Donald Trump – Page 4 – Len Bilén's blog, a blog about faith, politics and the environment.

Of umbrellas and such. A study in contrasts. A Limerick.

Umbrellas: A hard task for some.

To Barry as hard as they come.

The most powerful man:

See him do what he can.

To fold it, try using your thumb!

This was the former President Barack Obama

He always had trouble handle an umbrella.look down on his notes and talk at the same time, so he commandeered the Marines to hold the umbrella for him. To be fair he commandeered another Marine to keep President Erdogan of Turkey dry. No such consideration was given the audience.

But he couldn’t keep his own wife out of the rain either. It is difficult to hold an umbrella, wave, walk down the stairs and keep your wife dry, all at the same time.

HAVANA, CUBA – MARCH 20: First lady Michelle Obama, President Barack Obama, Malia Obama and Sasha Obama arrive at Jose Marti International Airport for a 48-hour visit on Airforce One March 20, 2016 in Havana, Cuba. Obama is the first President in nearly 90 years to visit Cuba, the last one being Calvin Coolidge. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

No, This is the way to handle an umbrella!

Nothing fancy, just do it. And keep your wife dry at the same time.

U.S.A. corona virus death rate currently at 3.05%, 43 countries have higher death rates. 15 countries giving HCQ+Zinc+Z-max have much lower death rates.

The number of corona-virus cases for U.S.A as of August 27 is 6,086,178 deaths are 185,692 and the death rate is 3.05%. There are four states: New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Michigan, under DOJ investigation because they required nursing homes to admit and readmit COVID-19 cases resulting in many deaths. If these states are excluded from the count the death rate would be 2.35%

The Democratic convention speakers assured us that this was the worst result of any country in the world, thanks to President Trump’s inaction and refusal to accept science. So, how does U.S.A. compare to the rest of the world? The cases, deaths and death rates for all countries with higher death rates are listed below:

1. Yemen 1,943 563 29.0%

2. Italy 265,409 35,472 13.4%

3. United Kingdom 331,644 41,486 12.5%

4. Belgium 83,500 9,884 11.8%

5. France 267,077 30,596 11.5%

6. Hungary 5,511 614 11.1%

7. Mexico 579,914 62,594 10.8%

8. Netherlands 69,131 6,220 9.0%

9. Channel Islands 625 48 7.7%

10. Chad 1,008 77 7.6%

11. Canada 127,074 9,108 7.2%

12. Spain 455,621 29,011 7.1%

13. Isle of Man 336 24 7.1%

14. Sweden 83,958 5,821 6,9%

15. Sudan 13,082 823 6.3%

16. Liberia 1,298 82 6.3%

17. Ireland 28,578 1,778 6.2%

18. San Marino 710 42 5.9%

19. Niger 1,173 69 5.9%

20. Ecuador 112,141 6,504 5.8%

21. Iran 369,911 21,249 5.7%

22. Egypt 98,062 5,342 5.4%

23. Switzerland 41,346 2,004 4.8%

23. Slovenia 2,797 133 4.8%

25. Andorra 1,124 53 4.7%

26. Mali 2,736 126 4.6%

27. Peru 621,997 28,277 4.5%

28. Indonesia 165,887 7,169 4.3%

29. Barbados 165 7 4,2%

29. Finland 8,042 335 4.2%

29. North Macedonia 14,163 590 4.2%

29. Bolivia 113,129 4,791 4.2%

33. Burkina Faso 1,352 55 4.1%

33. Tanzania 509 21 4.1%

34. Germany 242,101 9,360 3.9%

35. Sint Maarten 444 17 3.8%

36. Denmark 16,700 624 3.7%

36. Guatemala 72,921 2,709 3.7%

36. Afghanistan 38,140 1,402 3,7%

26. Bulgaria 15,908 594 3.7%

40. Brazil 3,772,945 118,988 3.2%

41. Iraq 223,612 6,814 3.1%

41. Poland 65,480 2,018 3.1%

That’s right! U.S.A. ranks as 43th worst country!

Now there are countries that do better, some much better. One group has this in common: They administer a proper therapy of hydroxychloroquine, most often with Zinc and Z-max as soon as symptoms occur, with or without a positive test. Some of the countries are so poor that it is all they can afford. The result?

Country Cases Deaths

1. Qatar 118,196 196 0.2% The country of Qatar consists of 88% temporary workers between the ages of 20 and 60 and most of the deaths occurred in the remaining 12% of the original population. This means that the death rate of persons between the ages of 20 and 60 is less than 0.2% if given HCQ + Zinc as soon as symptoms occur or as a prophylactic administered instead of contact tracing and quarantine. If this regimen would be implemented immediately we could fully open schools and universities, have college and professional sports again and fully open all businesses. Only protect the most vulnerable.

2. Bahrain 50,756 189 0.4% Again, about half of the population are immigrants or guest workers. They have a high rate of obesity and diabetes, but HCQ seems to be working excellent in Bahrain

3. UAE 68,901 379 0.6% The United Arab Emirates is a nation of 88% non-citizen immigrants and guest workers. there are over twice as many males as there are females.

4. Israel 112,000 894 0.8%

5. Costa Rica 38,485 407 1.1%

6. Malaysia 9,306 125 1.3%

7. Russia 980,405 16,914 1.7%

8. South Korea 19,077 316 1.7%

9. India 3,461,240 62,713 1.8%

10. Morocco 58,489 1,052 1.8%

11. Ukraine 114,497 2,451 2.1%

12. Senegal 13,384 279 2.1%

13. Turkey 265,515 6,245 2.4%

14. Cuba 3,866 92 2.4%

15. Greece 9,800 259 2.6%

There are countries that are not doing as well as U.S.A. in combating the corona pandemic, even though they freely administer HCQ. They are

16. Algeria 43,403 1,483 3.4%

17.Indonesia 165,887 7,169 4.3%

and probably others. Many countries’ health statistics are of dubious accuracy. That is why China is excluded.

Other countries, such as

Iceland 2,092 10 0.5%

Faeroe Islands 411 0 0.0%

Japan 64,668 1,226 1.9% have had success with a thorough contact tracing and quarantine. This can only be done if caught at the earliest stages of the disease. Remember, Japan never allowed the people from the infected cruise ship to enter Japanese soil and be treated in hospitals.

Vaccine may not be as effective as first thought. The china corona virus has mutated into 11 strains, and continues to mutate, so a universal vaccine cannot be developed, but like the flu, every year will have a new strain to combat.

The only solution is to implement a hydroxychloroquine + Zinc + Zitromax regimen, both as a prophylactic and as a therapy as soon as symptoms occur.

According to the Ford study treatment with hydroxychloroquine cut the death rate significantly in sick patients hospitalized with COVID-19 – and without heart-related side-effects, according to a new study published by Henry Ford Health System. The death rate was cut in half for patients treated with HCQ. It is even more dramatic if HCQ is administered as soon as symptoms occur, over 40 international studies have shown an up to 80+% reduction in death rates. For some reason FDA and CDC do not acknowledge international studies. They rather let people die than accept a drug that has been approved for over50 years, and given freely to people with Lupus. It is so safe it is even given to pregnant women and nursing mothers.

How many extra deaths are we talking about? HCQ is already administered under right to try by about 16% of all cases. If it had been recommended in April, one month after President Trump recommended it based on excellent results in french studies, about half the deaths from then on could have been avoided. It adds up, about 1.5% of all cases since April 15, or about 78,000 deaths could have been avoided, and moving forward about 600 deaths a day. This is in my opinion a low estimate.

Another significant moment in the hydroxychloroquine debate came on July 23 in the form of an opinion piece. Harvey A. Risch, MD, PhD, a professor of epidemiology at Yale School of Public Health with years of healthcare experience, wrote in favor of the medication, calling it “highly effective” and describing physicians who use it “in the face of widespread skepticism” as heroes.

In his opinion piece, Risch listed several studies that have pointed to the benefits of treating COVID-19 with hydroxychloroquine. He also wrote about how the medication has been politicized and said it “has not been used properly in many studies.”

“In the future, I believe this misbegotten episode regarding hydroxychloroquine will be studied by sociologists of medicine as a classic example of how extra-scientific factors overrode clear-cut medical evidence,” he concluded. “But for now, reality demands a clear, scientific eye on the evidence and where it points. For the sake of high-risk patients, for the sake of our parents and grandparents, for the sake of the unemployed, for our economy and for our polity, especially those disproportionally affected, we must start treating immediately.”

His assessment of lives saved with HCQ ++ was 70,000 lives would have been saved as of Aug 1 if HCQ had been used as early as possible. He is the scientist, I am using public data drawn from a population of 2 billion people, and we reached a very similar conclusion.

Do it! The fact that President Trump has advocated it as early as March should not be a hindrance to save 600 lives a day!

U.S.A. death rate from the corona virus currently at 3.1%, 45 countries have higher death rates.

Here are the Corona-virus death rates for the 11 largest counties in the U.S.A

County population cases deaths percentage deaths

Los Angeles 10,105,518 227,346 5,446 2.4%

Cook, IL 5,180,493 119,000 4,988 4.2%

Harris, TX 4,698,619 95,631 1,122 1.2%

Maricopa, AZ 4,410,824 131,044 2,745 2.1%

San Diego 3,343,364 35, 608 644 1.8%

Orange, CA 3,185,968 44.936 856 1.9%

Miami-Dade 2,761,581 150,305 2,219 1.5%

Dallas 2,637,772 69.343 854 1.2%

Kings, NYC 2,582,830 65,867 7,274 11.0%

Riverside, CA 2,450,758 48,956 922 1.9%

Queens, NYC 2,278,906 70,770` 7,212 10.2%

The total death rates are below 2% for 6 of the 11 largest counties, 2.4% for Los Angeles county and 2.1% for Phoenix in Arizona. Florida has 1.5% and Texas has 1.2%. Brooklyn and Queens in New York City are standouts, their death rates are over 10%. Thanks to Governor Cuomo’s directive to place covid patients back in nursing homes after they tested positive the death rate sky-rocketed in New York State. And Governor Cuomo bragged about how well he handled the Corona virus at the Democratic convention. But he was not alone. The governors of New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut and Michigan did the same, no extra protection for the most vulnerable. The Corona virus death rates could have been much lower. As it is, the cases, deaths and death rates for U.S.A. is 5,784,781 178,972 and 3.1%

The Democratic convention speakers assured us that this was the worst result of any country in the world, thanks to President Trump’s inaction and refusal to accept science. So, how do U.S.A. compare to the rest of the world? The cases, deaths and death rates for all countries with higher death rates are listed below:

1. Yemen 1,899 541 28.5%

2. Italy 257,065 35,467 13.8%

3. France 234,400 30,503 13.0%

4. United Kingdom 323,313 41,405 12.8%

5. Belgium 80,178 9,976 12.4%

6. Hungary 5,098 611 12.0%

7. Mexico 543,806 59,106 10.9%

8. Netherlands 65,589 6,195 9.4%

9. Channel Islands 614 48 7.8%

10. Chad 981 76 7.7%

11. Canada 124,099 9,060 7.3%

12. Spain 407,839 28,838 7.1%

13. Isle of Man 336 24 7.1%

14. Sweden 86,068 5,810 6,7%

15. Sudan 12,623 812 6.4%

16. Liberia 1,284 82 6.4%

17. Ireland 27,755 1,776 6.4%

18. San Marino 704 42 6.0%

19. Ecuador 106,481 6,248 5.9%

20. Niger 1,169 69 5.9%

21. Iran 354,763 20,376 5.7%

22. Egypt 97,025 5,212 5.4%

23. Switzerland 39,332 2,000 5.1%

24. Slovenia 2,574 130 5.1%

25. Andorra 1,045 53 5.0%

26. Peru 567,059 27,034 4.8%

27. Sint Maarten 353 17 4.8%

28. Martinique 336 16 4,8%

29. Mali 2,667 125 4.7%

30. Barbados 157 7 4.5%

31. Indonesia 149,408 6,500 4.4%

32. Burkina Faso 1,297 55 4.2%

33. Finland 7,871 334 4.2%

34. North Macedonia 13,308 557 4.2%

35. Saint Martin 121 5 4.1%

36. Bolivia 106,065 4.305 4.1%

37. Tanzania 509 21 4.1%

38. Germany 233,002 9,328 4.0%

39. Denmark 16,127 621 3.9%

40. Guatemala 66,941 2,532 3.8%

41. Afghanistan 37,894 1,385 3,7%

42. Bulgaria 14962 532 3.6%

43. Brazil 3,513,039 112,670 3.2%

44. Iraq 197,085 6,283 3.2%

45. Poland 60,281 1,938 3.2%

That’s right! U.S.A. ranks as 46th worst country!

U.S.A. could do even better by adopting this therapeutic remedy.

Do it! The fact that President Trump has advocated it should not be a hindrance to save lives!

Who gets the vote this year in PA? Does the horse and buggy team make a difference? A Limerick.

Campaigning in Western PA

Is not what you think, this I say

For the Amish take part,

Vote for life, with their heart,

vote Trump, to the left’s great dismay.

I may be wrong on this buggy. The campaigner may not be Amish after all. He may be an Old Order Mennonite. That Order is even more conservative than the Amish. But they used to have one thing in common. They did not mingle with the English, and they did not participate in politics, and they did not vote. You may have seen cute pictures like this, thinking they still live like in the 18th century.

Nothing could be further from the truth. It is true, they didn’t use to vote. But in the 2000 election they started voting, and they voted pro life. They were always law abiding, and were allowed to keep their one room school houses with 8 year education, were allowed to have their own pooled medical services, and maintained their religious exemption from military service and social security. Do they really shun electricity? The picture below shows a recently built Amish homestead with the telltale clothesline, but also a small wind turbine and four solar panels to provide

electricity. Contrary to popular opinion the Amish do not shun electricity, they just want to be left unconnected to the “English”, in other words, live off the grid. Their desire to be independent force them to be resourceful and innovative, since they also follow the law of the land whenever possible. So it was, when the farms were mandated to refrigerate the milk before pickup they installed electric coolers. The electricity was generated by diesel generators, so bingo, they could get electricity for their workshops as well, and turn from primitive hand work to fully modern wood workshops, I know, they provided a first class kitchen for our home in Intercourse. They had a problem, federal law mandated headlights on their buggies to be street legal. The propane lights with gas stockings burned well, but were too fragile to last the bumpy buggy rides so they installed car headlights running on car batteries. They had to be charged often, and it became quite expensive, so the Amish in 2003 made the first commercially available LED headlights for their buggies, thereby extending battery life more than ten–fold for a marine deep-charge lead-acid battery, from six hours to 100 hours.

Even at 120 dollars a piece it made economic sense. How do you charge batteries? This is where the solar panels come in, they are used to charge the batteries. When the sun doesn’t shine the wind may blow, a reasonable backup. Now they have 12 volt electric power. The next step was to wire the house and install 12 V LED lights and provide 12 volt DC or 24 volt AC outlets for small appliances. The lights are great, but many appliances are still run the hard way, diesel engines providing compressed air, which run their wells with jet-pumps and in their hand mixers they take out the motor and replace with a compressed air motor. The LED lights beat kerosene lamps any day for efficiency, and even a compressed air driven refrigerator is much more efficient than a kerosene refrigerator.

So if the grid goes down for an extended period of time, who is better off? The Amish are far ahead of us in preparation for catastrophes.

And the Amish do get together and fellowship for any reason, but mostly for their Sunday services, which are held in the upper room of their workshops, or in the kitchen for the women and the basement for the men. The horse-drawn pew-mobile is in the picture above, to the right. This is a tell-tale sign who hosts the service next time.

The case for Thorium. 6. Radioactive waste from an Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor decays down to background radiation in 300 years compared to a million years for U-235 based reactors. A Limerick.

The nuclear waste meant for Yucca

would destine Nevada the sucka

But with Thorium we rid

us of waste that is hid

No need for that waste to be trucka!

Radioactive waste from an LFTR (Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor) decays down to background radiation in 300 years instead of a million years for U-235 based reactors. Initially LFTRs produce as much radioactivity as an U-235 based nuclear reactor, since fission converts mass to heat, but the decay products have a much shorter half-life. See the figure below.

Where is the storage for spent nuclear fuel and other nuclear waste now? Look at the map, it is scary.

And these are just the U.S. installations!

Many years ago I studied Engineering at Chalmers’ University in Sweden and I thought I would become a nuclear engineer. Sweden had at that time a peaceful heavy water based nuclear power program together with Canada and India. The advantage with heavy water as moderator is that it can use natural, un-enriched Uranium. One of the end products is of course Plutonium 239, the preferred material to make nuclear bombs, but it could also use Thorium, and the end product is then mostly Plutonium 238, used in space exploration, and we were dreaming big. One of the advantages of Thorium as fuel is that it produces about 0,01% of trans-Uranium waste compared to Uranium as fuel. About that time the U.S. proposed we should abandon the heavy water program and switch to light water enriched Uranium based nuclear power. They would sell the enriched Uranium, and reprocess the spent fuel at cost. They also had the ideal final resting place for the radioactive waste products in Nevada. This was an offer the Swedish government could not refuse, at the height of the cold war. This was in the 1960’s! India on the other hand did refuse, and they eventually got the nuclear bomb. Since that meant Sweden was never going to use Thorium as nuclear fuel, and I could not figure out how to get rid of all the radioactive waste products, I switched my attention back to control engineering.

What did President Trump mean with innovative approaches?

Is this where Thorium comes in!?

The case for Thorium. 2. Thorium already mined, ready to be extracted.

Thorium is a by-product of mining heavy metals and rare earth metals. The price is the cost of extracting and refining, which can be as low as $40/Kg. No extra mining is required for extracting the Thorium, and we all know that mining is a major source of pollution.

The first thing we must realize is that rare earth metals are not all that rare. They are a thousand times or more abundant than gold or platinum in the earth crust and easy to mine, but more difficult to refine. Thorium and Uranium will be mined together with rare earth metals.

U.S. used to be the major supplier for rare earth metals, which was fine up to around 1984. Then the U.S. regulators determined that Uranium and Thorium contained in the ore made the ore radioactive, so they decided to make rare metal ore a “source material” with all what that meant for record keeping and control. This made mining in the U.S. unprofitable so in 2001 the last mine closed down. China had no scruples, such as human and environmental concerns, so they took over the rare earth metals mining and in 2010 controlled over 95% of the world supply, which was in line with their long term plan of controlling the world by 2025. Luckily this has now been rectified with U.S. and Australian mines reopened, but the U.S. mined ore is still shipped to China for refining. However, in July 2019, President Trump activated Section 303 of the Defense Production Act to declare domestic production capability for rare earth elements and other critical minerals “essential to the national defense.” Domestic refining is scheduled to begin late 2020.

Rare Earth Element Production

So, why is this important? Just take a look at all the uses for rare earth metals. The most sought after pays all the cost of mining and refining, and the rest are readily available at nominal cost.

The Chinese almost got away with it, and that was but one reason the trade negotiations were so complicated and hard fought, but necessary. Donald Trump fought for reciprocity and fair competition. Since the onset of the COVID -19 pandemic, originating in Wuhan, China, it has become more and more obvious that China can no longer be allowed to be single source supplier of anything.

HCQ and Chloroquine can now definitely be legally prescribed for Covid use by US physicians. This will save many lives from now on.

This was the headline from the Daily Mail (U.K.)

And these are the real news about the story

POTUS news conference June 15, FOX NEWS ~4:05 pm

Reporter just asked POTUS about the recent FDA notice on hydroxychloroquine

That it’s [supposedly] “no longer considered as a reasonable treatment for Covid”

POTUS defers to Secretary Alex Azar:

Azar:

To clarify your statement, which is not quite accurate:

The FDA withdrew an emergency use authorization of Hydroxychloroquine from Bayer manufactured in Pakistan – where emergency authorization was restricted to hospital use only.

So they took the emergency use only authorization off.

“At this point HCQ and chloroquine are just like any other approved drug in the United States

they may be used in hospitals, they may be used in out-patients, they may be used at home” “all subject to a doctor’s prescription.”

Furthermore, he said that “it’s good that the emergency use authorization was removed, because it had been widely misinterpreted as saying that these drugs could ONLY be use in-hospital when this was NOT true.”

Yes, hydroxychloroquine has been prescribed for treatment of Lupus and rheumatism for over 20 years, and for prevention of malaria for over 50 years. It is considered so safe that it is even given to pregnant women and nursing mothers with no restrictions. There is a small number of people with a specific heart condition that should not take the drug, but those people can easily be spotted by evaluating their heart rhythm with a stethoscope, or by taking and evaluating an ECG.

There are over ten countries that prescribe HCQ, mostly in combination with Zinc and an antibiotic, as soon as COVID symptoms occur. When the illness has progressed to the point of autoimmune overreaction and the oxygen exchange is to the point of collapse it is too late and may even aggravate the situation.

How are these countries faring in the Coronavirus fight, compared to the rest of the world?

For the world as a whole, the death rate from the Coronavirus as of June 15 is 5.40% of diagnosed cases. and recovered cases versus deaths is 9.06 recorded recoveries for every death.

Taking the average, adjusted for the number of positive cases we get the average adjusted death rate for countries, where people are taking HCQ + Zinc when diagnosed positive, is 1.42%.

This means that the risk of death is reduced by a factor of 3.8 if HZQ + Zinc is taken as early as possible after a positive diagnosis for coronavirus!

Recovered cases versus deaths is an indicator of how fast patients recover after taking HCQ. Taking the average recovery ratio aover the number of cases, gives the median recovery ratio, of 51.8, compared to the recovery rate for the rest of the world of 9.06, an improvement of 5.7 times as many recorded recoveries for every death. This is an indicator of how fast people recover, but is a very lagging indicator, since many countries do not report recovered cases in a timely manner. If they dis, both the numbers for the ten countries, and for the world as a whole would look better, but it is the best we have for now.

The total positive cases for these ten countries are over 900,000, or about 11% of all positive tests so far, far more than any double blind controlled study could ever produce, and indicates that if implemented all across U.S. (and the world as a whole) the death rate from now on would be less than a third of what we are now experiencing. In addition hospitalizations would be greatly reduced.

WHO paused a double blind study out of an “abundance of caution”.

HCQ has been taken by over 900,000 patients testing positive for the coronavirus as soon as symptoms did arise or shortly thereafter. We do not need a double blind control study, the results speak for themselves.

Is it because it has been promoted by President Trump, and some would rather die than get cured because of that?

Is HCQ too cheap to promote? It is totally generic, no pharmaceutical company stands to gain from producing it, so there will be no study made by them. Any study will have to come from government.

I for one want to save lives.

Appendix: The data is used from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The death rate from all causes doubles for every 8 years as you age or about 9% per year. The death rate from Coronavirus is remarkably the same as the death rate from all causes, adjusted for age. The world median age is 30.4 years. So let the world death rate be the norm and adjust for the median age for the 10 countries.

World death rate as of June 11 is 5.58% of diagnosed cases. and recovered cases versus deaths is 9.06

Compare this with 10 countries that use HCQ for most patients as soon as they test positive for the corona virus.

Turkey: Death rate 2.68%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.57%, recovered cases versus deaths 31.5, total cases 179,831

South Korea: Death rate 2.29%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.20% recovered cases versus deaths 38.7, total cases 12,155

Malaysia: Death rate 1.42%, median age 28.5, adjusted death rate 1.70% recovered cases versus deaths 63.9, total cases 8,505

Senegal: Death rate 1.33%, median age 18.8, adjusted death rate 3.57%, recovered cases versus deaths 50.4, total cases 5,247

Costa Rica: Death rate 0.68%, median age 31.3, adjusted death rate 0.64%, recovered cases versus deaths 64.2, total cases 1,744

United Arab emirates: Death rate 0.68%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 0.65%, recovered cases versus deaths 98.5, total cases 42,982

Bahrain: Death rate 0.25%, median age 32.3, adjusted death rate 0.23%, recovered cases versus deaths 282.3, total cases 19,013

Morocco: Death rate 2.71%, median age 29.3, adjusted death rate 3.03%, recovered cases versus deaths 37.2, total cases 8,921

Russia: Death rate 1.33%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 1.28%, recovered cases versus deaths 40.4, total cases 545,458

Qatar: Death rate 0.097%, median age 30.9, but since 88% of the population are migrant workers between 20 and 60, the adjusted death rate is at least 8 times higher, or 0.78 %, and adjusted recovered cases versus deaths 94.5, total cases 82,077

Ten nations taking HCQ as soon as symptoms occur have a death rate of one sixth, compared to the rest of the world. Save lives now!

Washington (CNN)Dr. Anthony Fauci said in May that data shows hydroxychloroquine is not an effective treatment for the coronavirus, disputing use of the drug to fight the deadly virus even as President Donald Trump touts it as a potential cure and says he has taken it himself.

“The scientific data is really quite evident now about the lack of efficacy for it,” Fauci, a key medical adviser on the White House coronavirus task force, told CNN’s Jim Sciutto on “Newsroom” of the drug, adding that there’s likelihood of “adverse events with regard to cardiovascular.”

Dr Fauci, how do you explain the excellent results in more than 10 countries, where HCQ is taken (Sometimes together with Azithromycine and sometimes with added Zinc) as soon as COVID-19 symptoms shows up, sometimes before a positive test is confirmed?

This is a very interesting chart:

But wait. Not so fast. These countries may have a younger population, and the death rate is much lower for younger people. This chart tells the relative death rate, and it shows that with the advent of the coronavirus the death risk doubled regardless of the age of the victim.

The death rate doubles for every 8 years as you age or about 9% per year. The world median age is 30.4 years. So let the world death rate be the norm

World death rate as of June 11 is 5.58% of diagnosed cases. and recovered cases versus deaths is 9.06

Compare this with 10 countries that use HCQ for most patients as soon as they test positive for the corona virus.

Turkey: Death rate 2.73%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.62%, recovered cases versus deaths 31.0,

South Korea: Death rate 2.30%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 2.21% recovered cases versus deaths 38.5

Malaysia: Death rate 1.41%, median age 28.5, adjusted death rate 1.68% recovered cases versus deaths 59.9

Senegal: Death rate 1.15%, median age 18.8, adjusted death rate 3.08%, recovered cases versus deaths 54.4

Costa Rica: Death rate 0.78%, median age 31.3, adjusted death rate 0.73%, recovered cases versus deaths 60.1

United Arab emirates: Death rate 0.70%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 0.68%, recovered cases versus deaths 88.2

Bahrain: Death rate 0.2%, median age 32.3, adjusted death rate 0.2%, recovered cases versus deaths 337.9

Morocco: Death rate 2.47%, median age 29.3, adjusted death rate 2.71%, recovered cases versus deaths 35.9

Russia: Death rate 1.30%, median age 30.9, adjusted death rate 1.24%, recovered cases versus deaths 40.0

Qatar: Death rate 0.09%, median age 30.9, but since 88% of the population are migrant workers between 20 and 60, the adjusted death rate is at least 8 times higher, or 0.73 %, and recovered cases versus deaths 744.0

Taking the average, not adjusted for the size of the populations we get the average adjusted death rate for countries, where people are taking HCQ + Zinc when diagnosed positive, is 1.59%.

This means that the risk of death is reduced by a factor of 6.0 if HZQ + Zinc is taken as early as possible after a positive diagnosis for coronavirus!

Recovered cases versus deaths is an indicator of how fast patients recover after taking HCQ. Taking the arithmetic average would be unfair, so here I show the median recovery ratio, or about 57, compared to the recovery rate for the rest of the world of 7.05, an improvement of 8.0 times as many recorded recoveries for every death.

What are we waiting for, and what is your concern, Dr Fauci? Hydroxychloroquine is approved for Malaria, Lupus and Rheumatoid Arthritis, and is used by millions or people world wide with normal precautions. It is prescribed for pregnant women and nursing mothers. There are side-effects, but death is not one listed, and the cardiac concern is taken care of with a simple ECG, disqualifying less than 1% of the patients.

WHO paused a double blind study out of an “abundance of caution”.

HCQ was taken by over 800,000 patients testing positive for the coronavirus as soon as symptoms arose or shortly thereafter. We do not need a double blind control study, the results speak for themselves.

Is it because it is promoted by President Trump, and some would rather die than get cured?

Is HCQ too cheap to promote?

I for one want to save lives and suffering.

President Trump is taking hydroxychloroquine! The international results are overwhelming, he is right!

In 2005 Dr. Anthony Fauci,the director of the (NIAID) National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, a position he still holds received the encouraging news that Chloroquine is a potent inhibitor of SARS coronavirus infection and spread. The SARS epidemic petered out, ao the clinical trial was never executed.

Now the news about the efficacy of HydroxyChloroquine is coming in hot and heavy. The results are very encouraging. This is from a recent study in Marseilles, France:

We retrospectively report on 1061 SARS-CoV-2 positive tested patients treated for at least three days with the following regimen: HCQ (200 mg three times daily for ten days) + AZ (500 mg on day 1 followed by 250 mg daily for the next four days). Outcomes were death, clinical worsening (transfer to ICU, and >10 day hospitalization) and viral shedding persistence (>10 days).

Results

A total of 1061 patients were included in this analysis (46.4% male, mean age 43.6 years – range 14–95 years). Good clinical outcome and virological cure were obtained in 973 patients within 10 days (91.7%). Prolonged viral carriage was observed in 47 patients (4.4%) and was associated to a higher viral load at diagnosis (p < .001) but viral culture was negative at day 10. All but one, were PCR-cleared at day 15. A poor clinical outcome (PClinO) was observed for 46 patients (4.3%) and 8 died (0.75%) (74–95 years old). All deaths resulted from respiratory failure and not from cardiac toxicity. Five patients are still hospitalized (98.7% of patients cured so far). PClinO was associated with older age (OR 1.11), severity of illness at admission (OR 10.05) and low HCQ serum concentration. PClinO was independently associated with the use of selective beta-blocking agents and angiotensin II receptor blockers (p < .05). A total of 2.3% of patients reported mild adverse events (gastrointestinal or skin symptoms, headache, insomnia and transient blurred vision).

Conclusion

Administration of the HCQ+AZ combination before COVID-19 complications occur is safe and associated with a very low fatality rate in patients.

Since then, prescriptions for the drug cocktail in Marseilles is up 7000%, and is also increasing in the rest of France, especially the Paris region.

But France is by no means the first country to go all out prescribing the drug cocktail. At least twelve countries are doing it, and Turkey and Morocco prescribe it to all with COVID-19 symptoms ( after first checking their heart). Russia joined six weeks later. Here are the results:

If we look at the results from onset to today, some interesting facts stand out

Turkey: Death rate 50 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 37

Morocco: Death rate 5 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 19.6

Russia: Death rate 19 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 19.6 and rising, but they started six weeks later and have not yet reached their infection maximum.

France: Death rate 433 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 2.2, but their new case maximum was 11 weeks ago and the maximum death rate was 9 weeks ago, way before any prescriptions increased.

U.S. does not do an even job of reporting recovered cases, so the results will only be valid for some states. Michigan seems to be one state that records recoveries.

Michigan: Death rate 492 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 5.7

The best state is South Dakota, but there Governor Kristi Noem conducted a semi clinical (not double blind) trial, and the results speak for themselves.

South Dakota: Death rate 50 per million. ratio of recovered cases/death is 63.27 !!

My suggestion is this: Give the HCQ+ AZT + Zinc +Vitamin D for 5 days as soon as symptoms occur. Give HZQ + Zinc + Vitamin D for 5 days to all the infected person’s contacts, then their quarantine is over, otherwise it is 14 days. Check for heart rhythm problems, but otherwise go ahead.

The results from Turkey + Russia + Morocco involved more than 170,000 recovered cases, far more than any clinical study, and showed the effect both before and after HCQ became the drug of choice, so the effect is real enough!

The Corona-virus death rate is over-estimated, but by how much? Iceland gives a possible answer.

I have been fascinated with the spread of the coronavirus and the speed of which it has spread to all parts of the world. The question is how bad will it be, how many will die, and what can be done about it. Thanks to the ability to test who are having it, and who will get it, and how many have already died from it, and how many are still in critical care we can now estimate how bad it can be in countries with a good healthcare system, the Nordic Countries will serve as an example.

Let us begin with Sweden. They took a passive approach at first, the healthcare system will take care of the cases as they have always handled the flue. The problem is, that left to itself the coronavirus cases double every 3 days until the whole population is infected except for those with natural immunity. A few days ago even Sweden clamped down and is now implementing separation. Here are the current numbers for Sweden, normalized per million inhabitants

Cases 704, serious or critical 60, deaths 47, testing 0.36%

Denmark took a similar approach, and here are the

Cases 808, serious or critical 48, deaths 32, testing 0.92%

We can see testing makes a difference, cases go up, deaths go down

Finland is very similar, but cases started later:

Cases 393, serious or critical 35, deaths 5, testing 0.6%

Norway took a different approach, they applied early testing, and tracing and testing their contacts. Here are these results:

Cases 1082, serious or critical 16, deaths 14, testing 2.5%.

Going west there is the Faeroe Islands with little more than 50000 inhabitants:

Cases 3745, serious or critical 20, deaths 0, testing 10.2%.

Wow! No deaths at all! But the sample was small.

Of particular interest is Iceland. It is a unique country. Not only do they have excellent health care, they have the DNA genome of nearly every Icelander. They did a very aggressive testing, and here are the results so far:

Cases 4577, serious or critical 4, deaths 18, testing 8.2%.

It turns out that about half of those who tested positive had no symptoms, but were probably carriers. This leads us to the conclusion that testing is important, social separation only works if everyone participates, and if the country has an excellent health care system the total cases will be 5,6% of which 2.8% show no symptoms, critical or serious cases are 0.25%, and deaths are 0.3% of the whole population.

In a country like United States this means that we will have about 80000 deaths total if we test like Norway or Iceland from now on, and about 210000 deaths if we continue with only mitigation and no contact tracing, and let the disease work itself through the whole population.

The lesson from Spain, Italy and Franceis; if the hospitals get overloaded it could be far worse.

The generic drug Hydroxychloroquine combined with one more generic drug could lower those numbers substantially if taken voluntarily by a majority of early diagnosed patients, and even if taken later in the course of the disease. Of course there will always be some that would rather die than taking something that has been recommended by President Trump, but we are a free country, and there should be enough ventilators for them.

Enough people are taking the medicine cocktail now on a right to try basis to give us the answer in about two weeks if we can go back to work and back to normal life, but with changed social separation. The regular flu and pneumonia deaths are way down already.