Tag: politics

On September 15 a news release was issued by NASA and confirmed by NOAA that August was the warmest August on record.

I tried to look into the data  and found the source was a preliminary result of sea surface temperatures for August, which looked ominous indeed

On Sep 9  NOAA issued the following report:

http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/noaa-august-2014-was-the-warmest-august-on-record.htm

It showed how the data was taken that led to the sudden rise in global temperatures.

We can clearly see the warmer and colder areas, with the read areas (warmer) totally dominating  the blue (colder) areas.

However, in this data set, the temperatures in the polar regions are not included, hence conclusions are drawn from incomplete data.

When these areas are included August 2014 was not the warmest August on record, It wad the ninth warmest August and the 89th warmest month on record.

These ate the tabulated data from NASA.

 GLOBAL Temperature Anomalies in 0.01 degrees Celsius    base period: 1951-1980

                  sources: GHCN-v3 1981-08/2014 (meteorological stations only)
                    using elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment
                    Notes: 1941 DJF = Dec 1940 - Feb 1941 ;  ***** = missing

                                                                     AnnMean


Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year
1981    61   58   68   50   32   39   51   52   28   10   22   48     43  41     46   50   47   20  1981
1982    12   25   -2    3   25    5   20    9    9    2   11   40     13  14     28    9   11    8  1982
1983    51   40   46   40   48   28   21   49   57   31   32   17     38  40     44   45   33   40  1983
1984    25   16   38   17   48    5   19   27   26   22   10    4     21  22     19   34   17   20  1984
1985    32    6   26   18   23   28    7   36   26   16    9   16     20  19     14   22   24   17  1985
1986    39   50   38   41   31   16   15   21    2   12   12   20     25  24     35   37   17    9  1986
1987    43   54   24   39   30   55   59   25   35   35   31   57     41  37     39   31   46   34  1987
1988    67   49   57   50   63   60   45   56   56   53   15   36     51  52     58   57   54   41  1988
1989    27   44   47   42   22   18   47   50   53   43   21   36     38  38     36   37   38   39  1989
1990    51   42   86   62   52   46   64   43   30   53   52   47     52  51     43   67   51   45  1990
1991    49   61   48   72   42   70   63   57   61   33   31   33     52  53     52   54   63   42  1991
1992    50   40   53   26   27   30    8   13   -6    7    1   24     23  24     41   35   17    1  1992
1993    39   41   34   30   28   26   39   22   10   22    8   21     27  27     35   31   29   13  1993
1994    40    8   27   53   27   57   38   24   45   41   49   43     38  36     23   36   40   45  1994
1995    56   89   51   58   38   50   64   58   45   67   52   40     56  56     63   49   57   54  1995
1996    42   60   46   48   35   35   53   77   40   32   49   52     47  46     47   43   55   40  1996
1997    49   55   66   39   44   66   34   44   49   60   69   68     54  52     52   50   48   59  1997
1998    71  118   84   83   95  104   91   86   61   66   65   81     84  83     86   87   93   64  1998
1999    69   86   48   43   51   63   64   54   63   62   57   53     59  62     79   47   60   61  1999
2000    32   79   70   76   56   67   63   60   58   34   49   47     58  58     55   67   63   47  2000

Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year
2001    59   63   70   62   74   66   71   64   70   60   85   72     68  66     57   69   67   72  2001
2002    96   91  113   81   85   65   82   67   82   64   69   53     79  80     86   93   71   71  2002
2003    90   74   71   69   87   64   64   87   81   88   65   85     77  74     72   76   72   78  2003
2004    71   92   87   76   49   64   24   59   60   80   87   66     68  69     83   70   49   76  2004
2005    96   88   93   85   76   82   80   75   98  101   90   90     88  86     84   84   79   96  2005
2006    77   92   81   68   52   77   67   82   73   84   86   92     78  77     86   67   75   81  2006
2007   124   93   92   95   94   67   79   87   84   81   70   71     86  88    103   94   78   78  2007
2008    49   46   90   66   58   53   71   41   82   75   81   76     66  65     56   71   55   79  2008
2009    76   77   67   76   80   83   86   86   92   73   85   76     80  80     76   74   85   83  2009
2010    95  106  114  101   97   88   75   84   88   96  103   72     93  94     92  104   82   96  2010
2011    73   67   78   84   65   72   91   96   79   83   75   78     78  78     70   75   87   79  2011
2012    60   56   70   80   95   70   57   85   88   95   94   70     77  77     65   81   71   92  2012
2013    97   76   86   65   70   89   67   80  101   86   87   84     82  81     81   74   79   91  2013
2014    95   63   75   90  103   78   74   80 **** **** **** ****   **** ***     80   89   78 ****  2014
Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year
       
Divide by 100 to get changes in degrees Celsius (deg-C).
Multiply that result by 1.8(=9/5) to get changes in degrees Fahrenheit (deg-F).

Best estimate for absolute global mean for 1951-1980 is  14.0 deg-C or 57.2 deg-F,
so add that to the temperature change if you want to use an absolute scale
(this note applies to global annual means only, J-D and D-N !)

Example      --      Table Value :      40
                          change :    0.40 deg-C  or  0.72 deg-F
abs. scale if global annual mean :   14.40 deg-C  or 57.92 deg-F


The September 15 release was done by the political arm of NASA, and was timed for maximum impact on the United Nations Climate Summit one week later. 
The final Aug Data was never taken into consideration even though it was available. 
They did not want to release it was the ninth warmest August ever.
For good measure NOAA released it was the warmest summer ever. In reality it was maybe the seventh warmest summer ever.

Do NASA and NOAA lie wilfully? No, they just want to release selected data in such a way as to safeguard future funding.

On September 23 or so President Obama will address the United Nations' Climate Summit and proclaim "This August was the warmest August ever" or words to that effect, pointing to the NOAA and NASA press releases.