Eleven signs we are entering a new little ice age.

Eleven signs we are entering a new little ice age. (Updated Jun 25 2014)

Sometimes regional newspapers in faraway countries can produce articles that are newsworthy all over the world. Such is the case with the major Danish newspaper “Jyllandsposten” which acquired worldwide fame for publishing the “Muhammad  Cartoons.” There had been a Muslim honor killing, and the case was publicized incessantly by the paper. The public was outraged, and when the case went to court the Danish court, known for Scandinavian leniency broke with tradition and gave all six defendants hard sentences, including the taxi driver, who just drove the getaway car. This outraged the Muslim community, so they threatened the reporters with reprisals. The editorial board decided they would not be intimidated, so they decided to run a competition “Who could make the best Muhammad cartoon”. So far more than 200 people has been killed because of the cartoons from adherents to “the religion of peace”

Aug 8 2013 Jyllandsposten posted a two page article “The behavior of the sun can trigger a new “Little Ice age”.

JP_1

They should know. During the last little ice age the Swedes, with their whole army went over of the Great Belt on ice and sacked Copenhagen. The year was 1648.

300PX-~2

Nowadays the Great Belt is rarely even frozen over.

Their argument is that we are headed for a new solar minimum of either the Daulton or the Marauder minimum, both leading to significantly colder winters, more storms, and diminished harvests. Here is their front page:

The  Paper Warns: “Globe May Be On Path To Little Ice Age…Much Colder Winters…Dramatic Consequences”!

Could they possibly be right? Some say that global warming “deniers” are the scum of the earth worthy of extinction. Obama suggests we belong to the “flat earth society.” In Jyllandspostens view that is beside the point. They were not cowed by the Muhammad cartoons, neither will they be silenced on exposing the fallacies of the religion of global warming.

Since the main street media never report on these facts I have put together 11 reasons why I believe we are entering a new ice age.

sunspots

#1. It all depends on the sun. The sunspots and its accompanied solar activity goes in cycles. When there are lots of sunspots the sun is more active than when there are few. We are now at a solar maximum and this is the lowest maximum in over a hundred years and less than half of the most recent solar cycles. The next solar cycle is projected to be almost nonexistent. The last time this happened was during the little ice age.

article-2093264-1180A549000005DC-715_468x290

sunspot

It is to be noted that the actual behavior of the sun is even quieter than predicted. This means colder winters for the next 33+ years.

#2. A new record time for no major hurricanes hitting the U.S. mainland is set every day.

hurricanes

#3. The number of tornadoes is at a historic low.

torngraph-big1

#4. The arctic temperature over 80 degree latitude has been below average every day since May 6. This is unprecedented since measurements started.

meanT_2013{Source Danish Meteorological Institute)

This year the pattern continues with warmer winter temperatures due to more snowfall than normal and colder summer temperatures due to the extra melting of last years snow.

meanT_2014Jun23

#5 Arctic ice content for end of July is at a 6 year high. Ice is a lagging indicator. If the ice is increasing, temperature has been decreasing for some time.

icecover_current_new1

arcticice

#6. Arctic melt is larger than the 30 year average, but that is due to soot from China, not higher temperatures.

chinapollutioncloudmelt-water-canal_20342_610x343

China consumes about 45% of all the coal burned in the world  every year. It is mostly low grade lignite. Even with scrubbers, which are often down for “service” (it costs money to operate scrubbers) there is substantial soot pollution. This soot cloud hangs in the air, and some of it makes its way up to the arctic, carried on by the prevailing westerly winds.

#7. Last year Antarctic ice cover hit a new record high since measurements started, Sep 25 to Sep 29.seaice_recent_antarctic

Updated Jun 25 2014

seaice.recent.antarcticj24

#8. Antarctic ice is running well above average, maybe setting another record this year.

image_thumb

#9. The continental U.S. temperature records are misleading. Many weather stations are located near airport runways. This is a proper location to give runway information to the pilots but is not well suited for climatological reporting since they report the airport runway microclimate, not true overall conditions. This tends to skew temperature data. If airport data is taken out of the reporting, temperatures now are well below the records set mostly in the early 1900’s. A snapshot from the last week of July:lows_for_july

Even with the suspect temperature measurements there has been no significant global temperature increase the last 16 years:

rose-_16yrs_hardcrut4

#10. Northern Hemisphere snow cover is increasing.

nhland_season11

#11. Sandy. Contrary to popular reporting of the unprecedented storm surge during hurricane Sandy there has been two hurricanes with higher storm surges. They both occurred in the 1600’s, during the little ice age and can be explained by a late hurricane coming up the East coast being drawn inland by an early outbreak of cold arctic air.

NE_Storm_Surges

The jury is out. Who are the scum of the earth, members of the “flat earth society?” Who looks at the facts and who is ideologically motivated.

On a brighter note, it may be time to return to good, old-fashioned romance

And one thing more. Increasing CO2 levels will delay the onset of the next ice age. In the meantime  we can enjoy the fruits of increased CO2 levels: Greater harvests, a greener earth, less temperature differences between the equator and the poles, less hurricanes, fewer tornadoes, less large storms, and a more resilient nature feeding more animals and enabling more biodiversity. The colder weather will finally catch up with us, and that will mean widespread famine unless CO2 is increased substantially.

Why am I not worried about the greenhouse effect from CO2?

If CO2 is doubled, global temperatures will increase less than 2 degree F if no gain is in the system. Water vapor increases with about 4% per degree F temperature rise, and so a gain is assumed. The models predict a hotspot in the troposphere over the tropics because of CO2 coupled with water vapor. No hotspot has been found. In fact there is a barely perceptible coldspot  where the hotspot was expected. This is because of the great thermostat of the earth called thunderstorms. When the air is hot and humid enough thunderstorms form and this mechanism controls tropical temperatures to be rarely above 95 degrees F. In desert regions it can be substantially hotter, like in northern India, where it is routinely 115 degree F until the monsoons start, when the thunderstorms keep temperatures below 100.

No such control mechanism exists on the cool side. It will get as cold as the solar output dictates, and the coming cooling is inevitable. It will delay the onset of the new little ice age by maybe a few years.

I am an engineer and look at the earth as an organism that responds to impulses. The Sun gives two types of impulses: day and night, and summer and winter. We can take a look at the seasonal response in temperatures and notice the difference between now and when we had 14% less CO2 in the atmosphere. Fairly simple calculations will yield a 0.4 degree F rise for doubling CO2 levels over water, and about 1.2 degree F rise over land. The land increase has much higher variability between coastal and inland climate, but that is a ballpark number. This is not enough to offset the influence from a less active sun. The imbalances manifests itself in shrinking and growing ice and snowcaps. The trend is increasing ice and increasing snow, which means we are already well into the cooling phase.

Obama agrees with Sarah Palin to shut down Fannie May and Freddie Mac. A Limerick.

Obama to Urge Congress to Shutter Fannie, Freddie

Newsmax Tuesday, 06 Aug 2013 07:32 AM

 

Buoyed by an improving housing market, President Barack Obama on Tuesday proposed a broad overhaul of the nation’s mortgage finance system, including winding down government-backed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. He declared that taxpayers should never again be left “holding the bag” for the mortgage giants’ bad bets.

 

Fannie May, Freddie Mac, they must go,

Sarah Palin proposed long ago.

But the press was not kind;

She is out of her mind.

Now Obama is eating the crow.

 

 

 

What Sarah Palin lacks to be President. A Limerick

Ineluctable.

A score of the things Sarah Palin is lacking.

Enough to be able to send congress packing;

Elect her our leader,

We really do need her

Let’s give the entitled another shellacking.

Chuck Heath, the older brother of Sarah Palin came up with ten things Sarah Palin is lacking. I am reposting them here, adding ten of my own to make it a perfect score.

#1-Pedigree: Sarah was born into a low-income family with no political connections. Everything she’s achieved has been through her own hard work.

#2-Soft hands: Sarah has continually worked to provide for herself and her family, whether it was as a commercial fisherman, a hunter, a waitress, etc., she’s never been afraid to get her hands dirty.

#3-Sleep: Chuck watched Sarah work 15-20 hours a day, seven days a week as governor. Her stamina amazes everyone close to her.

#4-A golf handicap: Although she loves the game, you would never see Sarah spending countless hours on the links during a position of leadership.

#5-Shady friends: Sarah has no ties to known domestic terrorists, and no wealthy foreign friends that financed trips for her overseas.

#6-Hidden college transcripts: Her school records have always been open to the public.

#7-A perfect family: Despite hardships that almost every American family faces, Sarah has kept her head up and focused on the positive, and she’s always been there to help us when we’ve needed her.

#8-Friends in the media, Hollywood, and rap music: The vast majority of Hollywood stars and the mainstream media have done everything in their power to destroy her. No major network newsman has ever said that he gets a tingle up his leg when he thinks of her.

#9-A lack of respect for the Constitution: Sarah has always looked at the Constitution as a brilliant blueprint for America; a document that clearly lays out a separation of powers so that no one person or group of people have absolute power.

#10-A doubt in our Creator: Every big decision Sarah makes has been based on prayer.

#11-Fear. (She didn’t cave in when they torched her church with children inside) https://lenbilen.com/2012/01/27/blood-libel-church-burning-and-sarah-palin/

#12-A sense of entitlement. (She is no Hillary Clinton)

#13-Prejudice. (She married a part Eskimo)

#14-Complacency. (When she resigns, it is for a greater purpose)

#15-Hate. (She despises media bottom feeders, but that is not hate, just good judgment)

#16-Crony Capitalist Connections. (Congress reapproved insider trading for themselves.) https://lenbilen.com/2013/04/17/insider-trading-crony-capitalism-alive-and-well-in-congress-a-limerick/

#17-Good friends at the U.N. (Agenda 21 among others)

#18-A Muslim connection. (Hillary Clinton has Huma Abedin, who does Sarah have?)

HillaryHuma

#19-Marxist roots. (She didn’t go to Columbia and listen to the Marxist professors and attend Marxist rallies)

#20-Membership in a secret society. (Like skulls and bones at YALE)

Obama leaking NSA, CIA secrets to look good. A Limerick.

A conference call out of Yemen

Attacks that Al Qaida are schemin’

Obama the leaker

On Leno grows weaker.

Incontinent slob! You’re no he-man.

The Obama administration I leaking secrets big time. Why did they leak they intercepted a conference call originating out of Yemen with about 20 participants? Al-Qaida will no doubt retaliate and change the way they communicate. It is like bragging about breaking  the code of the enemy. And why did they out the seal team six and disclose in detail how our special forces operate? Reckless does not describe it. It is more like High treason.

 

Obama to visit Sweden instead of meeting with Putin. A Limerick.

Barack Obama, Vladimir Putin
Headline in Washington Post: Obama cancels summit meeting with Putin.
Obama will still attend the Group of 20 economic summit in St. Petersburg, Russia, but a top White House official said the president had no plans to hold one-on-one talks with Putin while there. Instead of visiting Putin in Moscow, the president will add a stop in Sweden to his early September travel itinerary.

Crybaby, why go to Sweden?
Putin will not give you Snowden?
Air Force One is no toy
You’re a man, not a boy.
Face it Obama, you’re beaten.

Why go to Sweden?
Is it to learn of the success of the 25% VAT (National sales tax)?
Is it their success in rooting out home schooling?
Is it their solid support of the Palestinians over the Israelis?
Is it confusion between Sweden and Norway? Norway, not Sweden gives out the Nobel Peace Prize, and he needs people who still admire him.
Is it to learn more about green energy?
Is it because Sweden has the ideal welfare state where even the conservatives are for it?
Is it because everybody belongs to a union in Sweden, even the employers have a union?
Is it to show Putin he is having more flexibility after the election?
Whatever the reason, it is not leadership.

Obama, the real Flat Earth Society spokesman.

The Flat Earth Society: Still going strong.
Obama the spokesman, so what can go wrong?
All his “Carbon pollution”
is a Marxist collusion.
It’s food for the hungry, so let’s get along.

President Obama angrily blasted climate change skeptics during his energy policy speech Tuesday Jun 25 at Georgetown University, saying he lacked “patience for anyone who denies that this problem is real.”
“We don’t have time for a meeting of the flat-Earth society,” Obama said. “Sticking your head in the sand might make you feel safer, but it’s not going to protect you from the coming storm.”
O.K. I’ll bite. Who belongs to the true flat earth society?
Obama mentioned more than 20 times “Carbon pollution”. In his weekly radio address the following Saturday he mentioned it again, without specifying what he means by “carbon pollution”. He also likened it to Mercury and Arsenic pollution, so it must be very serious and dangerous in his mind. He did not specify if he meant carbon as in “soot” or carbon as in carbon dioxide, but he is not alone in not understanding the basics of Physics and Chemistry.
Earlier in his remarks, Obama said the “overwhelming judgment of science, of chemistry, of physics, and millions of measurements” put “to rest” questions about pollution affecting the environment.
I agree totally. Mercury and Arsenic are poisons pollutants. What about Carbon?
Mercury is bad, unless of course it is used in energy efficient light bulbs that can break and splat Mercury all over the nursery.
Arsenic is bad in large doses. The jury is still out if there is a safe minimum dose. There was a suggestion at one time by the EPA to go to 5ppb as a safe drinking level. That would have put much of Maryland drinking water in the forbidden zone. So they settled for 10 ppb.

“The planet is warming. Human activity is contributing to it,” Obama said.
Well is it?
It is a fact that thunderstorms are a stabilizer of temperature. Thermal thunderstorms can start when the temperature exceeds 76 degrees Fahrenheit. In areas with daily thunderstorms, like in the tropical doldrums temperatures rarely reach 90 degrees and average out around 88 degrees. In the desert where there are no thunderstorms it can get substantially hotter.
Atmosphericcirculation70_zps62ce2ee6

My daughter lives with her family in the Delhi area of India. My grandchildren go to a school without air conditioning. They stop school for seven weeks during May-June when the temperature frequently tops 115 degrees. Around Jul 1 the monsoon starts, and the temperature goes down to around 88 degrees and humid, but they can go back to school. This is the great thunderstorm temperature regulator. During the ice age the tropics were still tropical, so that temperature is fixed regardless of what happens elsewhere.
Not so around the poles. If rising CO2 should have a great effect on temperature we should notice it there first.
The best indicator we have is the ice that covers the poles. We have all seen stories like: “the Arctic ice will have melted away in just 5 years.” That was in 2007 when there was an unusually large summer melt. Since then the icepack has recovered somewhat, but in 2012 it did it again and melted even more than in 2007. Why is that? Is it “carbon pollution” like Obama claims?
icepoles
(Note the maximum snow/ice cove over the North Pole is much larger than the Antarctic ice cover)
icecover_current

The level of CO2 has increased about 14% in the last 30 years and is roughly the same all around the globe. Since that is true, if CO2 causes large temperature increases around the poles the Antarctic ice shield should be shrinking. Is that so?
The Antarctic ice shield hit an all time record since measurements begun more than 30 years ago last year between Sep25 and Sep29. This year it is on pace to equal or exceed that record with about 500,000 square miles more ice than the 30 year average.
seaice_recent_antarctic

Why then is the Antarctic icecap growing and the Arctic ice cap shrinking? It is the same CO2 concentration in both places.
seaice_recent_arctic

Something else must be the cause.
May I suggest carbon pollution and volcanic activity as two possible hypotheses.
This time carbon pollution is not CO2 as Obama defines it, but good, old fashioned soot.
black-carbon-2000

While Obama is fighting a war on coal China is building one coal fired plant a week, burning mostly low grade lignite coal. China now burns 45% of all coal burned in the world. They are said to use scrubbers, but since scrubbing costs money they are often down for “service” The soot that is choking the people of Northern China (Remember the Olympics when they shut down most production for the duration of the events to reduce air pollution?) is going out as a brown cloud, following the Siberian coastline. Some of ir reaches the Arctic and deposits itself on the white new fallen snow. When the snow melts the following summer the soot comes back to the surface and causes a more rapid snow and ice melt. The speedup of the ice melt occurs at the time of the changing albedo, so that must be a large contributing factor.
arcticmeltingpond

Last year when the freeze cycle started again new ice accumulated at a record pace, so the ice pack may be largely gone in early September, but at that time the albedo change is of little consequence since the Sun is almost gone anyway. In the Arctic the winter Albedo comes mostly from snow over land, so that would be highly sensitive to soot. This pollution is partly manmade from unclean burning.

The other hypothesis is volcanic activity. The island of Svalbard lies near the 80th latitude and the Western part is mostly ice free all year. We learned in school it was due to the Gulf Stream transporting warm water from the Mexican Gulf all the way to the Barents Sea, which is the reason towns like Hammerfest in Norway are ice free all year. The northern part of the Gulf Stream is now called the North Atlantic Current, and it has been strong for a long time.
Atlanticcurrent

Most of the ice melt is due to melting from warm water underneath. But there is another reason it is so warm between Iceland and Svalbard. The North Atlantic Ridge between the Norwegian islands Jan Mayen and Svalbard is rising out of the Atlantic at a rate of 0.4 inches a year.

svalbard_volcanoes1

Some peaks are so high the depth is only 60 feet, and the next volcanic eruption can form a brand new volcanic island much like the island of Surtsey, south of Iceland was created some 40 years ago. This volcanic activity may account for about 30% of all volcanic activity in the world, but it occurs with very small earth quakes and is under water, so it has not attracted much attention. The heat up of the ocean is, however substantial and goes a long way to explain why Western Svalbard is Ice free, and why the whole ice cap is melting.
Of course since this ridge is rising out of the ocean, the water must be rising somewhere else, so it is not surprising the whole Eastern seaboard is slowly sinking into the Atlantic,
What is the conclusion? The Antarctic Ice cap is the best indicator we are in a cooling trend, and the increasing CO2 levels will help delay the start of the coming ice age.
lows_for_july
meanT_2013
(Not one day has the temperature been above average in the Arctic above 80 lat. since May 5 this year)
The rising CO2 levels has already made it possible to feed another billion people on earth, because increasing CO2 levels improves the photosynthesis in plants, increasing plant growth, so it is good for both flora and fauna.

co2
In addition, an increased CO2 level makes photosynthesis more efficient over a larger temperature range, using less water in the process.
The earth is getting greener. A greener earth makes it more resilient to climate change, whether manmade or natural.
This cooling of the world is of course anathema to true flat earth believers like Obama.He is desperate too control CO2 emissions under the guidance of U.N. regardless of what goes on in nature. This is not to deny we have problems by manmade climate change. For example, cutting down the rain forests of Borneo to make biofuel is a really bad idea, but it is going on. To use corn to make alcohol may be even worse, nearly half of the weight of sugar is converted to CO2 during the fermentation process. To transport crude oil through a pipeline is far more efficient than transporting it via railroad, even if Warren Buffet owns the railroad. The energy used in mining the material used in batteries and motors exceeds the potential energy savings in Hybrid cars. Making electric cars charged from household electricity makes no sense as long as we generate electricity from coal. Wind power kills birds and bats, and when the wind does not blow you still need all the generation capacity. Solar energy is most efficient where it is not needed. The electric grid is overloaded and vulnerable to attack. Uranium based nuclear power generates waste products lasting for millennia
What to do?
LLNLUSEnergy20112

 

 

Solar, wind and biofuel are but hairs on the energy chart.
One solution is converting electric power production from coal fired plants to thorium based nuclear power generators. There is an 800,000 years supply of thorium ready to be mined. Thorium based generators produce 0,01% as many waste products as uranium generators after 300 years. Thorium generators are scalable, cheaper to make and operate than all alternatives except coal and natural gas generators. They can be made inherently earthquake safe and in case of terrorism really easy to poison and be made unusable.
This is lacking in our energy debate.
Mr. President, we need an energy policy, not a war on coal and CO2 generation without a clue on how to solve our energy needs for the future. As Sarah Palin so succinctly put it: “We must be good stewards of all our God-given resources, for when they’re gone, they’re gone”

22 embassies closed in Muslim countries. Happy birthday Mr. President!

ALQAIDAFLIESFLGINBENGHAZI30_10_2011
Aug 4 is the day is the day mentioned on Obama’s computer generated certificate of birth registration as his day of birth. He will be 52 years and in honor of this somebody in his administration has decided to close 22 embassies.
Last Sep 11 on the embassies in Egypt, Algeria and Tunis were attacked and the black flag of Al-Qaida was raised to the chant “Obama, Obama we are all Osama.”
Al-Qaida does not like we are trying to minimize their influence in the Syrian civil war, so this time they might sing:

Happy birthday, Barack
We will launch an attack
on your embassies, Barry.
This is our payback.

 

Howard Dean, Sarah Palin agree: Obamacare IPAB (Death Panels) will fail. A Limerick.

Ineluctable
HowardDeanDNC-cropped
.
On Obamacare IPAB
Howard Dean, Sarah Palin agree.
Once “the lie of the year” *
Those “Death Panels” we fear,
They will fail to the utmost degree.

.
In a July s28, 2013 Wall Street Journal op-ed former Governor of Vermont Howard Dean said:

“The Independent Payment Advisory Board is a “health-care rationing body,” which has the power to set rates for certain procedures for Medicare and determine which procedures and drugs will be covered.

The IPAB will be able to stop certain treatments its members do not favor by simply setting rates to levels where no doctor or hospital will perform them.”

While Dean agrees that costs need to be contained, he says the mechanism that will run the IPAB — known as rate-setting — has a 40-year track record of failure.

Former Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin had the same opinion that it is a rationing body and the IPAB will decide who will die and who will live, strictly by bureaucratic regulation, not in a doctor patient relationship. She therefore dubbed them the IPAB “Death Panel.”

* PolitiFact’s Lie of the Year: ‘Death panels’
By Angie Drobnic Holan
Published on Friday, December 18th, 2009 at 5:15 p.m.

A winner in our “Lie of the Year” contest!
Of all the falsehoods and distortions in the political discourse this year, one stood out from the rest.
“Death panels.”
The claim set political debate afire when it was made in August, raising issues from the role of government in health care to the bounds of acceptable political discussion. In a nod to the way technology has transformed politics, the statement wasn’t made in an interview or a television ad. Sarah Palin posted it on her Facebook page.

Obama, the phony scandaleer.

Obama: “My scandals are phony.”
His BC is phony baloney. (1)
SSS, SSIs (2) (3)
Are all falsified lies.
A three dollar bill is less phony. (4)

(1) Lord Christopher Moncton of Benchley has calculated the probability Obama’s birth certificate is genuine is about one in 75 quadrillion (1:75,000,000,000,000,000)


You may also look at https://lenbilen.com/2012/02/09/obama-made-in-the-usa-but-his-birthplace-is-kenya-a-limerick/
(2) His Selective Service System registration is also a fake. Lots of people are trying to debunk this, but the evidence points to a forgery. http://theobamafile.com/_eligibility/DraftRegistration.htm
(3) He has used many Social Security Numbers, most prominently one signifying Connecticut origin.

Obama the fraud. A Limerick.


(4) Here is a genuine three dollar bill. The only trouble is, the dollars it represents do not exist.

Three dollar bill