Is Sweden near “herd immunity”? There are hopeful signs that herd immunity against COVID-19 is much closer than previously thought.

“Sweden has gone from being the country with the most infections in Europe to the safest one”. As the rest of Europe and the world remains under the grip of draconian rules and the threat of new lockdowns, Sweden, which allowed its citizens to remain free throughout the entire pandemic, has pretty much declared victory over the coronavirus. The country now has one of the lowest infection rates on the planet, and it’s difficult not to admire how it has handled the past year, with no strict lockdown or compulsory face mask rules. All businesses, schools and public places remained open in Sweden for the duration.

“Sweden has gone from being the country with the most infections in Europe to the safest one,” Sweden’s senior epidemiologist Dr. Anders Tegnell commented to Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera. “What we see now is that the sustainable policy might be slower in getting results, but it will get results eventually,” Tegnell clarified. “And then we also hope that the result will be more stable,” he added.

Tegnell previously warned that encouraging people to wear face masks is “very dangerous” because it gives a false sense of security but does not effectively stem the spread of the virus. “The findings that have been produced through face masks are astonishingly weak, even though so many people around the world wear them,” Tengell has urged.

Last week, the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control confirmed Sweden’s drop in infection rate, with only 12 cases per million, compared to 18 in neighbouring Denmark and 14 in nearby Norway. At the peak of the Sweden’s outbreak, it was seeing 108 new infections per million people, as it pursued a “herd immunity” strategy.

The figures also show that out of 2500 randomly selected and tested people in Sweden, none tested positive, compared to 0.9 percent positive in April, and 0.3 percent in May. “We interpret this as meaning there is not currently a widespread infection among people who do not have symptoms,” said Karin Tegmark, deputy head of the Public Health Agency of Sweden.

When compared to the rest of Europe, Sweden’s death rate sits somewhere in the middle. However, officials are confident that playing the long game will see this improve drastically.

1. Italy 277,634 35,541 12.8%

2. United Kingdom 347,152 41,551 12.0%

3. Belgium 87,825 9,906 11.3%

4. France 324,777 30,724 9.5%

5. Netherlands 74,787 6,243 8.4%

6. Channel Islands 631 48 7.6%

7. Hungary 8,387 624 7.4%

8. Isle of Man 337 24 7.1%

9. Sweden 84,985 5,835 6,9%

This compares favorably with the seven day moving average as of September 7 of COVID-19 infection rate per million people for the rest of Europe:

France         105

Bosnia and Herzegovina 73

Spain             70

Croatia          64

Romania       63

Ukraine         55

Czechia          55

Belgium         42

Netherlands 41

Switzerland  40

Portugal        35

Austria          34

UK                  30

Ireland          27

Denmark      27

Italy               21

Bulgaria       18

Greece          18

Germany      15

Poland          14

One country had a larger second wave than the first wave of cases, the waves have been completed and the current case rate for

Serbia   is       9 daily cases per million people.

They may be close to herd immunity too.

 

 

Published by

lenbilen

Retired engineer, graduated from Chalmers Technical University a long time ago with a degree in Technical Physics. Career in Aerospace, Analytical Chemistry, computer chip manufacturing and finally adjunct faculty at Pennsylvania State University, taught just one course in Computer Engineering, the Capstone Course.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.