The EU published their excess mortality data for July 2022.

Excess mortality in the EU climbed to +16% in July 2022 from +7% in both June and May. This was the highest value on record so far in 2022, amounting to around 53 000 additional deaths in July this year compared with the monthly averages for 2016-2019.

This information comes from data on excess mortality published by Eurostat September 16 based on a weekly deaths data collection. The article presents a handful of findings from the more detailed Statistics Explained articles on excess mortality and weekly deaths.

Excess mortality continued to vary across the EU Member States, with eight Member States recording values above the EU average. The highest rates in July 2022, more than double the EU average, were recorded in

1. 🇮🇸 Iceland, + 55.8% 2. 🇪🇸 Spain +36.9% 3. 🇱🇮 Lichtenstein +35.8%

4. 🇨🇾 Cyprus +32.9% 5. 🇬🇷 Greece +31.2% 6. 🇵🇹 Portugal +28.8%7. 🇲🇹 Malta +26.4%

8. 🇨🇭 Switzerland +25.9% 9. 🇮🇹 Italy +24.9% 10. 🇦🇹 Austria +17.5%

11. 🇸🇮 Slovenia +16.5% 12. 🇮🇪 Ireland +16.3% 13. 🇩🇪 Germany +15.2%

14. 🇳🇴 Norway +14.8% 15. 🇳🇱 Netherlands +14.7% 16. 🇭🇷 Croatia +14.6%

17. 🇫🇷 France +14.1% 18. 🇪🇪 Estonia +12.3%19. 🇱🇺 Luxemburg +11.5%

20. 🇩🇰 Denmark +10.3% 21. 🇫🇮 Finland +9.4 22. 🇸🇰 Slovakia +7.7%

23. 🇵🇱 Poland +5.8% 24. 🇭🇺 Hungary +4.5% 25. 🇨🇿 Czechia +4.4%

26. 🇧🇪 Belgium +4.3% 27. 🇸🇪 Sweden +2.7% 28. 🇷🇴 Romania +2.4%

29. 🇧🇬 Bulgaria +1.4% 30. 🇱🇹 Lithuania +0.9% 31. 🇱🇻 Latvia -0.5%

Denmark last week announced that it would discontinue offering COVID vaccines and boosters for all under 50 years of age except for immuno-compromized persons. Meanwhile, only Latvia (-0.5%) registered no excess deaths, staying below the monthly averages for 2016-2019.

Brexit, secession fever in Britain. A Limerick.

Secession is brewing in Britain

from EU they’ll vote to be quittin’

More than half to secede,

a reliable read.

No wall, yet the handwriting written.

The headlines go from bad to worse for the UK and EU establishment as yet another new poll this weekend, by Opini20160612_eu1um, shows “Brexit” leading by a remarkable 19 points (52% chose to leave the EU against 33% choosing to keep the status quo). This result comes after 2 polls Friday night showing a 10-point lead for “leave” which sparked anxiety across markets. This surge in “leave” probability comes despite an additional 1.5 million voters having registered this week (which many expected to increase “remain” support). Further anger towards EU was exposed when former cabinet minister Iain Duncan Smith warned that seven new prisons will need to be built in the UK by 2030 to cope with the rising number of migrant criminals (presumedly due to ‘staying’ in the EU). With market anxiety rising, as One River’s CIO notes, if Brexit happens, gold will soar.

All major parties are campaigning for Britain to stay in the EU. Here is the Green Party reason: Caroline Lucas has  called on Green voters to back remaining in the EU on June 23rd, declaring the imminent vote a “climate referendum”.

Lucas, who is a board member of Britain Stronger in Europe and Another Europe is Possible, as well as the Green Party’s only MP, warned a vote for Brexit would undermine efforts to tackle climate change and build a greener economy.

“June 23rd is a climate referendum,” she said. “Leaving the EU could wreck our chances of playing a part in the fight against this existential threat – and hand the country to people who don’t even believe climate change is happening. But by staying as a member of the EU we can build on the progress already made in Paris earlier this year and continue making strides towards a fossil-free future.”

She reiterated her view the EU is in need of sweeping reform, but insisted it remained the “best hope we have when it comes to tackling climate change and protecting our environment”.

President Obama visited Britain recently and advocated strongly for Britain to stay in the EU, warning that if they left they would be at “the back of the queue” for a U.S. trade deal. According to polls taken just before and just after Obama’s visit, that recommendation alone lead to a 3 to 5 point uptick in favor of Brexit.