29%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.20% recovered cases versus deaths 38.7, total cases 12,155

Malaysia: Death rate 1.42%, median age 28.5, adjusted death rate 1.70% recovered cases versus deaths 63.9, total cases 8,505

Senegal: Death rate 1.33%, median age 18.8, adjusted death rate 3.57%, recovered cases versus deaths 50.4, total cases 5,247

Costa Rica: Death rate 0.68%, median age 31.3, adjusted death rate 0.64%, recovered cases versus deaths 64.2, total cases 1,744

United Arab emirates: Death rate 0.68%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 0.65%, recovered cases versus deaths 98.5, total cases 42,982

Bahrain: Death rate 0.25%, median age 32.3, adjusted death rate 0.23%, recovered cases versus deaths 282.3, total cases 19,013

Morocco: Death rate 2.71%, median age 29.3, adjusted death rate 3.03%, recovered cases versus deaths 37.2, total cases 8,921

Russia: Death rate 1.33%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 1.28%, recovered cases versus deaths 40.4, total cases 545,458

Qatar: Death rate 0.097%, median age 30.9, but since 88% of the population are migrant workers between 20 and 60, the adjusted death rate is at least 8 times higher, or 0.78 %, and adjusted recovered cases versus deaths 94.5, total cases 82,077

Kente cloth, a royal symbol of power, slave ownership and slave trade. A Limerick

This explains a lot.

The kente cloth stemming from Ghana

A symbol of black africana

Worn by kings who sold slaves

They got guns, even trades,

Pelosi, her slave trade persona.

This helps to explain the strange scene that Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer and 33 other Democrats performed on Monday to commemorate the death of George Floyd

Mandatory Credit: Photo by MICHAEL REYNOLDS/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock (10673442i)
US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (C) and Democratic lawmakers kneel while observing a moment of silence to honor George Floyd and victims of racial injustice, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, USA, 08 June 2020. The death of George Floyd while in police custody in Minneapolis has sparked global protests demanding policing reform.
US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi and Democratic lawmakers observe a moment of silence for George Floyd, Washington, USA – 08 Jun 2020

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Blue State, Red State. How do they protect their nursing home population, and do they care?

How do Red States take care of their most vulnerable population as opposed to Blue States. There are two outstanding states, Red State Alaska and Blu state Hawaii, both with zero deaths from COVID-19 in their Long Term Care homes.

After that we can see that the difference in deaths as a percentage of all deaths in their state is not that great, except that all states where over 80% of all Corona virus deaths in nursing homes and other LTC facilities are all Blue States.

The New York statistics are misleading, Governor Andrew Cuomo issued an executive order forcing nursing homes to take in COVID patients, and when they were to ill they were taken to hospitals, died and were not counted as LTC patients any more. New Jersey more or less copied the New York order. Pennsylvania did likewise, but the health secretary Rachel Levine ralized what was happening and took her own mother out of her nursing home. Michigan had a special problem, too many COVID patients in greater Detroit nursing homes, but extra capacity in Northern Michigan, so she transferred Covid patients up north to even out the COVID load. These were all deeds of Democrat Governors.

Here is the table, per state. Three states have not reported yet.

…………………………………….Deaths Deaths

………………………………….per as per as

……………….Trump 10,000 percentage Clinton 10,000 percent

State Plurality LTC of all deaths State Plurality LTC of deaths

Wyoming 47.6% 12 28.6% D. C. 88.7% xx 34.3%

West Virginia 42.2% 38 56.6% Hawaii 32.2% 0 0%

Oklahoma 36.4% 72 53.8% California 28.8% 88 43.5%

North Dakota 36.3% 46 77% Vermont 28.5% 52 50%

Idaho 31.6% 42 57.1% Massachusetts 27.3% 796 62.2%

Kentucky 29.8% 80 57.4% Maryland 25.2% 326 54.7%

South Dakota 29.8% xx xx New York 21.3% 265 13.8%

Alabama 28.3% 82 44.4% Washington 16.2% 103 61.1%

Arkansas 26.6% 19 35.9% Illinois 16.0% 309 52.1%

Nebraska 26.3% 39 48.4% Rhode Island 15.6% 515 81.8%

Tennessee 26.2% 32 39.7% Connecticut 13.3% 808 48.2%

Kansas 21.0% 36 51.2% New Jersey 13.2% 866 42.2%

Montana 20.0% 7 35.3% Delaware 11.5% 407 62.8%

Louisiana 19.7% 385 39.9% Oregon 10.6% 28 57%

Indiana 19.3% 178 47.8% New Mexico 8.3% 168 45%

Missouri 19’1% xx xx Virginia 4.9% 176 56.4%

Mississippi 18.6% 198 50.6% Colorado 2.8% 210 49.4%

Utah 18.1% 42 42.5% Nevada 2.4% 107 26.1%

Alaska 15.2% 0 o% Maine 1.8% 29 54.7%

South Carolina 14.1% 83 43.9% Minnesota 1.5% 109 81.4%

Iowa 9,6% 107 48.4% New Hampshire 0.4% 180 81.9%

Texas 9.2% 66 45.8%

Ohio 8.6% 144 70.5%

Georgia 5.7% 176 48.8%

Arizona 4.1% 145 55.3%

North Carolina 3.8% 76 47.8%

Florida 1.3% 84 49.3%

Pennsylvania 1.2% 305 67.4%

Wisconsin 1.0% 47 41.7%

Michigan 0.3% xx xx

10 countries that take Hydroxychloroquine as first defense against the corona virus has a death rate of one third compared to the rest of the world, and recoveries are faster too.

Washington (CNN)Dr. Anthony Fauci said Wednesday that data shows hydroxychloroquine is not an effective treatment for the coronavirus, disputing use of the drug to fight the deadly virus even as President Donald Trump touts it as a potential cure and says he has taken it himself.

“The scientific data is really quite evident now about the lack of efficacy for it,” Fauci, a key medical adviser on the White House coronavirus task force, told CNN’s Jim Sciutto on “Newsroom” of the drug, adding that there’s likelihood of “adverse events with regard to cardiovascular.”

Dr Fauci, how do you explain the excellent results in more than 10 countries, where HCQ is taken (Sometimes together with Azithromycine and sometimes with added Zinc) as soon as COVID-19 symptoms shows up, sometimes before a positive test is confirmed?

This is a very interesting chart:

But wait. Not so fast. These countries may have a younger population, and the death rate is much lower for younger people. This chart tells the relative death rate, and it shows that with the advent of the coronavirus the death risk doubled regardless of the age of the victim.

The death rate doubles for every 8 years as you age or about 9% per year. The world median age is 30.4 years. So let the world death rate be the norm

World death rate as of May 21 is 6.42% of diagnosed cases. and recovered cases versus deaths is 7.05

Compare this with 10 countries that use HCQ for most patients as soo as they test positive for the corona virus.

Turkey: Death rate 2.84%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.72%, recovered cases versus deaths 27.7

South Korea: Death rate 2.37%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.26% recovered cases versus deaths 38.4

Malaysia: Death rate 1.51%, median age 28.5, adjusted death rate 1.74% recovered cases versus deaths 53.6

Senegal: Death rate 1.16%, median age 18.8, adjusted death rate 3.10%, recovered cases versus deaths 43.2

Costa Rica: Death rate 1.02%, median age 31.3, adjusted death rate 0.95%, recovered cases versus deaths 63.9

United Arab emirates: Death rate 0.80%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 0.77%, recovered cases versus deaths 64.7

Bahrain: Death rate 1.50%, median age 32.3, adjusted death rate 1.30%, recovered cases versus deaths 353.0

Morocco: Death rate 2.65%, median age 29.3, adjusted death rate 2.88%, recovered cases versus deaths 25.3

Russia: Death rate 1.00%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 0.95%, recovered cases versus deaths 36.5

Qatar: Death rate 0.07%, median age 30.9, but since 88% of the population are migrant workers between 20 and 60, the adjusted death rate is at least 8 times higher, or 0.56 %, and recovered cases versus deaths 466.3

Taking the average, not adjusted for the size of the populations we get the average adjusted death rate for countries, where people are taking HCQ + Zinc when diagnosed positive, is 1.89%.

This means that the risk of death is reduced by a factor of 3.4 if HZQ + Zinc is taken as early as possible after a positive diagnosis for coronavirus!

Recovered cases versus deaths is an indicator of how fast patients recover after taking HCQ. Taking the arithmetic average would be unfair, so here I show the median recovery ratio, or about 40, compared to the recovery rate for the rest of the world of 7.05, an improvement of 5.6 times as many earlier recoveries.

What are we waiting for, and what is your concern, Dr Fauci? Hydroxychloroquine is approved for Malaria, Lupus and Rheumatoid Arthritis, and is used by millions or people world wide with normal precautions. There are side-effects, but death is not one listed, and the cardiac concern is taken care of with a simple ECG, disqualifying less than 1% of the patients.

WHO paused a double blind study out of an “abundance of caution”.

Is HCQ too cheap to promote?

I for one want to save lives.

President Trump is taking hydroxychloroquine! The international results are overwhelming, he is right!

In 2005 Dr. Anthony Fauci,the director of the (NIAID) National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, a position he still holds received the encouraging news that Chloroquine is a potent inhibitor of SARS coronavirus infection and spread. The SARS epidemic petered out, ao the clinical trial was never executed.

Now the news about the efficacy of HydroxyChloroquine is coming in hot and heavy. The results are very encouraging. This is from a recent study in Marseilles, France:

We retrospectively report on 1061 SARS-CoV-2 positive tested patients treated for at least three days with the following regimen: HCQ (200 mg three times daily for ten days) + AZ (500 mg on day 1 followed by 250 mg daily for the next four days). Outcomes were death, clinical worsening (transfer to ICU, and >10 day hospitalization) and viral shedding persistence (>10 days).

Results

A total of 1061 patients were included in this analysis (46.4% male, mean age 43.6 years – range 14–95 years). Good clinical outcome and virological cure were obtained in 973 patients within 10 days (91.7%). Prolonged viral carriage was observed in 47 patients (4.4%) and was associated to a higher viral load at diagnosis (p < .001) but viral culture was negative at day 10. All but one, were PCR-cleared at day 15. A poor clinical outcome (PClinO) was observed for 46 patients (4.3%) and 8 died (0.75%) (74–95 years old). All deaths resulted from respiratory failure and not from cardiac toxicity. Five patients are still hospitalized (98.7% of patients cured so far). PClinO was associated with older age (OR 1.11), severity of illness at admission (OR 10.05) and low HCQ serum concentration. PClinO was independently associated with the use of selective beta-blocking agents and angiotensin II receptor blockers (p < .05). A total of 2.3% of patients reported mild adverse events (gastrointestinal or skin symptoms, headache, insomnia and transient blurred vision).

Conclusion

Administration of the HCQ+AZ combination before COVID-19 complications occur is safe and associated with a very low fatality rate in patients.

Since then, prescriptions for the drug cocktail in Marseilles is up 7000%, and is also increasing in the rest of France, especially the Paris region.

But France is by no means the first country to go all out prescribing the drug cocktail. At least twelve countries are doing it, and Turkey and Morocco prescribe it to all with COVID-19 symptoms ( after first checking their heart). Russia joined six weeks later. Here are the results:

If we look at the results from onset to today, some interesting facts stand out

Turkey: Death rate 50 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 37

Morocco: Death rate 5 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 19.6

Russia: Death rate 19 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 19.6 and rising, but they started six weeks later and have not yet reached their infection maximum.

France: Death rate 433 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 2.2, but their new case maximum was 11 weeks ago and the maximum death rate was 9 weeks ago, way before any prescriptions increased.

U.S. does not do an even job of reporting recovered cases, so the results will only be valid for some states. Michigan seems to be one state that records recoveries.

Michigan: Death rate 492 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 5.7

The best state is South Dakota, but there Governor Kristi Noem conducted a semi clinical (not double blind) trial, and the results speak for themselves.

South Dakota: Death rate 50 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 63.27 !!

My suggestion is this: Give the HCQ+ AZT + Zinc +Vitamin D for 5 days as soon as symptoms occur. Give HZQ + Zinc + Vitamin D for 5 days to all the infected person’s contacts, then their quarantine is over, otherwise it is 14 days. Check for heart rhythm problems, but otherwise go ahead.

The results from Turkey + Russia + Morocco involved more than 170,000 recovered cases, far more than any clinical study, and showed the effect both before and after HCQ became the drug of choice, so the effect is real enough!

Was Sweden right? Social distancing is better than stay at home and lockdown of the economy

Sweden and New Jersey are about the same size population wise, Sweden has 10 million people, New Jersey has about 9.2 million. For both, the foreign born population is about 20 percent. When the coronavirus pandemic hit they took quite different action at the same time:

New Jersey went into full lockdown with a near complete halt to the economy.

Sweden issued social distancing, crowds and travel restrictions, and hygiene regulations, but kept businesses and restaurants open within limits.

Yer their death rates followed the same bell curve as the disease marched on

Yet, there was one big difference, the deaths from the corona virus was three times larger in New Jersey than in Sweden, the total cases was five times larger.

It is always touted that we need more testing, New Jersey has made 451,696 tests, Sweden only 177,500. More testing will find more mild and asymptomatic cases, but the deaths will be the same.

The solution is to let the young and healthy develop herd immunity, but protect the vulnerable, such as the old, obese, diabetic, people with hypertension, weak hearts or a compromised immune system.

HZQ-AZ-Z 5 day cheap cure to early COVID-19 onset is over 90% effective. Why not approve it now?

Remdesivir Just Became The First Drug to Show a ‘Clear-Cut’ Effect in Treating COVID-19

ISSAM AHMED, AFP

30 APRIL 2020

COVID-19 patients on the antiviral remdesivir recovered about 30 percent faster than those on a placebo, the results of a major clinical trial showed Wednesday, as a top US scientist hailed the drug’s “clear-cut” benefit.

This was touted as a major breakthrough by Dr Fauci in a Presidential briefing yesterday, and indeed, it seems to show efficacy. Patients on the drug, made by Gilead Sciences, had a 31 percent faster time to recovery than those on a placebo. “Specifically, the median time to recovery was 11 days for patients treated with remdesivir compared with 15 days for those who received placebo,” it said. The results also suggested that people who were on the drug were less likely to die, although the difference was quite small. The mortality rate was 8.0 percent for the group receiving remdesivir versus 11.6 percent for the placebo group.

On the other hand the FDA issued a warning for using the drug-combination HydroxyChloroQuine + AZithromycin + Zinc. AZ was approved in 1988, HCQ has been approved for malaria in over 50 years, and for Lupus and Rheumatism for decades, and all that requires for prolonged use is that an EKG is taken periodically to check for possible heart arrhythmia. It is an easy 5 day application and it shows good outcome in 91.7% of 1061 patients. Poor outcome was observed by 4,7% and in 0,47% the patient died. The age of those who died was 74 – 95 years old. If they had not taken this medication the death rate for people of that age is 5 – 8%. This is taken from the famous Marseille study.

Sequential CQ / HCQ Research Papers and Reports

January to April 20, 2020

Executive Summary Interpretation of the Data In This Report

The HCQ-AZ combination, when started immediately after diagnosis, appears to be a safe and efficient treatment for COVID-19, with a mortality rate of 0.5%, in elderly patients. It avoids worsening and clears virus persistence and contagious infectivity in most cases.

A cohort of 1061 COVID-19 patients, treated for at least 3 days with the HCQ-AZ combination and a follow-up of at least 9 days was investigated. Endpoints were death, worsening and viral shedding persistence. From March 3rd to April 9th, 2020, 59,655 specimens from 38,617 patients were tested for COVID-19 by PCR. Of the 3,165 positive patients placed in the care of our institute, 1061 previously unpublished patients met the inclusion criteria for a Hydroxychloroquine –Azithromycin trial.

Mean age was 43.6 years old and 492 were male (46.4%), As in other studies, no cardiac toxicity was observed in this study.

A good clinical outcome and virological cure was obtained in 973 patients out of a total pf 1061 patients within 10 days (91.7%).

Mortality was significantly lower in patients who had received > 3 days of HCQ-AZ than in patients treated with other regimens both at IHU and in all Marseille public hospitals

A poor outcome was observed for 46 patients (4.3%); –10 were transferred to intensive care units, 5 patients died (0.47%) (74-95 years old), 31 required 10 days of hospitalization or more.

Among this group, 25 patients are now cured and 16 are still hospitalized (98% of patients cured so far).

Why the different approaches to these two medications?

Most of the rest of the world are jumping on the HCQ-AZ-Z opportunity. Why not US?

Ramadan will begin tonight after sundown – or will it?

In 2020 the month of Ramadan will begin at sundown tonight Apr 23. Will it? That depends on what kind of Muslim you are. If you are a Sunni Muslim it begins right at sundown on Apr 23. If you are a Shiite you also have to see the crescent moon after sunset, in the twilight. This usually occurs one day later , so for most Shiites Ramadan starts Apr 24. Ramadan starts every year 10 or 11 days earlier than the previous year, so in a century Muslims have 103 Ramadan months, and also 103 years.

During Ramadan you must observe a total fast from sunrise to sunset if you are a Sunni, if you are a Shiite you must fast from dawn to the end of twilight. The fasting is total, no eating, no drinking even if there is risk of dehydration during the hot summer days. As an extra prohibition, no sexual relations or vomiting is permitted during this time, and if you are temporary ill you must make up the time later so the total time of fasting is 30 days. This has its problems in northern latitudes if Ramadan occurs in the Summer, especially near or above the polar circle, you could go for more than a month without eating or drinking, so they have set a time limit for fasting, it doesn’t begin before 3 A.M. and doesn’t end after 9 P.M. sun time, not standard or daylight savings time.

All Muslims are encouraged to pray five times a day, kneeling down with the face near the ground facing Mecca. Muhammad and his followers used to face Jerusalem, but when they moved to Medina they changed direction and faced Mecca to distinguish them from the Jews, who faced Jerusalem.

During Ramadan these prayers become mandatory. Normally a Mosque looks like this during Ramadan prayer

This year is different. You are supposed to pray at home, but when do you start your prayer? It matters greatly when you do it. Luckily there are apps available that will tell all the proper time to start your prayers for over 3 million locations.

The times are FAJR (crack of dawn), Sunrise, DHUHR ( a couple of minutes past the Zenith of the sun, ASR (afternoon), Maghrib (Sunset), ISHA (end of twilight) and finally QIJAM (night prayer) which is voluntary for all except for Sufis which have to recite all 99 names of Allah starting right at midnight sun time. The noon prayer is very important, it must be started a couple of minutes after the sun passes its Zenith. To pray right through noon would be offensive to Allah.

Being a Christian am thankful to be able to go to the throne of grace, praying directly to God the Father in the name of Jesus at any time of the day or night. The door is always open.

April 23, read through the Holy Bible in a year in Power-point, with comments.

Today we read one chapter in the Acts of the Apostles and two chapters in 1 Samuel.

April 23: Acts 4, 1 Samuel 9, 1 Samuel 10 (click on the chapter to begin reading)

Acts 4. Peter and John were arrested and hauled before the Sanhedrin, were told not to speak about Jesus anymore. Their response? “Whether it be right in the sight of God to hearken unto you more than unto God, judge ye. For we cannot but speak the things which we have seen and heard.” They were let go and continued telling about Jesus and his resurrection, and a good time was had by all, sharing all things.

1 Samuel 9. Saul was a tall and handsome man, his father had lost some donkeys, so he sent Saul and his servant to look for them. Not finding them for three days they went to the prophet Samuel, God tells Samuel to meet them, and so they meet up, and thus Saul was chosen to be King.

In 1 Samuel 10 Saul was Anointed King and proclaimed King over all Israel.

Earth day 2020, the 150 year birthday of Vladimir Ilyich Ulyanov, a.k.a. Lenin. A Limerick.

We celebrate Lenin’s old birth day

in what is now renamed the Earth Day.

It’s a globalist plot;

it’s the climate change: Not!

It’s capitalism besmirch day.

When I came to the U.S. as a green card immigrant from a beautiful, clean Sweden in the spring of 1968 I was horrified at what I found. In Sweden they were worried about the fact that some lakes were fertilized four times more than the agricultural fields, acid rain killed the trouts in the already acid lakes and seeds laced with Mercury as a preservative killed off most of the eagles and owls. None of this seemed to bother the Americans. Coming in to Rochester in N.Y the stench from the dead fish washing up on the shore of lake Ontario was strong, I read of a river catching on fire in Ohio and the smell of coal burning power plants without scrubbers was bad, almost as bad as in the coal and steel region of Germany. It was also the height of the Vietnam wars, and people were protesting. Many of the protestors were communists at hart, and they also turned to pollution. The aerosol pollution led to a decrease in global temperatures, so the mantra was: The ice age is coming! The worst prediction I read was that the global temperatures would be then degrees Fahrenheit lower by the year 2000! Most predictions were not that wild, but they all pointed down, ice age, here we come! The urge to clean up the pollution grew stronger and the Earth Day movement was formed, but they had to find just the right day to have the first. Since this was to become a global movement they decided on the birthday of Lenin, his 100th, very fitting for a globalist movement. That was 1970 in Philadelphia, featured Ira Einhorn (The Unicorn Killer) as master of Ceremonies.

Now fifty years later the mantra has changed to climate change, specifically carbon pollution and carbon footprint. As the scientists were wrong then, the ice age is coming soon, so they are wrong now. The rise in CO2 causes climate change all right, and it would be really bad unless something else also changes as the CO2 concentration changes. Water vapor is a strong greenhouse gas, much stronger than CO2, and they both add to the greenhouse effect, but only at temperatures below freezing. In the tropics there is 50 times as much water vapor as there is CO2, so the tropics is not affected at all by rising CO2 levels. In the Arctic the situation is quite different. Water vapor is also a condensing gas, and forms clouds in the atmosphere. Clouds cool by day and warm by night, but the effect of cooling by day is much larger than the cooling by night, so clouds act as the major temperature regulator on earth. That is why the temperature was about the same as now when the CO2 level was over 10000 ppm, 25 times as large as now hundreds of millions of years ago. There is zero risk of overheating, there is no “tipping point” on the warm side, the clouds tale care of that. On the other hand we know that because we have too little CO2 in the air we will have a new ice age. When will it come? Not in the next thousand years, in fact, by increasing the CO2 levels we will delay the onset of the next ice age. What will happen at the Poles? There will be less cold in the winters, it will snow more but the summers will be about the same, melting more snow.

As to the corona virus the scientists predictions have so far been way off the mark, which just goes to show that making models before all facts are known produces faulty predictions every time. As Yogi Berra once said: “’It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future’” “… never make predictions – especially about the future”.