In the COVID-19 fight: Who is the winner in Europe? Is it Sweden with herd immunity, or is it Portugal with nearly all people vaccinated? For now, Sweden is the winner.

When the COVID-19 menace entered Europe, Sweden was the only country that didn’t do a complete lock-down, they took the approach to let the pandemic rage and so achieve herd immunity; only protect the most vulnerable as best they could. The initial result seemed catastrophic, but herd immunity was more or less achieved, and current results are impressive:

As we can see, for Sweden daily deaths are down 98% from.previous maximum before vaccines began, and daily cases were down 83%. The total death rate per million people is 1,480 and the Swedish vaccination rate is 72%

How are the other European nations doing on the same score. They are listed in order of Increase/decrease in death rate from pre-vaccine peak, from worst to best.

A= ratio of highest case rate before vaccines to current case rate

B= ratio of highest death rate before vaccines to current death rate

C= total deaths per million people this far

D= vaccination rate, at least one dose

Country               A          B               C        D

Ukraine            155%    299%    2,036    29%

Russia                114%   218%    1,926   43%

Belarus               90%   167%       548   33%

Georgia              93%   142%    3,119   28%

Finland             314%    140%      249    77%

Hungary             176%   102%   3,649    62%

Greece             223%      90%   1,797     66%

Croatia               112%    82%     2,769   51%

Moldova            37%   81%   2,292    14%

Serbia                  26%   81%   1,372    47%

Slovakia           346%      78%    2,727    47%

Latvia               80%      76%    2,304    67%

Bulgaria               58%   76%    4,197   16%

Poland                 90%    76%    2,267    54%

Bosnia & H.         53%    71%     3,930    26%

Montenegro     38%   63%   3,708   42%

Chechia              150%     52%   3.135   60%

Norway           528%      50%      199     77%

Romania          16%    50%   2,997    29%

Netherlands    193%      49%    1,144    77%

Lithuania             56%    47%    2,572    69%

Austria              121%     46%     1,409   68%

N. Macedonia    31%     45%    3,668   42%

Estonia               80%     43%    1,374   62%

Slovenia           89%      30%    2,557    58%

Germany          229%     34%     1,231   70%

Denmark            122%    34%       508    78%

Slovenia           89%      30%    2,557    58%

Albania                40%     25%   1,082    32%

Belgium             104%    24%     2,330    75%

Switzerland        98%     15%     1,328    67%

France                  80%    14%     1,826    76%

Ireland                 80%    13%    1,138    77%

Italy                      41%    10%     2,224   78%

U.K.                      77%   9%     2,129   74%

Spain                     34%    6%      1,885   82% .

Portugal                21%    6%     1,800    89%

Conclusion: All countries will eventually reach herd immunity, the vaccinations only delay the inevitable: The pandemic will be with us like the common cold or the flu.

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lenbilen

Retired engineer, graduated from Chalmers Technical University a long time ago with a degree in Technical Physics. Career in Aerospace, Analytical Chemistry, computer chip manufacturing and finally adjunct faculty at Pennsylvania State University, taught just one course in Computer Engineering, the Capstone Course.

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